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3. Production Process Characterization
3.5. Case Studies
3.5.2. Machine Screw Case Study

3.5.2.3.

Analysis of Variance

Analysis of Variance using All Factors We can confirm our interpretation of the box plots by running an analysis of variance. Dataplot generated the following analysis of variance output when all four factors were included.
  
                 **********************************
                 **********************************
                 **  4-WAY ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE  **
                 **********************************
                 **********************************
  
       NUMBER OF OBSERVATIONS           =      180
       NUMBER OF FACTORS                =        4
       NUMBER OF LEVELS FOR FACTOR  1  =        3
       NUMBER OF LEVELS FOR FACTOR  2  =        3
       NUMBER OF LEVELS FOR FACTOR  3  =        2
       NUMBER OF LEVELS FOR FACTOR  4  =       10
       BALANCED CASE
       RESIDUAL    STANDARD DEVIATION   =    0.13743976597E-02
       RESIDUAL    DEGREES OF FREEDOM   =      165
       NO REPLICATION CASE
       NUMBER OF DISTINCT CELLS         =      180
  
                          *****************
                          *  ANOVA TABLE  *
                          *****************
  
 SOURCE              DF SUM OF SQUARES    MEAN SQUARE   F STATISTIC    F CDF SIG
 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 TOTAL (CORRECTED)  179       0.000437       0.000002
 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 FACTOR  1            2       0.000111       0.000055       29.3159 100.000%  **
 FACTOR  2            2       0.000004       0.000002        0.9884  62.565%
 FACTOR  3            1       0.000002       0.000002        1.2478  73.441%
 FACTOR  4            9       0.000009       0.000001        0.5205  14.172%
 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 RESIDUAL           165       0.000312       0.000002
  
       RESIDUAL    STANDARD DEVIATION =        0.00137439766
       RESIDUAL    DEGREES OF FREEDOM =           165

                          ****************
                          *  ESTIMATION  *
                          ****************
  
       GRAND MEAN                       =    0.12395893037E+00
       GRAND STANDARD DEVIATION         =    0.15631503193E-02
  
  
              LEVEL-ID      NI      MEAN      EFFECT     SD(EFFECT)
 --------------------------------------------------------------------
 FACTOR 1--    1.00000     60.    0.12489    0.00093    0.00014
         --    2.00000     60.    0.12297   -0.00099    0.00014
         --    3.00000     60.    0.12402    0.00006    0.00014
 FACTOR 2--    1.00000     60.    0.12409    0.00013    0.00014
         --    2.00000     60.    0.12403    0.00007    0.00014
         --    3.00000     60.    0.12376   -0.00020    0.00014
 FACTOR 3--    1.00000     90.    0.12384   -0.00011    0.00010
         --    2.00000     90.    0.12407    0.00011    0.00010
 FACTOR 4--    1.00000     18.    0.12371   -0.00025    0.00031
         --    2.00000     18.    0.12405    0.00009    0.00031
         --    3.00000     18.    0.12398    0.00002    0.00031
         --    4.00000     18.    0.12382   -0.00014    0.00031
         --    5.00000     18.    0.12426    0.00030    0.00031
         --    6.00000     18.    0.12379   -0.00016    0.00031
         --    7.00000     18.    0.12406    0.00010    0.00031
         --    8.00000     18.    0.12376   -0.00020    0.00031
         --    9.00000     18.    0.12376   -0.00020    0.00031
         --   10.00000     18.    0.12440    0.00044    0.00031
  
  
         MODEL               RESIDUAL STANDARD DEVIATION
 -------------------------------------------------------
 CONSTANT             ONLY--        0.0015631503
 CONSTANT & FACTOR  1 ONLY--        0.0013584237
 CONSTANT & FACTOR  2 ONLY--        0.0015652323
 CONSTANT & FACTOR  3 ONLY--        0.0015633047
 CONSTANT & FACTOR  4 ONLY--        0.0015876852
 CONSTANT & ALL 4 FACTORS --        0.0013743977
  
Interpretation of ANOVA Output The first thing to note is that Dataplot fits an overall mean when performing the ANOVA. That is, it fits the model
    Y(ijklm) = mu + a(i) + b(j) + tau(k) + phi(l) + E)ijklm)
as opposed to the model
    Y(ijklm) = a(i) + b(j) + tau(k) + phi(l) + E)ijklm)
These models are mathematically equivalent. The effect estimates in the first model are relative to the overall mean. The effect estimates for the second model can be obtained by simply adding the overall mean to effect estimates from the first model.

We are primarily interested in identifying the significant factors. The last column of the ANOVA table prints a "**" for statistically significant factors. Only factor 1 (the machine) is statistically significant. This confirms what the box plots in the previous section had indicated graphically.

Analysis of Variance Using Only Machine The previous analysis of variance indicated that only the machine factor was statistically significant. The following shows the ANOVA output using only the machine factor.
  
                 **********************************
                 **********************************
                 **  1-WAY ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE  **
                 **********************************
                 **********************************
  
       NUMBER OF OBSERVATIONS           =      180
       NUMBER OF FACTORS                =        1
       NUMBER OF LEVELS FOR FACTOR  1  =        3
       BALANCED CASE
       RESIDUAL    STANDARD DEVIATION   =    0.13584237313E-02
       RESIDUAL    DEGREES OF FREEDOM   =      177
       REPLICATION CASE
       REPLICATION STANDARD DEVIATION   =    0.13584237313E-02
       REPLICATION DEGREES OF FREEDOM   =      177
       NUMBER OF DISTINCT CELLS         =        3
  
                          *****************
                          *  ANOVA TABLE  *
                          *****************
  
 SOURCE              DF SUM OF SQUARES    MEAN SQUARE   F STATISTIC    F CDF SIG
 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 TOTAL (CORRECTED)  179       0.000437       0.000002
 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 FACTOR  1            2       0.000111       0.000055       30.0094 100.000%  **
 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 RESIDUAL           177       0.000327       0.000002
  
       RESIDUAL    STANDARD DEVIATION =        0.00135842373
       RESIDUAL    DEGREES OF FREEDOM =           177
       REPLICATION STANDARD DEVIATION =        0.00135842373
       REPLICATION DEGREES OF FREEDOM =           177

                          ****************
                          *  ESTIMATION  *
                          ****************
  
       GRAND MEAN                       =    0.12395893037E+00
       GRAND STANDARD DEVIATION         =    0.15631503193E-02
  
  
              LEVEL-ID      NI      MEAN      EFFECT     SD(EFFECT)
 --------------------------------------------------------------------
 FACTOR 1--    1.00000     60.    0.12489    0.00093    0.00014
         --    2.00000     60.    0.12297   -0.00099    0.00014
         --    3.00000     60.    0.12402    0.00006    0.00014
  
  
         MODEL               RESIDUAL STANDARD DEVIATION
 -------------------------------------------------------
 CONSTANT             ONLY--        0.0015631503
 CONSTANT & FACTOR  1 ONLY--        0.0013584237
Interpretation of ANOVA Output At this stage, we are interested in the effect estimates for the machine variable. These can be summarized in the following table.

Means for Oneway Anova
Level Number Mean Standard Error Lower 95% CI Upper 95% CI
1 60 0.124887 0.00018 0.12454 0.12523
2 60 0.122968 0.00018 0.12262 0.12331
3 60 0.124022 0.00018 0.12368 0.12437

The Dataplot macro file shows the computations required to go from the Dataplot ANOVA output to the numbers in the above table.

Model Validation As a final step, we validate the model by generating a 4-plot of the residuals.

4-plot of the residuals does not indicate any sigfnificant problems

The 4-plot does not indicate any significant problems with the ANOVA model.

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