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FT941-10709
_AN-EBHC6AE5FT
940
208
FT 08 FEB 94 / UK Company News: Glaxo asthma drug wi
ns US approval
By DANIEL GREEN
Glax
o has belatedly won US approval for one of its most important products
of th
e 1990s, the inhaled asthma treatment Serevent.
The US Food and Drug Adminis
tration had been expected to approve the drug in
December and Glaxo shares f
ell when this did not happen.
After Serevent's approval yesterday, the share
s rose 15p to end the day with
a net fall of 2p at 664p.
The drug is importa
nt to Glaxo because it is a successor to Ventolin, the
long standing big sel
ler in asthma treatment. Such respiratory treatments
are second in importanc
e only to ulcer drugs in Glaxo's therapeutic
portfolio, accounting for almos
t one quarter of total sales.
The older drug has now lost much of its patent
protection and the company is
relying on Serevent to underpin its position
in the market.
The drug was approved in Europe in 1991 and should eventually
reach sales of
Pounds 350m a year, according to James Capel, the broker. In
the last full
year, Serevent sold Pounds 73m while Ventolin sales were wort
h Pounds 484m.
The drug had a setback last month, however, when Italian gove
rnment
healthcare reforms favoured Ventolin by excluding Serevent from a lis
t of
drugs the government would pay for. Glaxo lodged an appeal against the
ruling.
Companies:-
Glaxo Holdings.
Countr
ies:-
USZ United States of America.
Industries:-
P2834 Pharmaceutical Preparations.
Types:-
TECH P
roducts & Product use.
The Financial Times
London P
age 24
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FT941-10709
_AN-EBHC6AE5FT
940
208
FT 08 FEB 94 / UK Company News: Glaxo asthma drug wi
ns US approval
By DANIEL GREEN
Glax
o has belatedly won US approval for one of its most important products
of th
e 1990s, the inhaled asthma treatment Serevent.
The US Food and Drug Adminis
tration had been expected to approve the drug in
December and Glaxo shares f
ell when this did not happen.
After Serevent's approval yesterday, the share
s rose 15p to end the day with
a net fall of 2p at 664p.
The drug is importa
nt to Glaxo because it is a successor to Ventolin, the
long standing big sel
ler in asthma treatment. Such respiratory treatments
are second in importanc
e only to ulcer drugs in Glaxo's therapeutic
portfolio, accounting for almos
t one quarter of total sales.
The older drug has now lost much of its patent
protection and the company is
relying on Serevent to underpin its position
in the market.
The drug was approved in Europe in 1991 and should eventually
reach sales of
Pounds 350m a year, according to James Capel, the broker. In
the last full
year, Serevent sold Pounds 73m while Ventolin sales were wort
h Pounds 484m.
The drug had a setback last month, however, when Italian gove
rnment
healthcare reforms favoured Ventolin by excluding Serevent from a lis
t of
drugs the government would pay for. Glaxo lodged an appeal against the
ruling.
Companies:-
Glaxo Holdings.
Countr
ies:-
USZ United States of America.
Industries:-
P2834 Pharmaceutical Preparations.
Types:-
TECH P
roducts & Product use.
The Financial Times
London P
age 24
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============= Transaction # 17 ==============================================
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FT941-10709
_AN-EBHC6AE5FT
940
208
FT 08 FEB 94 / UK Company News: Glaxo asthma drug wi
ns US approval
By DANIEL GREEN
Glax
o has belatedly won US approval for one of its most important products
of th
e 1990s, the inhaled asthma treatment Serevent.
The US Food and Drug Adminis
tration had been expected to approve the drug in
December and Glaxo shares f
ell when this did not happen.
After Serevent's approval yesterday, the share
s rose 15p to end the day with
a net fall of 2p at 664p.
The drug is importa
nt to Glaxo because it is a successor to Ventolin, the
long standing big sel
ler in asthma treatment. Such respiratory treatments
are second in importanc
e only to ulcer drugs in Glaxo's therapeutic
portfolio, accounting for almos
t one quarter of total sales.
The older drug has now lost much of its patent
protection and the company is
relying on Serevent to underpin its position
in the market.
The drug was approved in Europe in 1991 and should eventually
reach sales of
Pounds 350m a year, according to James Capel, the broker. In
the last full
year, Serevent sold Pounds 73m while Ventolin sales were wort
h Pounds 484m.
The drug had a setback last month, however, when Italian gove
rnment
healthcare reforms favoured Ventolin by excluding Serevent from a lis
t of
drugs the government would pay for. Glaxo lodged an appeal against the
ruling.
Companies:-
Glaxo Holdings.
Countr
ies:-
USZ United States of America.
Industries:-
P2834 Pharmaceutical Preparations.
Types:-
TECH P
roducts & Product use.
The Financial Times
London P
age 24
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FT921-10204
_AN-CBGA3ACSFT
920
207
FT 07 FEB 92 / Commodities and Agriculture: Keeping
a weather-eye on a troublesome 'child' / A look at the crop problems posed b
y the unpredictable El Nino climate phenomenon
By BA
RBARA DURR
TO CALM anxious grain traders the Chicago Board
of Trade will offer a
seminar later this month on El Nino, the weather pheno
menon that develops in
the equatorial Pacific every three to five years and
can cause global
climate upsets. Grain traders are keen to know if they can
expect this
year's El Nino to disturb the US weather pattern sufficiently to
make a dent
in crop output.
Although signs of El Nino had been accumulating
during 1991, only last month
did the the US National Weather Service finall
y conclude publicly that the
phenomenon was a fact.
The symptoms had been sh
owing themselves overseas since last spring - rising
surface temperatures in
the eastern and central Pacific, drought in the
western Pacific rim from Au
stralia through Indonesia, a weaker Indian
monsoon, dryness in north-eastern
Brazil, drought in South Africa and
wetness last summer in the Great Basin
of the US, which runs from Arizona
north to Idaho.
While many of these condi
tions indicate that El Nino is occurring, they do
not reveal its severity. T
he phenomenon generally peaks in the northern
hemisphere's winter. This help
s explain why Peruvian fishermen dubbed the
phenomenon El Nino, which means
Christ child in Spanish. It arrived about
Christmas time.
Mr Vernon Kousky,
a research meteorologist with the US weather service, now
assesses the curre
nt El Nino as 'moderate to strong'. While individual
weather events cannot a
lways be directly attributed to El Nino, some signals
are indicative of its
strength. Warm water in the Pacific is pushing
moisture into the south-weste
rn US, causing, for example, this winter's
floods in Texas, according to Mr
Art Douglas, chairman of the Creighton
University's Atmospheric Sciences Dep
artment. Along the Gulf of Mexico, from
Texas to Florida, some areas have al
ready had 200 per cent to 1,000 per cent
of their normal rainfall. Temperatu
res in that region are also beginning to
dip below normal. At the same time
the phenomenon is upsetting the Jet
Stream, keeping extremely cold air far t
o the north and moderating
temperatures in the Midwest.
The Midwest, America
's most important grain area, is seeing temperatures
four or five degrees Fa
hrenheit above normal, said Mr Jon Davis, the
in-house meteorologist for She
arson Lehman's commodities trading arm. The
weather service predicts that mo
re of the same will occur in those regions
until spring and that the usually
wet north-west is likely to be dryer, as
is the Ohio valley.
But what conce
rns the grain trade more is what, if anything, will happen
during the critic
al planting and growing season for American crops from June
to August.
Unfor
tunately, weather forecasting is not a precise science. Mr Kousky says
that
El Nino, usually a 12 to 18 month event, has another six to 12 months
to run
. But he points out that there is no consistent relationship between
El Nino
and the weather pattern beyond the winter-to-spring months.
'Anything can h
appen,' he admits.
Crop Cast, a Maryland-based weather forecasting service t
hat is used by many
US commodity trading houses, says that while El Nino has
already affected
South American soyabeans, South African maize and Australi
an wheat, it is
hoping to be able to predict potentially damaging crop effec
ts in the US by
looking at the coincidence of the El Nino with two other cli
matological
events, last year's eruption of Mount Pinatubo in the Phillippin
es and the
combination of lunar and solar cycles.
These additional factors a
long with El Nino probably mean that a more
extreme weather pattern bleeds o
ver into summer, according to Mr Kevin
Marcus, director of Crop Cast service
s. He says the likelihood of extreme,
hot and dry weather is 100 per cent, b
ut gives only a one in three chance
that this will have a significant impact
on crops.
The hot, dry weather would have to occur in July or early August
to reduce
the maize and soyabean crops significantly, that is by more than 1
0 per
cent. But Mr Marcus is uncertain about how the three phenomena will in
teract
since there no established pattern. He is still waiting for more data
on the
severity of this year's El Nino.
The phenomenon has prompted commodi
ties markets to gyrate in the past. In
1972-73 the El Nino destroyed the Per
uvian fishmeal catch, which then
accounted for some 45 per cent of the world
trade in protein feed. In
1982-83 it caused a drought in Africa, which help
ed to send cocoa prices up
by nearly 70 per cent over a period of about a ye
ar.
The Financial Times
London Page 22
DOC>
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FT921-10204
_AN-CBGA3ACSFT
920
207
FT 07 FEB 92 / Commodities and Agriculture: Keeping
a weather-eye on a troublesome 'child' / A look at the crop problems posed b
y the unpredictable El Nino climate phenomenon
By BA
RBARA DURR
TO CALM anxious grain traders the Chicago Board
of Trade will offer a
seminar later this month on El Nino, the weather pheno
menon that develops in
the equatorial Pacific every three to five years and
can cause global
climate upsets. Grain traders are keen to know if they can
expect this
year's El Nino to disturb the US weather pattern sufficiently to
make a dent
in crop output.
Although signs of El Nino had been accumulating
during 1991, only last month
did the the US National Weather Service finall
y conclude publicly that the
phenomenon was a fact.
The symptoms had been sh
owing themselves overseas since last spring - rising
surface temperatures in
the eastern and central Pacific, drought in the
western Pacific rim from Au
stralia through Indonesia, a weaker Indian
monsoon, dryness in north-eastern
Brazil, drought in South Africa and
wetness last summer in the Great Basin
of the US, which runs from Arizona
north to Idaho.
While many of these condi
tions indicate that El Nino is occurring, they do
not reveal its severity. T
he phenomenon generally peaks in the northern
hemisphere's winter. This help
s explain why Peruvian fishermen dubbed the
phenomenon El Nino, which means
Christ child in Spanish. It arrived about
Christmas time.
Mr Vernon Kousky,
a research meteorologist with the US weather service, now
assesses the curre
nt El Nino as 'moderate to strong'. While individual
weather events cannot a
lways be directly attributed to El Nino, some signals
are indicative of its
strength. Warm water in the Pacific is pushing
moisture into the south-weste
rn US, causing, for example, this winter's
floods in Texas, according to Mr
Art Douglas, chairman of the Creighton
University's Atmospheric Sciences Dep
artment. Along the Gulf of Mexico, from
Texas to Florida, some areas have al
ready had 200 per cent to 1,000 per cent
of their normal rainfall. Temperatu
res in that region are also beginning to
dip below normal. At the same time
the phenomenon is upsetting the Jet
Stream, keeping extremely cold air far t
o the north and moderating
temperatures in the Midwest.
The Midwest, America
's most important grain area, is seeing temperatures
four or five degrees Fa
hrenheit above normal, said Mr Jon Davis, the
in-house meteorologist for She
arson Lehman's commodities trading arm. The
weather service predicts that mo
re of the same will occur in those regions
until spring and that the usually
wet north-west is likely to be dryer, as
is the Ohio valley.
But what conce
rns the grain trade more is what, if anything, will happen
during the critic
al planting and growing season for American crops from June
to August.
Unfor
tunately, weather forecasting is not a precise science. Mr Kousky says
that
El Nino, usually a 12 to 18 month event, has another six to 12 months
to run
. But he points out that there is no consistent relationship between
El Nino
and the weather pattern beyond the winter-to-spring months.
'Anything can h
appen,' he admits.
Crop Cast, a Maryland-based weather forecasting service t
hat is used by many
US commodity trading houses, says that while El Nino has
already affected
South American soyabeans, South African maize and Australi
an wheat, it is
hoping to be able to predict potentially damaging crop effec
ts in the US by
looking at the coincidence of the El Nino with two other cli
matological
events, last year's eruption of Mount Pinatubo in the Phillippin
es and the
combination of lunar and solar cycles.
These additional factors a
long with El Nino probably mean that a more
extreme weather pattern bleeds o
ver into summer, according to Mr Kevin
Marcus, director of Crop Cast service
s. He says the likelihood of extreme,
hot and dry weather is 100 per cent, b
ut gives only a one in three chance
that this will have a significant impact
on crops.
The hot, dry weather would have to occur in July or early August
to reduce
the maize and soyabean crops significantly, that is by more than 1
0 per
cent. But Mr Marcus is uncertain about how the three phenomena will in
teract
since there no established pattern. He is still waiting for more data
on the
severity of this year's El Nino.
The phenomenon has prompted commodi
ties markets to gyrate in the past. In
1972-73 the El Nino destroyed the Per
uvian fishmeal catch, which then
accounted for some 45 per cent of the world
trade in protein feed. In
1982-83 it caused a drought in Africa, which help
ed to send cocoa prices up
by nearly 70 per cent over a period of about a ye
ar.
The Financial Times
London Page 22
DOC>
============= Transaction # 42 ==============================================
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920
708
FT 08 JUL 92 / Commodities and Agriculture: El Nino
drought 'appears to be over'
By REUTER
SYDNEY
THE DROUGHT that has ravaged crops and
cost hundreds of millions of dollars
in countries across Asia and the South
Pacific appears to be over,
meteorologists say, reports Reuter from Sydney.
Its cause, the climatic phenomenon known as El Nino, is dissipating with
som
e areas returning to normal weather conditions more quickly than others,
the
y said.
Australia is among the first of the major agricultural producers to
emerge
from drought in most areas, while in India a return to normal rainfal
l is
expected in the late monsoon.
China's northern provinces are still in t
he grip of drought, however, though
it is unlikely to have much impact on th
e country's international trading
position.
'We're now in the declining phas
e of El Nino, it's global and it has had an
effect since early last year all
round the planet, particularly in the
tropical regions,' an official at Aus
tralia's National Climate Centre said.
Ocean waters in the central and easte
rn equatorial Pacific, which had warmed
under El Nino were continuing to coo
l quite rapidly, the climate centre
reported.
Australia, whose farm sector w
as ravaged by drought and economic recession,
has already felt the effect of
the changing conditions. 'Australia tends to
climb out of it earlier than o
thers,' the official said.
Drought conditions still persist in some areas of
New South Wales and
southern Queensland but local output of grain and sugar
is forecast to
recover significantly after last year's drought across easte
rn Australia.
The total value of wheat, coarse grains and sugar is forecast
to rise by
nearly 30 per cent to ADollars 3.14bn (Pounds 1.2bn) in the year
to the end
of June, 1993, compared with the previous drought-hit year.
In In
dia however, the change is taking longer to come through. 'It is
expected to
come back to average in the late monsoon season,' Australia's
climate centr
e official said. Erratic rains in India last year caused food
grain output t
o fall to about 171m tonnes in the year to June 30, 1992 from
the previous y
ear's record 176m tonnes.
The Financial Times
Lon
don Page 32
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920
708
FT 08 JUL 92 / Commodities and Agriculture: El Nino
drought 'appears to be over'
By REUTER
SYDNEY
THE DROUGHT that has ravaged crops and
cost hundreds of millions of dollars
in countries across Asia and the South
Pacific appears to be over,
meteorologists say, reports Reuter from Sydney.
Its cause, the climatic phenomenon known as El Nino, is dissipating with
som
e areas returning to normal weather conditions more quickly than others,
the
y said.
Australia is among the first of the major agricultural producers to
emerge
from drought in most areas, while in India a return to normal rainfal
l is
expected in the late monsoon.
China's northern provinces are still in t
he grip of drought, however, though
it is unlikely to have much impact on th
e country's international trading
position.
'We're now in the declining phas
e of El Nino, it's global and it has had an
effect since early last year all
round the planet, particularly in the
tropical regions,' an official at Aus
tralia's National Climate Centre said.
Ocean waters in the central and easte
rn equatorial Pacific, which had warmed
under El Nino were continuing to coo
l quite rapidly, the climate centre
reported.
Australia, whose farm sector w
as ravaged by drought and economic recession,
has already felt the effect of
the changing conditions. 'Australia tends to
climb out of it earlier than o
thers,' the official said.
Drought conditions still persist in some areas of
New South Wales and
southern Queensland but local output of grain and sugar
is forecast to
recover significantly after last year's drought across easte
rn Australia.
The total value of wheat, coarse grains and sugar is forecast
to rise by
nearly 30 per cent to ADollars 3.14bn (Pounds 1.2bn) in the year
to the end
of June, 1993, compared with the previous drought-hit year.
In In
dia however, the change is taking longer to come through. 'It is
expected to
come back to average in the late monsoon season,' Australia's
climate centr
e official said. Erratic rains in India last year caused food
grain output t
o fall to about 171m tonnes in the year to June 30, 1992 from
the previous y
ear's record 176m tonnes.
The Financial Times
Lon
don Page 32
============= Transaction # 44 ==============================================
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930
416
FT 16 APR 93 / Commodities and Agriculture: Peru's f
ishmeal industry set for bumper profits - Production survived last year's El
Nino visitation to reach a fresh record
By SALLY BO
WEN
THE PERUVIAN fishmeal industry is gearing up for a bona
nza predicted to last
for the next two to three years. By late 1992, the sar
dine and anchovy that
form the staple raw material for the industry were bac
k in abundance after
being temporarily affected by the appearance of the dre
aded warm current
known as 'El Nino', which last ravaged fishmeal output in
1983.
Contrary to predictions, however, Peruvian production survived last ye
ar's
milder visitation and a late boost in fish stocks turned 1992 into yet
another record year. Peru topped the world exporters' league with 1.37m
tonn
es, narrowly outstripping Chile's 1.21m tonnes.
'Statistically, the years af
ter a Nino are excellent,' says Mr Espino of
Imarpe, Peru's maritime institu
te, which is charged with husbanding the
resource and recommending periodic
fishing bans. Mr Espino estimates that
the Peruvian catch could be raised by
a quarter or a third from the present
6m tonnes a year without detriment to
the species.
'And if the fishmeal producers started going for jack mackerel
- at present
only about 80,000 tonnes a year are landed, perhaps 5 per cent
of total
stocks - then the sky's the limit,' he says.
The main limitation o
n such expansion is fleet capacity. Most Peruvian
fishing boats are small, w
ith no refrigeration and hug the coast. When El
Nino hits, the fish move int
o deeper waters farther out to sea where these
boats cannot follow.
Peruvian
producers say they have invested more than Dollars 200m in the past
two yea
rs in fleet renovation and plant and equipment modernisation ashore.
The ind
ustry is moving towards production of higher-quality, low
temperature, steam
-dried meal with 'stickwater' plants to maximise protein
recovery. New boats
with refrigerated holds are under construction in local
yards. But there's
still plenty of room, and a warm welcome waiting, for new
investment from ab
road.
Representatives from Chile's huge Angelini group have been in Peru rec
ently
on 'feeling-out' visits. And Venezuelan capital has already entered in
the
form of a new fishmeal joint venture under the name of Palangrera Perua
na.
But the big surprise of 1993 could be the arrival of the Chinese. Pesca
Peru, the state-owned fishmeal and fishoil giant that produces around 40 per
cent of all national output, is high on this year's privatisation list.
Coo
pers and Lybrand, with financing from the Canadian development agency and
th
e World Bank, is currently completing a valuation and will recommend on
sale
procedures.
Essentially, the choice is between splitting the company into i
ts 20 plants
and four refineries to sell off individually; or selling the wh
ole company
as one unit.
The only likely buyers on the latter basis would be
the Chinese - 'and it's
a possibility that has the private producers in a s
tate of panic', says Mr
Eric Topf, head of the Pesca Peru privatisation comm
ittee.
Unofficially, senior Pesca Peru officials say the company should fetc
h 'at
least Dollars 200m', a ball-park figure considered over-optimistic by
private producers.
The state-owned plants are, by and large, elderly and out
dated - though
several are excellently located on the now-desirable extreme
southern coast
and have their own quays. Drastic personnel reductions during
1992 put Pesca
Peru back into profit after years in the red, underlining ju
st how
profitable producing fishmeal can be, even from scrap-yard plants.
Ch
ina has established itself as far and away Peru's largest customer, buying
l
ast year almost 60 per cent of all output. Peruvian fishmeal goes to feed
th
e Pacific prawn, turbot and eel which China is successfully exporting in
qua
ntity to the US and Japan.
The Chinese are said to be producing at present s
ome 32m tonnes of animal
foodstuffs a year, in which they use 2 per cent fis
hmeal - a very low
percentage compared with most competitors. A high-level P
eruvian delegation
is now in China 'to try to convince them of the bounties
of boosting that
fishmeal component,' says Mr Salomon Manzur, Peruvian presi
dent of the
Fishmeal Exporters' Association.
If the Chinese do increase the
percentage of fishmeal in their current
animal feedstuff production, Peruvia
n producers will be assured of sales for
their expanded fishmeal output for
several years to come.
----------------------------------------------------
-
FISHMEAL PRODUCTION ('000 TONNES)
---------------------------------------
--------------
1990 1991 1992
------------------
-----------------------------------
Peruvian
Pesca Peru 379 4
98 513
Private sector 755 782 853
Total 1,1
34 1,280 1,366
-----------------------------------------------------
Ch
ilean 1,550 1,210
-----------------------------------
------------------
Source: Peruvian National Fishing Society (SNP).
-------
----------------------------------------------
Countries:-
PEZ Peru, South America.
Industries:-
P0919 Misc
ellaneous Marine Products.
Types:-
MKTS Production.
TP>
The Financial Times
London Page 26
============= Transaction # 45 ==============================================
Transaction #: 45 Transaction Code: 22 (Record(s) Saved)
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930
416
FT 16 APR 93 / Commodities and Agriculture: Peru's f
ishmeal industry set for bumper profits - Production survived last year's El
Nino visitation to reach a fresh record
By SALLY BO
WEN
THE PERUVIAN fishmeal industry is gearing up for a bona
nza predicted to last
for the next two to three years. By late 1992, the sar
dine and anchovy that
form the staple raw material for the industry were bac
k in abundance after
being temporarily affected by the appearance of the dre
aded warm current
known as 'El Nino', which last ravaged fishmeal output in
1983.
Contrary to predictions, however, Peruvian production survived last ye
ar's
milder visitation and a late boost in fish stocks turned 1992 into yet
another record year. Peru topped the world exporters' league with 1.37m
tonn
es, narrowly outstripping Chile's 1.21m tonnes.
'Statistically, the years af
ter a Nino are excellent,' says Mr Espino of
Imarpe, Peru's maritime institu
te, which is charged with husbanding the
resource and recommending periodic
fishing bans. Mr Espino estimates that
the Peruvian catch could be raised by
a quarter or a third from the present
6m tonnes a year without detriment to
the species.
'And if the fishmeal producers started going for jack mackerel
- at present
only about 80,000 tonnes a year are landed, perhaps 5 per cent
of total
stocks - then the sky's the limit,' he says.
The main limitation o
n such expansion is fleet capacity. Most Peruvian
fishing boats are small, w
ith no refrigeration and hug the coast. When El
Nino hits, the fish move int
o deeper waters farther out to sea where these
boats cannot follow.
Peruvian
producers say they have invested more than Dollars 200m in the past
two yea
rs in fleet renovation and plant and equipment modernisation ashore.
The ind
ustry is moving towards production of higher-quality, low
temperature, steam
-dried meal with 'stickwater' plants to maximise protein
recovery. New boats
with refrigerated holds are under construction in local
yards. But there's
still plenty of room, and a warm welcome waiting, for new
investment from ab
road.
Representatives from Chile's huge Angelini group have been in Peru rec
ently
on 'feeling-out' visits. And Venezuelan capital has already entered in
the
form of a new fishmeal joint venture under the name of Palangrera Perua
na.
But the big surprise of 1993 could be the arrival of the Chinese. Pesca
Peru, the state-owned fishmeal and fishoil giant that produces around 40 per
cent of all national output, is high on this year's privatisation list.
Coo
pers and Lybrand, with financing from the Canadian development agency and
th
e World Bank, is currently completing a valuation and will recommend on
sale
procedures.
Essentially, the choice is between splitting the company into i
ts 20 plants
and four refineries to sell off individually; or selling the wh
ole company
as one unit.
The only likely buyers on the latter basis would be
the Chinese - 'and it's
a possibility that has the private producers in a s
tate of panic', says Mr
Eric Topf, head of the Pesca Peru privatisation comm
ittee.
Unofficially, senior Pesca Peru officials say the company should fetc
h 'at
least Dollars 200m', a ball-park figure considered over-optimistic by
private producers.
The state-owned plants are, by and large, elderly and out
dated - though
several are excellently located on the now-desirable extreme
southern coast
and have their own quays. Drastic personnel reductions during
1992 put Pesca
Peru back into profit after years in the red, underlining ju
st how
profitable producing fishmeal can be, even from scrap-yard plants.
Ch
ina has established itself as far and away Peru's largest customer, buying
l
ast year almost 60 per cent of all output. Peruvian fishmeal goes to feed
th
e Pacific prawn, turbot and eel which China is successfully exporting in
qua
ntity to the US and Japan.
The Chinese are said to be producing at present s
ome 32m tonnes of animal
foodstuffs a year, in which they use 2 per cent fis
hmeal - a very low
percentage compared with most competitors. A high-level P
eruvian delegation
is now in China 'to try to convince them of the bounties
of boosting that
fishmeal component,' says Mr Salomon Manzur, Peruvian presi
dent of the
Fishmeal Exporters' Association.
If the Chinese do increase the
percentage of fishmeal in their current
animal feedstuff production, Peruvia
n producers will be assured of sales for
their expanded fishmeal output for
several years to come.
----------------------------------------------------
-
FISHMEAL PRODUCTION ('000 TONNES)
---------------------------------------
--------------
1990 1991 1992
------------------
-----------------------------------
Peruvian
Pesca Peru 379 4
98 513
Private sector 755 782 853
Total 1,1
34 1,280 1,366
-----------------------------------------------------
Ch
ilean 1,550 1,210
-----------------------------------
------------------
Source: Peruvian National Fishing Society (SNP).
-------
----------------------------------------------
Countries:-
PEZ Peru, South America.
Industries:-
P0919 Misc
ellaneous Marine Products.
Types:-
MKTS Production.
TP>
The Financial Times
London Page 26
============= Transaction # 46 ==============================================
Transaction #: 46 Transaction Code: 19 (Record Selected)
Terminal ID: 57900 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC)
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920
407
FT 07 APR 92 / Drought pulls the plug on much of Col
ombia
By SARITA KENDALL
BOGO
TA
POWER cuts of at least eight hours a day have been imp
osed all over Colombia
in an effort to cope with a drought that has reduced
the water for hydro
electric plants. There is little prospect of rain, and r
eservoirs are drying
into baked mud. If this continues the country could fac
e a complete
black-out by the end of April.
The winter rains are late and th
e El Nino current off the Pacific coast
appears to be upsetting normal weath
er patterns. But bad planning, heavy
debts, corruption, budget deficits, def
orestation and poor management are
behind the electricity problems.
Colombia
's generating capacity is 8,200MW, more than adequate for normal
demand leve
ls. Despite the country's ample coal and oil reserves, 78 per
cent of power
comes from large, expensive hydro-electric schemes which have
pushed the sec
tor's foreign debt up to more than Dollars 5bn.
To try to save on costs, ele
ctricity companies have been running down the
reservoirs rather than use the
rmal plants at full capacity. Labour and
financial problems have also delaye
d the maintenance of thermal power
stations, while guerrilla attacks have pu
t distribution lines out of action.
The rationing aims to cut overall consum
ption by about a third. The
government has asked industry to shut down for 1
0 days over Easter and to
send workers on holiday.
The Financia
l Times
International Page 6
============= Transaction # 47 ==============================================
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920
407
FT 07 APR 92 / Drought pulls the plug on much of Col
ombia
By SARITA KENDALL
BOGO
TA
POWER cuts of at least eight hours a day have been imp
osed all over Colombia
in an effort to cope with a drought that has reduced
the water for hydro
electric plants. There is little prospect of rain, and r
eservoirs are drying
into baked mud. If this continues the country could fac
e a complete
black-out by the end of April.
The winter rains are late and th
e El Nino current off the Pacific coast
appears to be upsetting normal weath
er patterns. But bad planning, heavy
debts, corruption, budget deficits, def
orestation and poor management are
behind the electricity problems.
Colombia
's generating capacity is 8,200MW, more than adequate for normal
demand leve
ls. Despite the country's ample coal and oil reserves, 78 per
cent of power
comes from large, expensive hydro-electric schemes which have
pushed the sec
tor's foreign debt up to more than Dollars 5bn.
To try to save on costs, ele
ctricity companies have been running down the
reservoirs rather than use the
rmal plants at full capacity. Labour and
financial problems have also delaye
d the maintenance of thermal power
stations, while guerrilla attacks have pu
t distribution lines out of action.
The rationing aims to cut overall consum
ption by about a third. The
government has asked industry to shut down for 1
0 days over Easter and to
send workers on holiday.
The Financia
l Times
International Page 6
============= Transaction # 48 ==============================================
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920
416
FT 16 APR 92 / Commodities and Agriculture: Supply f
ears buoy sugar prices
By DAVID BLACKWELL
FEARS OF a tighter sugar supply/demand balance in 1992-93 are support
ing the
world market, according to reports from two London trade houses.
Raw
sugar prices have recently touched eight-month highs, nudging 10 cents a
lb
in the New York market, on fears of tight nearby supplies following
damage
to the South African crop because of drought.
The trade houses, ED & F. Man
and Czarnikow, both point out in reports
published today that in the short t
erm the changing export potential in
several countries will keep the lid on
prices. The increasing likelihood of
a 1m-tonne increase in Thailand's crop,
compared with the previous season,
together with the availability of export
able surpluses from India and Cuba,
should 'keep significant advances at bay
', Man's latest sugar report says.
Man believes that reports of a catastroph
ic Cuban crop this season at 5m to
5.5m tonnes are unsupported by the eviden
ce and estimates that the crop will
come in at about 6.5m tonnes. It is fore
casting a crop of more than 5m
tonnes in Thailand and 12.6m tonnes in India.
The overall balance for the 1991-92 season remains marginally in surplus,
M
an says, but it suggests that the situation is likely to be even more
tightl
y balanced in 1992-93.
Czarnikow's sugar review points out that the extent o
f the South African
drought has raised questions about the timing and covera
ge of the El Nino
weather phenomenon.
'Already a major drought is developing
in Thailand which, if relief does not
arrive this month, could have serious
implications for the next crop,' the
Czarnikow review says. 'If this is par
t of a regional phenomenon there might
be problems later in the year with th
e monsoon in India and this will need
to be monitored carefully.'
The Financial Times
London Page 38
============= Transaction # 49 ==============================================
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FT922-12623
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920
416
FT 16 APR 92 / Commodities and Agriculture: Supply f
ears buoy sugar prices
By DAVID BLACKWELL
FEARS OF a tighter sugar supply/demand balance in 1992-93 are support
ing the
world market, according to reports from two London trade houses.
Raw
sugar prices have recently touched eight-month highs, nudging 10 cents a
lb
in the New York market, on fears of tight nearby supplies following
damage
to the South African crop because of drought.
The trade houses, ED & F. Man
and Czarnikow, both point out in reports
published today that in the short t
erm the changing export potential in
several countries will keep the lid on
prices. The increasing likelihood of
a 1m-tonne increase in Thailand's crop,
compared with the previous season,
together with the availability of export
able surpluses from India and Cuba,
should 'keep significant advances at bay
', Man's latest sugar report says.
Man believes that reports of a catastroph
ic Cuban crop this season at 5m to
5.5m tonnes are unsupported by the eviden
ce and estimates that the crop will
come in at about 6.5m tonnes. It is fore
casting a crop of more than 5m
tonnes in Thailand and 12.6m tonnes in India.
The overall balance for the 1991-92 season remains marginally in surplus,
M
an says, but it suggests that the situation is likely to be even more
tightl
y balanced in 1992-93.
Czarnikow's sugar review points out that the extent o
f the South African
drought has raised questions about the timing and covera
ge of the El Nino
weather phenomenon.
'Already a major drought is developing
in Thailand which, if relief does not
arrive this month, could have serious
implications for the next crop,' the
Czarnikow review says. 'If this is par
t of a regional phenomenon there might
be problems later in the year with th
e monsoon in India and this will need
to be monitored carefully.'
The Financial Times
London Page 38
============= Transaction # 50 ==============================================
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9205
30
FT 30 MAY 92 / The Long View: Going for the jugular <
/HEADLINE>
By BARRY RILEY
WHENEVER I meet Fring
e Freddie, I know I am going to start worrying. It's
catching. Either he is
getting ready for the biggest boom ever known, or the
biggest crash. A quiet
life never comes into it. Right now, he is in one of
his apocalyptic phases
.
I occasionally run into Freddie at slightly offbeat investment seminars.
T
hese are, I must emphasise, perfectly respectable occasions - nothing at
all
like those international gatherings in places like Monte Carlo or
Acapulco
where every weird investment prophet and nutty newsletter editor in
the worl
d is gathered. They rant at geriatric American investors who can be
persuade
d to pay Dollars 5,000 to enjoy two days of skilful manipulation of
their on
ly remaining emotions of greed and fear - in between naps, of
course. Freddi
e is in his element in those places. But he can once in a
while come in from
the fringe.
The previous time I bumped into Freddie, he was heavily into gl
obal weather
patterns. El Nino was developing again in the South Pacific. I
gathered it
was some kind of surface warming effect which kills all the fish
off South
America and then spreads drought and famine across large areas of
the globe.
Freddie's eyes lit up at the thought. He was going heavily long
of
agricultural commodities on the Chicago markets. Potatoes would be like g
old
dust.
This week, I dropped into a seemingly harmless seminar on long-ter
m cycles
and was buttonholed by Freddie again at coffee time. El Nino? He se
emed to
have lost interest in Pacific sea temperatures. Evidently, those fut
ures
contracts had drifted out of the money. Now he was into NT, which he
pa
tiently explained was Nostradamus Theory. Did I know that a new team of
Nost
radamus analysts had finally cracked the mystery of the old mystic's
code? F
uture disasters were being set out on an accurate timetable so that
those in
vestors in the know could take maximum advantage.
I said I was a bit hazy ab
out Nostradamus, although I was aware that the
International Harry Shultz Le
tter had confessed to an error in its last
issue. Apparently, the catastroph
ic Californian earthquake it had forecast
on an interpretation of Nostradamu
s for May 8 1992 was wrong; it should have
said May 8 1993. San Diego would
still slide into the sea, but a year late.
You had better not go to Disneyla
nd about that time, either.
Possibly Freddie twigged that I was not taking h
im entirely seriously, but
he pressed on. Did I not realise that the US econ
omy was twice as
debt-ridden as it had ever been? Was I not aware that the J
apanese financial
system was already technically insolvent, and that there w
ere exact
parallels between the Wall Street slide and subsequent American sl
ump from
1929 onwards and the Toyko market slide beginning in 1990? Had I no
t noticed
that Germany . . .
Look, I said, I knew some of the numbers didn't
look too good, but the
global economy was still growing and over the years
I had read more than my
fair ration of books by gloom and doom merchants. As
far back as 1984, the
Kondratieff Wave theorists had been forecasting an im
minent slump. In fact,
the world stayed in a long boom. Then there was Ravi
Batra, who made a
fortune out of The Great Depression of 1990. However, ther
e was no
depression in 1990, just a recession in 1991, while Wall Street in
1992 is
hitting all-time highs. Britain's own Lord Rees-Mogg, taking time ou
t from
cleaning up television, had got in on the act with a co-authored fina
ncial
spinechiller called Blood in the Streets and, when that proved prematu
re,
managed to get out a sequel called The Great Reckoning earlier this year
. It
had all been good for royalty receipts but not for credibility.
Freddie
was distinctly unimpressed. Hadn't I seen what was happening to
property va
lues worldwide? Or the 60 per cent collapse of what had been the
world's big
gest stock market in Tokyo? Or the dreadful economic slump in
eastern Europe
? What was happening in western stock markets was just the
last gasp of the
old order.
What I had missed, he said, becoming more excitable by the minute
, was the
importance of the combination of the 54-year Kondratieff Wave with
the
seven- to 11-year Juglar cycle, not to mention the intermediary Kuznets
cycle. After all, the Kondratieff could last as long as 60 years: what did
1932 plus 60 add up to? Put all the cycles together and you could have a
tri
ple whammy for the early 1990s.
This was all getting beyond me, although I m
urmured that I remembered that
Batra had discussed something called the Jugu
lar Cycle in his book. Either
his spelling was wrong or he was talking about
blood in the streets, too. I
wished Freddie had stuck to his Peruvian fish
famine.
I should never have got back to the weather. Global warming, apparen
tly, was
the latest theme to arise from NT Why, Nostradamus himself had warn
ed that a
great tide would arise in a second Great Flood and the hot wind wo
uld blow
as from hell itself. The date? Well, the interpreters hadn't quite
decided
yet, but it wouldn't be very long.
We should be selling all energy s
tocks on the grounds that governments would
soon be doubling gasoline taxes
and banning emissions. Commodity markets
would be transformed as food crops
were devastated. By now the gleam was
really back in his eyes. The long-term
punter should be buying land at least
10 metres above existing sea level, w
aiting for values to soar as millions
were driven out of beachside settlemen
ts by the advancing waters. Except in
California, of course, which was all g
oing to slide into a geological fault
. . .
I made an excuse and left. The F
reddie Cycle was clearly testing its low
point. But, in my experience, it ne
ver stays down for long.
The Financial Times
Lond
on Page I
============= Transaction # 52 ==============================================
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9205
30
FT 30 MAY 92 / The Long View: Going for the jugular <
/HEADLINE>
By BARRY RILEY
WHENEVER I meet Fring
e Freddie, I know I am going to start worrying. It's
catching. Either he is
getting ready for the biggest boom ever known, or the
biggest crash. A quiet
life never comes into it. Right now, he is in one of
his apocalyptic phases
.
I occasionally run into Freddie at slightly offbeat investment seminars.
T
hese are, I must emphasise, perfectly respectable occasions - nothing at
all
like those international gatherings in places like Monte Carlo or
Acapulco
where every weird investment prophet and nutty newsletter editor in
the worl
d is gathered. They rant at geriatric American investors who can be
persuade
d to pay Dollars 5,000 to enjoy two days of skilful manipulation of
their on
ly remaining emotions of greed and fear - in between naps, of
course. Freddi
e is in his element in those places. But he can once in a
while come in from
the fringe.
The previous time I bumped into Freddie, he was heavily into gl
obal weather
patterns. El Nino was developing again in the South Pacific. I
gathered it
was some kind of surface warming effect which kills all the fish
off South
America and then spreads drought and famine across large areas of
the globe.
Freddie's eyes lit up at the thought. He was going heavily long
of
agricultural commodities on the Chicago markets. Potatoes would be like g
old
dust.
This week, I dropped into a seemingly harmless seminar on long-ter
m cycles
and was buttonholed by Freddie again at coffee time. El Nino? He se
emed to
have lost interest in Pacific sea temperatures. Evidently, those fut
ures
contracts had drifted out of the money. Now he was into NT, which he
pa
tiently explained was Nostradamus Theory. Did I know that a new team of
Nost
radamus analysts had finally cracked the mystery of the old mystic's
code? F
uture disasters were being set out on an accurate timetable so that
those in
vestors in the know could take maximum advantage.
I said I was a bit hazy ab
out Nostradamus, although I was aware that the
International Harry Shultz Le
tter had confessed to an error in its last
issue. Apparently, the catastroph
ic Californian earthquake it had forecast
on an interpretation of Nostradamu
s for May 8 1992 was wrong; it should have
said May 8 1993. San Diego would
still slide into the sea, but a year late.
You had better not go to Disneyla
nd about that time, either.
Possibly Freddie twigged that I was not taking h
im entirely seriously, but
he pressed on. Did I not realise that the US econ
omy was twice as
debt-ridden as it had ever been? Was I not aware that the J
apanese financial
system was already technically insolvent, and that there w
ere exact
parallels between the Wall Street slide and subsequent American sl
ump from
1929 onwards and the Toyko market slide beginning in 1990? Had I no
t noticed
that Germany . . .
Look, I said, I knew some of the numbers didn't
look too good, but the
global economy was still growing and over the years
I had read more than my
fair ration of books by gloom and doom merchants. As
far back as 1984, the
Kondratieff Wave theorists had been forecasting an im
minent slump. In fact,
the world stayed in a long boom. Then there was Ravi
Batra, who made a
fortune out of The Great Depression of 1990. However, ther
e was no
depression in 1990, just a recession in 1991, while Wall Street in
1992 is
hitting all-time highs. Britain's own Lord Rees-Mogg, taking time ou
t from
cleaning up television, had got in on the act with a co-authored fina
ncial
spinechiller called Blood in the Streets and, when that proved prematu
re,
managed to get out a sequel called The Great Reckoning earlier this year
. It
had all been good for royalty receipts but not for credibility.
Freddie
was distinctly unimpressed. Hadn't I seen what was happening to
property va
lues worldwide? Or the 60 per cent collapse of what had been the
world's big
gest stock market in Tokyo? Or the dreadful economic slump in
eastern Europe
? What was happening in western stock markets was just the
last gasp of the
old order.
What I had missed, he said, becoming more excitable by the minute
, was the
importance of the combination of the 54-year Kondratieff Wave with
the
seven- to 11-year Juglar cycle, not to mention the intermediary Kuznets
cycle. After all, the Kondratieff could last as long as 60 years: what did
1932 plus 60 add up to? Put all the cycles together and you could have a
tri
ple whammy for the early 1990s.
This was all getting beyond me, although I m
urmured that I remembered that
Batra had discussed something called the Jugu
lar Cycle in his book. Either
his spelling was wrong or he was talking about
blood in the streets, too. I
wished Freddie had stuck to his Peruvian fish
famine.
I should never have got back to the weather. Global warming, apparen
tly, was
the latest theme to arise from NT Why, Nostradamus himself had warn
ed that a
great tide would arise in a second Great Flood and the hot wind wo
uld blow
as from hell itself. The date? Well, the interpreters hadn't quite
decided
yet, but it wouldn't be very long.
We should be selling all energy s
tocks on the grounds that governments would
soon be doubling gasoline taxes
and banning emissions. Commodity markets
would be transformed as food crops
were devastated. By now the gleam was
really back in his eyes. The long-term
punter should be buying land at least
10 metres above existing sea level, w
aiting for values to soar as millions
were driven out of beachside settlemen
ts by the advancing waters. Except in
California, of course, which was all g
oing to slide into a geological fault
. . .
I made an excuse and left. The F
reddie Cycle was clearly testing its low
point. But, in my experience, it ne
ver stays down for long.
The Financial Times
Lond
on Page I
============= Transaction # 53 ==============================================
Transaction #: 53 Transaction Code: 19 (Record Selected)
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92062
6
FT 26 JUN 92 / Commodities and Agriculture: Flooded Bo
livian farmers on hunger strike
By FRANCIS FREISINGE
R
SANTA CRUZ
THE BOLIVIAN Eastern
Farmers Chamber (CAO) has declared an indefinite hunger
strike in protest a
t the lack of government aid in the wake of the
agricultural disaster that h
as struck the Santa Cruz department as a result
of months of flooding. Peasa
nt groups have announced other measures in
support of the CAO - including ro
ad blocks - and a regional general strike
may follow.
Santa Cruz in the east
of the country, which produces 90 per cent of
Bolivia's agricultural export
s, principally soyabeans and sugar, has been
devastated since January by the
worst floods in living memory. At least a
third and possibly as much as hal
f the crop has been lost already and the
sowing of the next crop has been se
riously disrupted, the losses will
continue for another harvest. At least Do
llars l00m has been lost to date, a
vast sum for Bolivia. As a result there
will be a marked reduction in GNP
growth this year according to economists.
Nearly a hundred farmers from the CAO have joined the hunger strike,
includi
ng some of the wealthiest men in the country, and as many as 500 more
are po
ised to follow. In a remarkable development, the hardline right-wing
farmers
have literally become bedfellows with their traditional enemy, the
Bolivian
Workers' Central (COB), the national union confederation which
still adhere
s, at least in theory, to a revolutionary Marxist ideology. Some
of COB lead
ers have joined the hunger strike and are now sleeping in the
same room as t
he farmers.
The farmers are calling for much more direct government and inte
rnational
assistance as well as rescheduling of loans from both private bank
s and
multinational institutions, principally the Inter-American Development
Bank.
They are demanding special help for the smaller farmers, worst hit
fi
nancially because of their lack of access to credit, as a result of which
th
ousands face bankruptcy. The CAO President, Mr Sergio Justiniano said: 'We
w
ill remain on hunger strike until a global solution is found'.
The flooding
is partly the result of exceptionally heavy rains that have
accompanied the
El Nino cyclical Pacific weather phenomenon, which has also
brought flooding
this year to Peru and Ecuador. However, according to
ecologists, the effect
has been exacerbated in Bolivia by the extensive
deforestation that has acc
ompanied the agricultural boom of the past few
years
Despite officially decl
aring the region a disaster zone, the government
claims that it is unable to
help. Mr Hugo Lozino, minister of peasant
development said: 'We have done w
hat we can. Bolivia is a poor country and
can't afford to do more'.
It seems
unlikely, however, that the government will be able to resist the
powerful
alliance confronting it, especially as it faces unrest in other key
sectors,
including mining.
The Financial Times
London Pag
e 30
============= Transaction # 54 ==============================================
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92062
6
FT 26 JUN 92 / Commodities and Agriculture: Flooded Bo
livian farmers on hunger strike
By FRANCIS FREISINGE
R
SANTA CRUZ
THE BOLIVIAN Eastern
Farmers Chamber (CAO) has declared an indefinite hunger
strike in protest a
t the lack of government aid in the wake of the
agricultural disaster that h
as struck the Santa Cruz department as a result
of months of flooding. Peasa
nt groups have announced other measures in
support of the CAO - including ro
ad blocks - and a regional general strike
may follow.
Santa Cruz in the east
of the country, which produces 90 per cent of
Bolivia's agricultural export
s, principally soyabeans and sugar, has been
devastated since January by the
worst floods in living memory. At least a
third and possibly as much as hal
f the crop has been lost already and the
sowing of the next crop has been se
riously disrupted, the losses will
continue for another harvest. At least Do
llars l00m has been lost to date, a
vast sum for Bolivia. As a result there
will be a marked reduction in GNP
growth this year according to economists.
Nearly a hundred farmers from the CAO have joined the hunger strike,
includi
ng some of the wealthiest men in the country, and as many as 500 more
are po
ised to follow. In a remarkable development, the hardline right-wing
farmers
have literally become bedfellows with their traditional enemy, the
Bolivian
Workers' Central (COB), the national union confederation which
still adhere
s, at least in theory, to a revolutionary Marxist ideology. Some
of COB lead
ers have joined the hunger strike and are now sleeping in the
same room as t
he farmers.
The farmers are calling for much more direct government and inte
rnational
assistance as well as rescheduling of loans from both private bank
s and
multinational institutions, principally the Inter-American Development
Bank.
They are demanding special help for the smaller farmers, worst hit
fi
nancially because of their lack of access to credit, as a result of which
th
ousands face bankruptcy. The CAO President, Mr Sergio Justiniano said: 'We
w
ill remain on hunger strike until a global solution is found'.
The flooding
is partly the result of exceptionally heavy rains that have
accompanied the
El Nino cyclical Pacific weather phenomenon, which has also
brought flooding
this year to Peru and Ecuador. However, according to
ecologists, the effect
has been exacerbated in Bolivia by the extensive
deforestation that has acc
ompanied the agricultural boom of the past few
years
Despite officially decl
aring the region a disaster zone, the government
claims that it is unable to
help. Mr Hugo Lozino, minister of peasant
development said: 'We have done w
hat we can. Bolivia is a poor country and
can't afford to do more'.
It seems
unlikely, however, that the government will be able to resist the
powerful
alliance confronting it, especially as it faces unrest in other key
sectors,
including mining.
The Financial Times
London Pag
e 30
============= Transaction # 55 ==============================================
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============= Transaction # 56 ==============================================
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FT921-5191
_AN-CCEBQAC7FT
9203
05
FT 05 MAR 92 / Commodities and Agriculture: Ecuador s
hells out on shrimp farming - The consequences of declining fish stocks and
over-investment
By SARITA KENDALL
E
cuador's shrimp farming business had another record year in 1991 as the gap
with other fishing exports widened.
Groups within the industry, unwilling to
acknowledge over-fishing, accuse
each other of irrational practices or blam
e dwindling catches on climate and
ocean currents.
'We've seen this happen i
n other countries - with herring in the North Sea,
and anchovy in Peru,' sai
d Mr Ian Scott, the economist in charge of
Britain's technical assistance pr
ogramme for the fishing sector.
'There's been over-investment. If the Ecuado
rian fleet fishes for 150 days a
year at 50 per cent efficiency, it can catc
h 3m tonnes - but the sustainable
stock of pelagic fish is only 500,000 to 1
m tonnes.'
In the last few years fishermen supplying the fishmeal and cannin
g
industries have seen a drastic drop in the harvest of sardines, mackerel,
thread herring and anchovies: the catch fell from 1,970,000 tonnes in 1985
t
o 233,000 tonnes in 1990, leaving many processing plants working at less
tha
n 20 per cent of capacity.
Mr Scott said that although the warm southward-fl
owing El Nino current was
responsible for two bad years, the general decline
was due to over-fishing
and licences and quota systems were needed to help
stocks recover.
The tuna industry, centred in Manta, is also overblown, but
the catch has
remained stable at 50,000 to 55,000 tonnes a year.
Both Ecuado
rian and foreign boats fish for tuna. Local fishermen criticise
the fact tha
t boats registered in the US, Japan and other countries are
contracted by Ma
nta processing companies. However, it is argued that only
some of the vessel
s in the national fleet can freeze tuna to -40C, the
temperature necessary f
or good quality exports.
The under-secretary for fishing, Mr Max Aguirre, is
proud of Ecuador's
record on the dolphin-tuna issue. 'The Ecuadorian law is
strict. Ecuadorian
and foreign boats have their licences taken away if they
fish on dolphins. I
report with satisfaction that in 43 trips with observer
s on board there were
zero dolphin deaths.'
Mr Aguirre admits that research
studies warned of sardine fishing problems,
and says regional controls, incl
uding Peru and Chile, should be enforced.
'Licences should regulate the catc
h with reference to the resource.'
However, the private sector has been too
powerful and the government too
timid to allow any quota-based management of
stocks.
The fish sector earned about USDollars 570m in 1991, with shrimps
c
ontributing more than 85 per cent. There are more than 125,000 hectares of
s
hrimp ponds along the tidal flats of the Ecuadorian coastline, mainly in
the
southern provinces. Most shrimp farms are less than 50 hectares, though
the
largest - up to as much as 2,000 hectares - tend to be the most
sophistica
ted. Some use small aircraft to drop feed over the surface of the
ponds.
Shr
imp farms produce all year round so close to the equator and two to three
ha
rvests can be taken. With an ideal climate, plentiful larvae and
low-labour
costs, Ecuador is the leading Latin American shrimp exporter.
'Our problem a
t the moment is the big jump in the cost of inputs. The dollar
price of shri
mps has dropped and so has profitability,' said Mr Renato del
Campo of the C
hamber of Shrimp Producers in Guayaquil. 'But there are
markets - the US is
still attractive and we are diversifying into Europe,
especially Spain.'
Exp
orts have risen from 10,000 tonnes in 1980 to more than 78,000 tonnes in
199
1, and the need for more space and more larvae has led to conflict with
envi
ronmental groups, particularly over the clearing of mangroves.
Most shrimps
are bred from wild larvae caught by thousands of seasonal
fishermen, but mor
e than 100 laboratories have been started up in recent
years, with some expo
rting larvae to Colombia.
Although the shrimp fishing industry is small, acc
ounting for less than 10
per cent of production, wild shrimp provide importa
nt breeding stocks for
the laboratories.
The sector expanded dangerously fas
t - from about 2,000 to 9,000 boats - in
the 1980s and over-fishing is beco
ming a serious problem within a few miles
of the coast. Many of the boats ar
e dug-out canoes based in small
communities.
'We need to teach people to tak
e better care of the fish, then they'll also
improve their income. There sho
uld be ice available, and we need to
encourage marketing co-operatives,' sai
d Mr Aguirre.
The British aid project, which is now ending after 12 years, h
as helped the
National Fisheries Institute to build up data on biology, prod
uct
development, marketing and management.
Ecuador has a stronger basis for
planning resource use than many other
countries. 'There isn't any room for g
rowth in the existing industry - it
needs reducing and consolidating,' said
Mr. Scott.
The Financial Times
London Page 30
============= Transaction # 57 ==============================================
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FT921-5191
_AN-CCEBQAC7FT
9203
05
FT 05 MAR 92 / Commodities and Agriculture: Ecuador s
hells out on shrimp farming - The consequences of declining fish stocks and
over-investment
By SARITA KENDALL
E
cuador's shrimp farming business had another record year in 1991 as the gap
with other fishing exports widened.
Groups within the industry, unwilling to
acknowledge over-fishing, accuse
each other of irrational practices or blam
e dwindling catches on climate and
ocean currents.
'We've seen this happen i
n other countries - with herring in the North Sea,
and anchovy in Peru,' sai
d Mr Ian Scott, the economist in charge of
Britain's technical assistance pr
ogramme for the fishing sector.
'There's been over-investment. If the Ecuado
rian fleet fishes for 150 days a
year at 50 per cent efficiency, it can catc
h 3m tonnes - but the sustainable
stock of pelagic fish is only 500,000 to 1
m tonnes.'
In the last few years fishermen supplying the fishmeal and cannin
g
industries have seen a drastic drop in the harvest of sardines, mackerel,
thread herring and anchovies: the catch fell from 1,970,000 tonnes in 1985
t
o 233,000 tonnes in 1990, leaving many processing plants working at less
tha
n 20 per cent of capacity.
Mr Scott said that although the warm southward-fl
owing El Nino current was
responsible for two bad years, the general decline
was due to over-fishing
and licences and quota systems were needed to help
stocks recover.
The tuna industry, centred in Manta, is also overblown, but
the catch has
remained stable at 50,000 to 55,000 tonnes a year.
Both Ecuado
rian and foreign boats fish for tuna. Local fishermen criticise
the fact tha
t boats registered in the US, Japan and other countries are
contracted by Ma
nta processing companies. However, it is argued that only
some of the vessel
s in the national fleet can freeze tuna to -40C, the
temperature necessary f
or good quality exports.
The under-secretary for fishing, Mr Max Aguirre, is
proud of Ecuador's
record on the dolphin-tuna issue. 'The Ecuadorian law is
strict. Ecuadorian
and foreign boats have their licences taken away if they
fish on dolphins. I
report with satisfaction that in 43 trips with observer
s on board there were
zero dolphin deaths.'
Mr Aguirre admits that research
studies warned of sardine fishing problems,
and says regional controls, incl
uding Peru and Chile, should be enforced.
'Licences should regulate the catc
h with reference to the resource.'
However, the private sector has been too
powerful and the government too
timid to allow any quota-based management of
stocks.
The fish sector earned about USDollars 570m in 1991, with shrimps
c
ontributing more than 85 per cent. There are more than 125,000 hectares of
s
hrimp ponds along the tidal flats of the Ecuadorian coastline, mainly in
the
southern provinces. Most shrimp farms are less than 50 hectares, though
the
largest - up to as much as 2,000 hectares - tend to be the most
sophistica
ted. Some use small aircraft to drop feed over the surface of the
ponds.
Shr
imp farms produce all year round so close to the equator and two to three
ha
rvests can be taken. With an ideal climate, plentiful larvae and
low-labour
costs, Ecuador is the leading Latin American shrimp exporter.
'Our problem a
t the moment is the big jump in the cost of inputs. The dollar
price of shri
mps has dropped and so has profitability,' said Mr Renato del
Campo of the C
hamber of Shrimp Producers in Guayaquil. 'But there are
markets - the US is
still attractive and we are diversifying into Europe,
especially Spain.'
Exp
orts have risen from 10,000 tonnes in 1980 to more than 78,000 tonnes in
199
1, and the need for more space and more larvae has led to conflict with
envi
ronmental groups, particularly over the clearing of mangroves.
Most shrimps
are bred from wild larvae caught by thousands of seasonal
fishermen, but mor
e than 100 laboratories have been started up in recent
years, with some expo
rting larvae to Colombia.
Although the shrimp fishing industry is small, acc
ounting for less than 10
per cent of production, wild shrimp provide importa
nt breeding stocks for
the laboratories.
The sector expanded dangerously fas
t - from about 2,000 to 9,000 boats - in
the 1980s and over-fishing is beco
ming a serious problem within a few miles
of the coast. Many of the boats ar
e dug-out canoes based in small
communities.
'We need to teach people to tak
e better care of the fish, then they'll also
improve their income. There sho
uld be ice available, and we need to
encourage marketing co-operatives,' sai
d Mr Aguirre.
The British aid project, which is now ending after 12 years, h
as helped the
National Fisheries Institute to build up data on biology, prod
uct
development, marketing and management.
Ecuador has a stronger basis for
planning resource use than many other
countries. 'There isn't any room for g
rowth in the existing industry - it
needs reducing and consolidating,' said
Mr. Scott.
The Financial Times
London Page 30
============= Transaction # 58 ==============================================
Transaction #: 58 Transaction Code: 19 (Record Selected)
Terminal ID: 57900 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC)
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FT931-13401
_AN-DAXAVADOFT
930
123
FT 23 JAN 93 / World Stock Markets: De Beers gives J
SE a buoyant start to 1993 - But economic hopes are muted
By PHILIP GAWITH
Just as the collapse last August in
De Beers' share price was an important
factor in driving down the Johannesbu
rg Stock Exchange, so its recent
recovery has helped get the market off to a
buoyant start in 1993.
The overall index has risen by about 4 per cent in t
he first three weeks,
having closed 1992 down 5.3 per cent on the year. The
index closed yesterday
up 22 at 3,404.
Much of this year's rise can be attri
buted to De Beers, which accounts for
some 10 per cent of total volume and 5
per cent of market capitalisation.
The shares have risen by 16 per cent sin
ce the start of the year, closing
yesterday at R68.25, after finishing 1992
at R57.50. This improvement is
mainly attributable to better than expected r
ough diamond sales by the
Central Selling Organisation during 1992, and indi
cations that the problem
of excess supply from Angola and Russia has eased.
The industrial index has also started the year strongly, up 4 per cent,
afte
r a 4.6 per cent gain in the whole of 1992, which followed a strong 39
per c
ent rise the previous year.
Mr Richard Jesse, an analyst at brokers Martin &
Co partly attributes this
good start to the, by now, 'tedious litany' of th
e market's scrip shortage.
Nevertheless, most observers believe that 1993 wi
ll be a better year on the
JSE than 1992. To some extent, this view is suppo
rted by improved political
and economic fundamentals. While the speed of pol
itical negotiation is
rather slow all those involved are aware that the coun
try cannot afford a
repeat of the damaging political hiatus which followed t
he failure of the
Codesa 2 talks in May and the Boipatong massacre in June.
Economic expectations, however, are muted: the weather pattern in recent
wee
ks has led to renewed fears that the El Nino phenomenon, associated with
the
severe drought of 1991-92, has reappeared. Last year, for instance, the
dro
ught shaved nearly 2 percentage points off GDP growth.
The expectation remai
ns, however, of positive growth in 1993 of around 1.5
per cent (GDP shrunk b
y about 2 per cent in 1992), on hopes of a better
agricultural season and im
proved commodity exports as world growth improves.
The earnings prospects of
industrial companies remains gloomy. Most
companies that have reported rece
ntly have predicted a drop in profits and
there is little expectation of imp
roved corporate profits before 1994.
In spite of these rather pale fundament
als, Mr Jesse is predicting a
rerating of the market. He believes that the F
inancial and Industrial index,
currently on a price/earnings ratio of 14.9 t
imes, down from a peak of some
15.5 in 1992, could rise to more than 16 this
year.
He gives two main reasons for this forecast, apart from the improved
political prospects. First, the absence of alternatives: property returns
ar
e expected to fall in 1993, while money market rates which are in line
with
inflation, and likely to fall with interest rates, are hardly
attractive.
Ca
pital markets are also a difficult route because, while the probable
short-t
erm decline in inflation, which currently stands at about 11 per
cent, is po
sitive, this is counterbalanced by concerns about the size of the
government
's budget deficit and prospects of a relaxation in fiscal policy
under an in
terim government.
Second, Mr Jesse argues that South African fund managers w
ill be increasing
the equity portion of their portfolios: many of them are u
nderweight,
holding less than 60 per cent in equities when the limit is as m
uch as 75
per cent.
One unfashionable area which could receive some of these
institutional funds
is gold shares which have been sharply downrated over t
he past three years
as the gold index declined from a peak of 2,250 to curre
nt levels of about
800, with a 30 per cent fall in 1992 alone.
Mr Mike Wuth,
mining analyst at brokers Rice Rinaldi says that this
correction has largel
y removed the speculative angle from gold. Now, he
says, gold has to offer d
ecent returns and compete more directly with
industrial shares.
However few
analysts hold out much hope for a higher gold price in the short
term and a
weakening rand is only likely to offer limited benefit.
But one way that pro
fits can be improved is through further cost cutting
measures and the Decemb
er gold quarterly results of mining houses confirm
the impressive progress t
hat has been made in this direction. With the
dividend yield of the gold ind
ex having risen to 6.6 per cent from 3.4 per
cent three years ago, gold shar
es are now offering better value than for a
number of years.
Mr Wuth forecas
ts that foreigners are more likely to be buyers of good
shares than local in
stitutions. Many of the latter, he argues, are
historically overweight in go
ld and so are looking for opportunities to
lighten their holdings.
Overseas
institutions, of course, will be wary of the vagaries of the
financial rand
investment unit, which started 1992 at a discount of 14 per
cent to the comm
ercial rand and ended at a discount of 37 per cent.
But the political outloo
k and recent steps taken to bolster the currency,
make any further weakening
from current levels unlikely.
Countries:-
ZAZ South
Africa, Africa.
Industries:-
P6231 Security and Commo
dity Exchanges.
Types:-
CMMT Comment and Analysis.
MKTS Market Data.
The Financial Times
London Page
19
============= Transaction # 59 ==============================================
Transaction #: 59 Transaction Code: 22 (Record(s) Saved)
Terminal ID: 57900 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC)
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FT931-13401
_AN-DAXAVADOFT
930
123
FT 23 JAN 93 / World Stock Markets: De Beers gives J
SE a buoyant start to 1993 - But economic hopes are muted
By PHILIP GAWITH
Just as the collapse last August in
De Beers' share price was an important
factor in driving down the Johannesbu
rg Stock Exchange, so its recent
recovery has helped get the market off to a
buoyant start in 1993.
The overall index has risen by about 4 per cent in t
he first three weeks,
having closed 1992 down 5.3 per cent on the year. The
index closed yesterday
up 22 at 3,404.
Much of this year's rise can be attri
buted to De Beers, which accounts for
some 10 per cent of total volume and 5
per cent of market capitalisation.
The shares have risen by 16 per cent sin
ce the start of the year, closing
yesterday at R68.25, after finishing 1992
at R57.50. This improvement is
mainly attributable to better than expected r
ough diamond sales by the
Central Selling Organisation during 1992, and indi
cations that the problem
of excess supply from Angola and Russia has eased.
The industrial index has also started the year strongly, up 4 per cent,
afte
r a 4.6 per cent gain in the whole of 1992, which followed a strong 39
per c
ent rise the previous year.
Mr Richard Jesse, an analyst at brokers Martin &
Co partly attributes this
good start to the, by now, 'tedious litany' of th
e market's scrip shortage.
Nevertheless, most observers believe that 1993 wi
ll be a better year on the
JSE than 1992. To some extent, this view is suppo
rted by improved political
and economic fundamentals. While the speed of pol
itical negotiation is
rather slow all those involved are aware that the coun
try cannot afford a
repeat of the damaging political hiatus which followed t
he failure of the
Codesa 2 talks in May and the Boipatong massacre in June.
Economic expectations, however, are muted: the weather pattern in recent
wee
ks has led to renewed fears that the El Nino phenomenon, associated with
the
severe drought of 1991-92, has reappeared. Last year, for instance, the
dro
ught shaved nearly 2 percentage points off GDP growth.
The expectation remai
ns, however, of positive growth in 1993 of around 1.5
per cent (GDP shrunk b
y about 2 per cent in 1992), on hopes of a better
agricultural season and im
proved commodity exports as world growth improves.
The earnings prospects of
industrial companies remains gloomy. Most
companies that have reported rece
ntly have predicted a drop in profits and
there is little expectation of imp
roved corporate profits before 1994.
In spite of these rather pale fundament
als, Mr Jesse is predicting a
rerating of the market. He believes that the F
inancial and Industrial index,
currently on a price/earnings ratio of 14.9 t
imes, down from a peak of some
15.5 in 1992, could rise to more than 16 this
year.
He gives two main reasons for this forecast, apart from the improved
political prospects. First, the absence of alternatives: property returns
ar
e expected to fall in 1993, while money market rates which are in line
with
inflation, and likely to fall with interest rates, are hardly
attractive.
Ca
pital markets are also a difficult route because, while the probable
short-t
erm decline in inflation, which currently stands at about 11 per
cent, is po
sitive, this is counterbalanced by concerns about the size of the
government
's budget deficit and prospects of a relaxation in fiscal policy
under an in
terim government.
Second, Mr Jesse argues that South African fund managers w
ill be increasing
the equity portion of their portfolios: many of them are u
nderweight,
holding less than 60 per cent in equities when the limit is as m
uch as 75
per cent.
One unfashionable area which could receive some of these
institutional funds
is gold shares which have been sharply downrated over t
he past three years
as the gold index declined from a peak of 2,250 to curre
nt levels of about
800, with a 30 per cent fall in 1992 alone.
Mr Mike Wuth,
mining analyst at brokers Rice Rinaldi says that this
correction has largel
y removed the speculative angle from gold. Now, he
says, gold has to offer d
ecent returns and compete more directly with
industrial shares.
However few
analysts hold out much hope for a higher gold price in the short
term and a
weakening rand is only likely to offer limited benefit.
But one way that pro
fits can be improved is through further cost cutting
measures and the Decemb
er gold quarterly results of mining houses confirm
the impressive progress t
hat has been made in this direction. With the
dividend yield of the gold ind
ex having risen to 6.6 per cent from 3.4 per
cent three years ago, gold shar
es are now offering better value than for a
number of years.
Mr Wuth forecas
ts that foreigners are more likely to be buyers of good
shares than local in
stitutions. Many of the latter, he argues, are
historically overweight in go
ld and so are looking for opportunities to
lighten their holdings.
Overseas
institutions, of course, will be wary of the vagaries of the
financial rand
investment unit, which started 1992 at a discount of 14 per
cent to the comm
ercial rand and ended at a discount of 37 per cent.
But the political outloo
k and recent steps taken to bolster the currency,
make any further weakening
from current levels unlikely.
Countries:-
ZAZ South
Africa, Africa.
Industries:-
P6231 Security and Commo
dity Exchanges.
Types:-
CMMT Comment and Analysis.
MKTS Market Data.
The Financial Times
London Page
19
============= Transaction # 60 ==============================================
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_AN-CACBJAD4FT
920
103
FT 03 JAN 92 / Commodities and Agriculture: Uncertai
nties cloud US farming outlook - Election year politics could again ease gro
wers' sufferings
By NANCY DUNNE
AME
RICAN FARMERS are facing a new year as shrouded in uncertainty as any in
rec
ent times. The collapse of the Soviet Union puts into jeopardy one of
their
most lucrative markets; trade war with China is looming; and the
condition o
f the world economy is precarious.
Negotiators in the Uruguay Round of the G
eneral Agreement on Tariffs and
Trade are still deadlocked on farm trade ref
orm. Even the course of the El
Nino weather phenomenon is confounding expert
s, who worry that it could
trigger droughts in some areas at a time when US
grain stocks are
uncomfortably low.
At the annual outlook conference of the
US Department of Agriculture
Department last month, Mr James Donald, head of
the USDA's World Agriculture
Outlook Board, put an optimistic face on 1992
for American farmers. Global
crop production would fall but animal output wo
uld grow, creating many more
hungry mouths to feed, he said.
Higher grain pr
ices and an increased volume of wheat, soyabean and
horticultural product ex
ports would boost the value of farm exports to
Dollars 39bn, up 4 per cent f
rom 1991, Mr Donald forecast. World commodity
demand would increase because
of real economic growth of about 2.5 per cent,
population growth of 1.7 per
cent and a 2 per cent rise in meat output.
Meanwhile a 'modest increase' cou
ld be expected in input prices. However,
the overall result would be cash re
turns only 'close' to 1991 levels.
Mr Robert McElroy, a USDA agricultural ec
onomist, predicted a rise in US
wheat prices next year. But he told the conf
erence a threatened drop in
other grain prices could lead to an overall drop
in incomes. That would be a
further blow to a sector where bankruptcies are
continuing at a brisk pace,
although not at the rate of the early 1980s.
Mr
Mitchell Morehart, another USDA agricultural economist, acknowledged that
t
he rapid changes in the world had made it 'pretty difficult' to forecast
net
farm income. The drop in US interest rates would benefit some farmers
and a
possible fall in fuel prices would also help.
Maize is the largest single c
omponent of US farmer price receipts and the
republics of the former Soviet
Union are still the major wild card in the
pack. The future of this trade re
sts on the willingness of the west to
provide financial assistance.
If the w
est withheld credits mendous,' said Mr Alan Terhaar, executive
director of t
he US Feed Grains Council.
'The cumulative effect of lack of trade credits t
hat would cause the Soviets
to fall from the projected level to, for example
, 5m tonnes of imports would
by the end of 1995-96, could cause a build-up o
f 60m tonnes of US feed
grains stocks. Wheat stocks would face a similar bui
ld-up.'
If President Bush took the lead on increasing export guarantees to t
he
former Soviet republics then the subsequent rise in maize prices could
ac
tually turn falling farm incomes around.
With all the uncertainties, Mr Terh
aar expected a 'disappointing' outcome
for 1991-92 trade. Although exports t
o Mexico had been rising, they were
slightly behind expectations of 7.5m ton
nes per year by 1995. Furthermore,
he was keeping a close watch on proposed
changes to Mexico's ejido (communal
farm) land tenure system.
'Even two year
s ago it would have been inconceivable that Mexico would ever
change its eji
do system, which dates back to that country's revolution,' Mr
Terhaar said.
The system had been 'considered an insurmountable impediment'
to higher Mexi
can production, but a proposal to introduce privatisation into
the system co
uld have 'far reaching consequences for the make-up of crop and
livestock pr
oduction'.
Mr Terhaar was hopeful about increased exports to Egypt, since US
debt
forgiveness and an emerging private sector had strengthened the market
.
Eastern Europe offered some possibility of new markets in the short term b
ut
it could not afford to buy much.
Australia, South Africa and Thailand app
eared to be moving away from feed
grains exports, but the Asian market posed
another concern for the US.
Japan's tariff quota on imports of maize for in
dustrial processing and
layers of regulations and secondary tariffs on feed
grain might indicate 'we
have simply reached a plateau in Japanese imports.
. . or we are entering a
period of significant decline'.
In Korea the US was
facing China as a major competitor, while China was
maintaining firm contro
l on import volume into the south, where economic
growth rates in excess of
20 per cent were causing an explosion in demand.
Mr Terhaar was 'bullish' th
at China would succumb to economic and political
pressures to open its marke
t to feed grain imports. Currently it was
importing 800,000 tonnes of barley
for malt production, and demand was
growing by more than 100,000 tonnes a y
ear.
The likeliest bet is that election year politics will prevail and US fa
rmers
will not be allowed to suffer unduly in 1992. If history repeats itsel
f -
and why not? - then the Republican administration and Democratic Congres
s
will join forces to ensure that the Midwest and the Sunbelt states, major
electoral battlegrounds, will get sticking plasters for their pain.
Already
there have been calls in Congress for export subsidy re-armament.
President
Bush, facing a tough re-election fight and lagging in the polls,
is unlikely
to refuse this favoured constituency unless Gatt brings
discipline into the
trade.
The Financial Times
London Page 14 Photog
raph Maize is the biggest contributor to US farm incomes but Soviet sales ar
e in doubt (Omitted).
============= Transaction # 61 ==============================================
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_AN-CACBJAD4FT
920
103
FT 03 JAN 92 / Commodities and Agriculture: Uncertai
nties cloud US farming outlook - Election year politics could again ease gro
wers' sufferings
By NANCY DUNNE
AME
RICAN FARMERS are facing a new year as shrouded in uncertainty as any in
rec
ent times. The collapse of the Soviet Union puts into jeopardy one of
their
most lucrative markets; trade war with China is looming; and the
condition o
f the world economy is precarious.
Negotiators in the Uruguay Round of the G
eneral Agreement on Tariffs and
Trade are still deadlocked on farm trade ref
orm. Even the course of the El
Nino weather phenomenon is confounding expert
s, who worry that it could
trigger droughts in some areas at a time when US
grain stocks are
uncomfortably low.
At the annual outlook conference of the
US Department of Agriculture
Department last month, Mr James Donald, head of
the USDA's World Agriculture
Outlook Board, put an optimistic face on 1992
for American farmers. Global
crop production would fall but animal output wo
uld grow, creating many more
hungry mouths to feed, he said.
Higher grain pr
ices and an increased volume of wheat, soyabean and
horticultural product ex
ports would boost the value of farm exports to
Dollars 39bn, up 4 per cent f
rom 1991, Mr Donald forecast. World commodity
demand would increase because
of real economic growth of about 2.5 per cent,
population growth of 1.7 per
cent and a 2 per cent rise in meat output.
Meanwhile a 'modest increase' cou
ld be expected in input prices. However,
the overall result would be cash re
turns only 'close' to 1991 levels.
Mr Robert McElroy, a USDA agricultural ec
onomist, predicted a rise in US
wheat prices next year. But he told the conf
erence a threatened drop in
other grain prices could lead to an overall drop
in incomes. That would be a
further blow to a sector where bankruptcies are
continuing at a brisk pace,
although not at the rate of the early 1980s.
Mr
Mitchell Morehart, another USDA agricultural economist, acknowledged that
t
he rapid changes in the world had made it 'pretty difficult' to forecast
net
farm income. The drop in US interest rates would benefit some farmers
and a
possible fall in fuel prices would also help.
Maize is the largest single c
omponent of US farmer price receipts and the
republics of the former Soviet
Union are still the major wild card in the
pack. The future of this trade re
sts on the willingness of the west to
provide financial assistance.
If the w
est withheld credits mendous,' said Mr Alan Terhaar, executive
director of t
he US Feed Grains Council.
'The cumulative effect of lack of trade credits t
hat would cause the Soviets
to fall from the projected level to, for example
, 5m tonnes of imports would
by the end of 1995-96, could cause a build-up o
f 60m tonnes of US feed
grains stocks. Wheat stocks would face a similar bui
ld-up.'
If President Bush took the lead on increasing export guarantees to t
he
former Soviet republics then the subsequent rise in maize prices could
ac
tually turn falling farm incomes around.
With all the uncertainties, Mr Terh
aar expected a 'disappointing' outcome
for 1991-92 trade. Although exports t
o Mexico had been rising, they were
slightly behind expectations of 7.5m ton
nes per year by 1995. Furthermore,
he was keeping a close watch on proposed
changes to Mexico's ejido (communal
farm) land tenure system.
'Even two year
s ago it would have been inconceivable that Mexico would ever
change its eji
do system, which dates back to that country's revolution,' Mr
Terhaar said.
The system had been 'considered an insurmountable impediment'
to higher Mexi
can production, but a proposal to introduce privatisation into
the system co
uld have 'far reaching consequences for the make-up of crop and
livestock pr
oduction'.
Mr Terhaar was hopeful about increased exports to Egypt, since US
debt
forgiveness and an emerging private sector had strengthened the market
.
Eastern Europe offered some possibility of new markets in the short term b
ut
it could not afford to buy much.
Australia, South Africa and Thailand app
eared to be moving away from feed
grains exports, but the Asian market posed
another concern for the US.
Japan's tariff quota on imports of maize for in
dustrial processing and
layers of regulations and secondary tariffs on feed
grain might indicate 'we
have simply reached a plateau in Japanese imports.
. . or we are entering a
period of significant decline'.
In Korea the US was
facing China as a major competitor, while China was
maintaining firm contro
l on import volume into the south, where economic
growth rates in excess of
20 per cent were causing an explosion in demand.
Mr Terhaar was 'bullish' th
at China would succumb to economic and political
pressures to open its marke
t to feed grain imports. Currently it was
importing 800,000 tonnes of barley
for malt production, and demand was
growing by more than 100,000 tonnes a y
ear.
The likeliest bet is that election year politics will prevail and US fa
rmers
will not be allowed to suffer unduly in 1992. If history repeats itsel
f -
and why not? - then the Republican administration and Democratic Congres
s
will join forces to ensure that the Midwest and the Sunbelt states, major
electoral battlegrounds, will get sticking plasters for their pain.
Already
there have been calls in Congress for export subsidy re-armament.
President
Bush, facing a tough re-election fight and lagging in the polls,
is unlikely
to refuse this favoured constituency unless Gatt brings
discipline into the
trade.
The Financial Times
London Page 14 Photog
raph Maize is the biggest contributor to US farm incomes but Soviet sales ar
e in doubt (Omitted).
============= Transaction # 62 ==============================================
Transaction #: 62 Transaction Code: 19 (Record Selected)
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9408
26
FT 26 AUG 94 / Commodities and Agriculture: Fishmeal
plants gobble up Peru's marine wealth - The crisis threatened by overcapacit
y and inefficiency
By SALLY BOWEN
P
eru's fishmeal industry, already the world's number one exporter in 1993,
is
set for even more spectacular figures this year. The catch in the first
six
months was almost half as large again as last year's and, with new
plants c
oming on stream along the coast, quality is on the increase as well
as quant
ity.
'It's an extraordinary year for fishing,' says Mr Dante Matellini, the
retired admiral who presides over Pescaperu, the world's largest fishmeal
pr
oducer. Pescaperu was created in the early 1970s when the then left-wing
mil
itary government nationalised the bulk of the privately-owned plants.
With f
avourable climatic conditions and fish stocks fully recovered after
the 1991
-92 ravages of the warm current known as 'El Nino' (The Child), Mr
Matellini
has more to keep him busy than simply producing and selling
fishmeal. He is
also charged with the privatisation of the state's assets:
some 20 fishmeal
factories and four fishoil refineries.
Pescaperu's sale was originally anno
unced almost two years ago. Now new
chief, Mr Matellini, has redrawn the str
ategy to sell the plants as
separate, legally-constituted companies rather t
han as simple assets. The
plants are valued at between Dollars 5m and Dollar
s 10m apiece, but all
require substantial investment and upgrading.
Privatis
ation has proved delicate as well as slow. Workers made redundant
under a ra
tionalisation scheme have demonstrated vociferously in Lima's
streets. Now t
he fishing lobby, the SNP, is also objecting to the sale.
'Pescaperu is a se
ven-headed dragon,' says Mr Lucas de Tramontana, the SNP's
vice-president an
d a major shareholder in Pesquera Austral, the second
largest private fishme
al producer. 'We believe not more than half-a-dozen of
its plants should be
sold.' An official proposal to that effect has been put
before the privatise
rs.
The SNP's objection is that Peru's existing plant capacity vastly exceed
s
the fish available for processing. In a 'normal' year, hundreds of small
P
eruvian fishermen land about 6.5m tonnes of 'industrial' fish, primarily
anc
hovy and sardine, caught within 30 miles of the shore by traditional,
low-te
ch methods.
Last year, more than 8.4m tonnes of fish were extracted and, by
the time the
twice-yearly fishing ban came into force on 1 August, that tota
l had already
been matched. But, working at capacity, Peru's hungry processi
ng plants can
gobble up around 20,000 tonnes of raw fish an hour.
By early J
uly, Pescaperu had exported 450,000 tonnes of fishmeal, worth
Dollars 144m -
about a third of the 1994 national total so far. Each year,
however, its sh
are dwindles as private producers bring new, high-technology
plants on strea
m to turn out 'special' quality fishmeal.
One such is the Dollars 22m instal
lation belonging to Sindicato Pesquero
(Sipesa), near the port of Matarani o
n Peru's southern coast, where fish
stocks are now proving more reliable. Si
pesa is far and away the country's
leading private company, with 1993 export
s worth Dollars 75m. This year's
shipments could be 50 per cent higher.
Pesq
uera Austral, in the number two slot and investing heavily, has recently
bro
ught two new special quality plants on line, both south of Lima. It has
laun
ched a Dollars 30m Euronote issue to help finance restructuring and
expansio
n.
In all, the SNP's general manager, Mr Richard Diaz, can reckon up some
Do
llars 400m in fresh private sector investments planned and already under
way
for fleet and plant modernisation.
But, with all the entrepreneurial activi
ty, Peru's anchovy and sardine
stocks are being stretched to their limits -
some suspect they may already
be over-fished. The last time Peruvian fisherm
en caught quantities similar
to this year's was in record-breaking 1971. Tha
t free-for-all decimated
stocks and plunged the fishmeal industry into crisi
s for years.
The UN's Food and Agriculture Organisation is working with Peru
's fisheries
ministry and maritime institute (Imarpe) to make a better evalu
ation of the
resource. Mr Diaz says 'preliminary information from the study
indicates
there may have been errors in calculating the biomass in previous
years. Or
else the 'biological' fishing ban has allowed stocks to build up.'
Nevertheless, the anchovy and sardine caught off the Peruvian coast are
fin
ite. Apart from improving the conversion ratio of raw material to
finished p
roduct, fishmeal producers may soon have no alternative but to
move into dee
per waters where virtually untapped stocks of horse and jack
mackerel abound
.
Investment in deep-sea trawlers, of course, is expensive and, according to
the SNP, Peru's very private fishing sector (no Peruvian fishing company is
yet publicly traded) carries a heavy burden of debt.
One option for the for
ward-looking company is a joint venture backed by
foreign capital. Peru's So
tomayor group, 40 per cent owned by American
Proteins of Atlanta, has embark
ed on a tuna-fishing venture in association
with JIDO, the Japanese investme
nt and development organisation. The first
of a projected four-ship fleet is
already operating off the Peruvian coast
and selling tuna to Japan for sash
imi.
A Dutch company, Van der Zwan, meanwhile, has bought back seven Dutch-b
uilt
trawlers originally supplied to now-liquidated Flopesca, the former
sta
te-owned high seas fishing fleet. In a joint venture with a local company
ba
sed in Peru's northern port of Paita, a couple of the reconditioned
trawlers
are to produce frozen fish, mainly hake, for export to Europe.
A further, o
bvious option for Peruvian companies that see the writing on the
wall is to
launch a public share offering. Both Sipesa and Sotomayor say
they are consi
dering it.
Countries:-
PEZ Peru, South America.
Industries:-
P091 Commercial Fishing.
P2092 Fresh or F
rozen Prepared Fish.
Types:-
CMMT Comment & Analysis.
MKTS Production.
The Financial Times
London Pa
ge 22
============= Transaction # 63 ==============================================
Transaction #: 63 Transaction Code: 22 (Record(s) Saved)
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9408
26
FT 26 AUG 94 / Commodities and Agriculture: Fishmeal
plants gobble up Peru's marine wealth - The crisis threatened by overcapacit
y and inefficiency
By SALLY BOWEN
P
eru's fishmeal industry, already the world's number one exporter in 1993,
is
set for even more spectacular figures this year. The catch in the first
six
months was almost half as large again as last year's and, with new
plants c
oming on stream along the coast, quality is on the increase as well
as quant
ity.
'It's an extraordinary year for fishing,' says Mr Dante Matellini, the
retired admiral who presides over Pescaperu, the world's largest fishmeal
pr
oducer. Pescaperu was created in the early 1970s when the then left-wing
mil
itary government nationalised the bulk of the privately-owned plants.
With f
avourable climatic conditions and fish stocks fully recovered after
the 1991
-92 ravages of the warm current known as 'El Nino' (The Child), Mr
Matellini
has more to keep him busy than simply producing and selling
fishmeal. He is
also charged with the privatisation of the state's assets:
some 20 fishmeal
factories and four fishoil refineries.
Pescaperu's sale was originally anno
unced almost two years ago. Now new
chief, Mr Matellini, has redrawn the str
ategy to sell the plants as
separate, legally-constituted companies rather t
han as simple assets. The
plants are valued at between Dollars 5m and Dollar
s 10m apiece, but all
require substantial investment and upgrading.
Privatis
ation has proved delicate as well as slow. Workers made redundant
under a ra
tionalisation scheme have demonstrated vociferously in Lima's
streets. Now t
he fishing lobby, the SNP, is also objecting to the sale.
'Pescaperu is a se
ven-headed dragon,' says Mr Lucas de Tramontana, the SNP's
vice-president an
d a major shareholder in Pesquera Austral, the second
largest private fishme
al producer. 'We believe not more than half-a-dozen of
its plants should be
sold.' An official proposal to that effect has been put
before the privatise
rs.
The SNP's objection is that Peru's existing plant capacity vastly exceed
s
the fish available for processing. In a 'normal' year, hundreds of small
P
eruvian fishermen land about 6.5m tonnes of 'industrial' fish, primarily
anc
hovy and sardine, caught within 30 miles of the shore by traditional,
low-te
ch methods.
Last year, more than 8.4m tonnes of fish were extracted and, by
the time the
twice-yearly fishing ban came into force on 1 August, that tota
l had already
been matched. But, working at capacity, Peru's hungry processi
ng plants can
gobble up around 20,000 tonnes of raw fish an hour.
By early J
uly, Pescaperu had exported 450,000 tonnes of fishmeal, worth
Dollars 144m -
about a third of the 1994 national total so far. Each year,
however, its sh
are dwindles as private producers bring new, high-technology
plants on strea
m to turn out 'special' quality fishmeal.
One such is the Dollars 22m instal
lation belonging to Sindicato Pesquero
(Sipesa), near the port of Matarani o
n Peru's southern coast, where fish
stocks are now proving more reliable. Si
pesa is far and away the country's
leading private company, with 1993 export
s worth Dollars 75m. This year's
shipments could be 50 per cent higher.
Pesq
uera Austral, in the number two slot and investing heavily, has recently
bro
ught two new special quality plants on line, both south of Lima. It has
laun
ched a Dollars 30m Euronote issue to help finance restructuring and
expansio
n.
In all, the SNP's general manager, Mr Richard Diaz, can reckon up some
Do
llars 400m in fresh private sector investments planned and already under
way
for fleet and plant modernisation.
But, with all the entrepreneurial activi
ty, Peru's anchovy and sardine
stocks are being stretched to their limits -
some suspect they may already
be over-fished. The last time Peruvian fisherm
en caught quantities similar
to this year's was in record-breaking 1971. Tha
t free-for-all decimated
stocks and plunged the fishmeal industry into crisi
s for years.
The UN's Food and Agriculture Organisation is working with Peru
's fisheries
ministry and maritime institute (Imarpe) to make a better evalu
ation of the
resource. Mr Diaz says 'preliminary information from the study
indicates
there may have been errors in calculating the biomass in previous
years. Or
else the 'biological' fishing ban has allowed stocks to build up.'
Nevertheless, the anchovy and sardine caught off the Peruvian coast are
fin
ite. Apart from improving the conversion ratio of raw material to
finished p
roduct, fishmeal producers may soon have no alternative but to
move into dee
per waters where virtually untapped stocks of horse and jack
mackerel abound
.
Investment in deep-sea trawlers, of course, is expensive and, according to
the SNP, Peru's very private fishing sector (no Peruvian fishing company is
yet publicly traded) carries a heavy burden of debt.
One option for the for
ward-looking company is a joint venture backed by
foreign capital. Peru's So
tomayor group, 40 per cent owned by American
Proteins of Atlanta, has embark
ed on a tuna-fishing venture in association
with JIDO, the Japanese investme
nt and development organisation. The first
of a projected four-ship fleet is
already operating off the Peruvian coast
and selling tuna to Japan for sash
imi.
A Dutch company, Van der Zwan, meanwhile, has bought back seven Dutch-b
uilt
trawlers originally supplied to now-liquidated Flopesca, the former
sta
te-owned high seas fishing fleet. In a joint venture with a local company
ba
sed in Peru's northern port of Paita, a couple of the reconditioned
trawlers
are to produce frozen fish, mainly hake, for export to Europe.
A further, o
bvious option for Peruvian companies that see the writing on the
wall is to
launch a public share offering. Both Sipesa and Sotomayor say
they are consi
dering it.
Countries:-
PEZ Peru, South America.
Industries:-
P091 Commercial Fishing.
P2092 Fresh or F
rozen Prepared Fish.
Types:-
CMMT Comment & Analysis.
MKTS Production.
The Financial Times
London Pa
ge 22
============= Transaction # 64 ==============================================
Transaction #: 64 Transaction Code: 19 (Record Selected)
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_AN-CLKB5AGEFT
9212
11
FT 11 DEC 92 / Survey of Ecuador (3): Banana trade fa
ces an uncertain future - Agriculture
By RAYMOND COL
ITT
BANANA production, the cornerstone of Ecuador's agricul
ture, is facing
change. Not only are exports threatened by European restrict
ions, but
domestic overproduction, the Sigatoka disease and low per acre pro
ductivity
will also demand action by producers.
Last year Ecuador produced a
record 3.5m tonnes of bananas. The increase
over previous years (3m tonnes
in 1990 and 2.5m tonnes in 1989) is largely
due to new plantations started i
n 1990 and 1991 - when banana prices rose -
and which have now come into pro
duction. These largely unauthorised
plantations are ballooning the supply an
d depressing prices.
Of great concern to Ecuador is the reform of the Europe
an Community's banana
import regime with proposals to impose a banana import
quota of 2m tonnes
next year and tariff on 'dollar bananas' imported from e
xporters from Latin
America of up to 70 per cent. Ecuador last year exported
2.7m tonnes of
bananas worth nearly Dollars 800m.
Restrictions would affect
a large percentage of Ecuador's banana exports.
Approximately 40 per cent o
f the fruit it produces is sold to the EC.
While the spread of the Black Sig
atoka disease, which has endangered the
tropical fruit for some time, has be
en halted, it is not likely to be
eradicated. Measures introduced by the Fre
nch Institute of Fruit and Citrus
Investigations, part of an aid programme o
f the French government, have had
much success in combating Sigatoka, but ha
ve not able to eliminate it
completely.
The productivity of Ecuador's banana
fields is below that of its world
competitors. While the productivity in Ho
nduras is 2,800 boxes per hectare
and 3,000 in Costa Rica, Ecuador merely pr
oduces 1,400 boxes per hectare.
Yet lower overall costs make Ecuador competi
tive internationally.
To give producers an incentive while continuing to pro
tect consumers, the
government is to implement a price reform of the princip
al agricultural
goods whose prices have so far remained fixed.
Supply and de
mand will determine the prices of sugar, rice, maize, soya,
milk and barley
within a certain parameter set by the ministry of
agriculture. The bottom en
d of the price bracket will ensure farmers a
minimum revenue. When prices hi
t the top end, distributors are allowed to
search for cheaper imports on the
international market.
The importance of coffee and cacao, which cover nearl
y a third of the area
sown with primary agricultural products, is likely to
decrease. Given low
prices and an over-supply of coffee on world markets, ag
riculture minister
Mr Mariano Gonzales Portes has indicated that some of the
coffee
cultivations will eventually have to be replaced with other crops.
I
n spite of a sugar cane production of over 3.5m tonnes annually, Ecuador
has
had to import sugar this year. Producers hope to cover domestic demand
next
year but need considerable credits from the Andean Development
Corporation
to do so.
Few major crops have seen their production increase significantly
recently.
One exception is the soya bean; its production has nearly quadrupl
ed in the
past years and is expected to grow in the future.
One of the reaso
ns producers have not been able to significantly increase
the yield of their
crops in past years, says Mr Gonzales, has been the lack
of sufficient inve
stment in agricultural research. Only 0.3 per cent of
gross domestic product
has gone into agricultural research in the past
years, he says.
The governm
ent plans to reverse that trend and, with the help of the
Institute of Agric
ultural Investigations which became autonomous only in
July, intends to prom
ote new and higher-yielding agricultural products.
INIAP has recently develo
ped a new type of yuca whose yield is three times
that of the traditional ty
pe when processed into flour and 10 times as high
when processed into starch
.
The institute also engages in other activities, such as giving technical
a
dvice to indigenous groups in the central province of Chimborazo on the
cult
ivation of the traditional crop quinua. This cereal, grown by the Incas
cent
uries ago, has a high nutritional value.
Although a promising crop, the effi
cient commercialisation of quinua is
difficult, says Mr Gonzales, because of
the unfavourable size of land
parcels in the areas in which quinua is grown
. Land holdings in the
mountainous Sierra region are much smaller than in th
e coast and are
typically used for subsistence farming.
Thirty per cent of l
and holdings in the Sierra are classified as small (10
hectares or less), wh
ile 52 per cent are medium sized (10 to 100 hectares)
and only 18 per cent a
re more than 100 hectares. Land holdings in the
coastal provinces of Manabi,
Guayas, and Los Rios are generally larger and
used in commercial monocultur
e such as banana, cacao or coffee.
In the past two-and-a-half decades the am
ount of land used for livestock
production has more than tripled to nearly 5
m hectares, which in part
explains Ecuador's dazzling rate of deforestation.
Settlers continue to
slash-and-burn as a way to clear areas of forest on wh
ich to grow beans and
maize for one season before turning it into pasture.
T
he most rapid expansion of pasture has occured in the coastal areas,
especia
lly in the province of Esmeraldas where huge tracts of land have been
cleare
d by settlers as well as lumber companies. In the Sierra the increase
of pas
ture is more due to the abandonment of agricultural activities.
A large pote
ntial for growth lies in Ecuador's horticulture, according to Mr
Gonzales, e
specially tropical fruits but also flowers which have found an
increasingly
strong market in the US and Europe.
Yet the volatility in the production of
such fruits for the export market is
exemplified by the Babaco fruit. Produc
tion in 1987 reached 3,834 tonnes but
then steadily declined over the years
and in 1991 equalled only 510 tonnes.
Although outside the hurricane zone, E
cuador suffers repeatedly from the
shifting precipitation patterns caused by
the Pacific current El Nino. The
current carries warmer waters to the coast
and causes droughts in some parts
of the country and floods in others. This
year 22 people were killed and
30,000 hectares of rice, banana, cotton and
maize crops were lost. The
damage in the coastal areas alone is estimated to
have been Dollars 70m.
At a time when droughts have caused hydroelectric pl
ants to reduce their
output, the government plans to revive a decade-old pro
ject to irrigate
nearly 30,000 hectares of arable land on the Santa Helena p
eninsula west of
the port city Guayaquil. The four dams along the river Daul
e are also to
provide the area with electricity and drinking water. So far B
razil, Italy
and Spain have agreed to co-finance the project.
T
he Financial Times
London Page 34
============= Transaction # 65 ==============================================
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9212
11
FT 11 DEC 92 / Survey of Ecuador (3): Banana trade fa
ces an uncertain future - Agriculture
By RAYMOND COL
ITT
BANANA production, the cornerstone of Ecuador's agricul
ture, is facing
change. Not only are exports threatened by European restrict
ions, but
domestic overproduction, the Sigatoka disease and low per acre pro
ductivity
will also demand action by producers.
Last year Ecuador produced a
record 3.5m tonnes of bananas. The increase
over previous years (3m tonnes
in 1990 and 2.5m tonnes in 1989) is largely
due to new plantations started i
n 1990 and 1991 - when banana prices rose -
and which have now come into pro
duction. These largely unauthorised
plantations are ballooning the supply an
d depressing prices.
Of great concern to Ecuador is the reform of the Europe
an Community's banana
import regime with proposals to impose a banana import
quota of 2m tonnes
next year and tariff on 'dollar bananas' imported from e
xporters from Latin
America of up to 70 per cent. Ecuador last year exported
2.7m tonnes of
bananas worth nearly Dollars 800m.
Restrictions would affect
a large percentage of Ecuador's banana exports.
Approximately 40 per cent o
f the fruit it produces is sold to the EC.
While the spread of the Black Sig
atoka disease, which has endangered the
tropical fruit for some time, has be
en halted, it is not likely to be
eradicated. Measures introduced by the Fre
nch Institute of Fruit and Citrus
Investigations, part of an aid programme o
f the French government, have had
much success in combating Sigatoka, but ha
ve not able to eliminate it
completely.
The productivity of Ecuador's banana
fields is below that of its world
competitors. While the productivity in Ho
nduras is 2,800 boxes per hectare
and 3,000 in Costa Rica, Ecuador merely pr
oduces 1,400 boxes per hectare.
Yet lower overall costs make Ecuador competi
tive internationally.
To give producers an incentive while continuing to pro
tect consumers, the
government is to implement a price reform of the princip
al agricultural
goods whose prices have so far remained fixed.
Supply and de
mand will determine the prices of sugar, rice, maize, soya,
milk and barley
within a certain parameter set by the ministry of
agriculture. The bottom en
d of the price bracket will ensure farmers a
minimum revenue. When prices hi
t the top end, distributors are allowed to
search for cheaper imports on the
international market.
The importance of coffee and cacao, which cover nearl
y a third of the area
sown with primary agricultural products, is likely to
decrease. Given low
prices and an over-supply of coffee on world markets, ag
riculture minister
Mr Mariano Gonzales Portes has indicated that some of the
coffee
cultivations will eventually have to be replaced with other crops.
I
n spite of a sugar cane production of over 3.5m tonnes annually, Ecuador
has
had to import sugar this year. Producers hope to cover domestic demand
next
year but need considerable credits from the Andean Development
Corporation
to do so.
Few major crops have seen their production increase significantly
recently.
One exception is the soya bean; its production has nearly quadrupl
ed in the
past years and is expected to grow in the future.
One of the reaso
ns producers have not been able to significantly increase
the yield of their
crops in past years, says Mr Gonzales, has been the lack
of sufficient inve
stment in agricultural research. Only 0.3 per cent of
gross domestic product
has gone into agricultural research in the past
years, he says.
The governm
ent plans to reverse that trend and, with the help of the
Institute of Agric
ultural Investigations which became autonomous only in
July, intends to prom
ote new and higher-yielding agricultural products.
INIAP has recently develo
ped a new type of yuca whose yield is three times
that of the traditional ty
pe when processed into flour and 10 times as high
when processed into starch
.
The institute also engages in other activities, such as giving technical
a
dvice to indigenous groups in the central province of Chimborazo on the
cult
ivation of the traditional crop quinua. This cereal, grown by the Incas
cent
uries ago, has a high nutritional value.
Although a promising crop, the effi
cient commercialisation of quinua is
difficult, says Mr Gonzales, because of
the unfavourable size of land
parcels in the areas in which quinua is grown
. Land holdings in the
mountainous Sierra region are much smaller than in th
e coast and are
typically used for subsistence farming.
Thirty per cent of l
and holdings in the Sierra are classified as small (10
hectares or less), wh
ile 52 per cent are medium sized (10 to 100 hectares)
and only 18 per cent a
re more than 100 hectares. Land holdings in the
coastal provinces of Manabi,
Guayas, and Los Rios are generally larger and
used in commercial monocultur
e such as banana, cacao or coffee.
In the past two-and-a-half decades the am
ount of land used for livestock
production has more than tripled to nearly 5
m hectares, which in part
explains Ecuador's dazzling rate of deforestation.
Settlers continue to
slash-and-burn as a way to clear areas of forest on wh
ich to grow beans and
maize for one season before turning it into pasture.
T
he most rapid expansion of pasture has occured in the coastal areas,
especia
lly in the province of Esmeraldas where huge tracts of land have been
cleare
d by settlers as well as lumber companies. In the Sierra the increase
of pas
ture is more due to the abandonment of agricultural activities.
A large pote
ntial for growth lies in Ecuador's horticulture, according to Mr
Gonzales, e
specially tropical fruits but also flowers which have found an
increasingly
strong market in the US and Europe.
Yet the volatility in the production of
such fruits for the export market is
exemplified by the Babaco fruit. Produc
tion in 1987 reached 3,834 tonnes but
then steadily declined over the years
and in 1991 equalled only 510 tonnes.
Although outside the hurricane zone, E
cuador suffers repeatedly from the
shifting precipitation patterns caused by
the Pacific current El Nino. The
current carries warmer waters to the coast
and causes droughts in some parts
of the country and floods in others. This
year 22 people were killed and
30,000 hectares of rice, banana, cotton and
maize crops were lost. The
damage in the coastal areas alone is estimated to
have been Dollars 70m.
At a time when droughts have caused hydroelectric pl
ants to reduce their
output, the government plans to revive a decade-old pro
ject to irrigate
nearly 30,000 hectares of arable land on the Santa Helena p
eninsula west of
the port city Guayaquil. The four dams along the river Daul
e are also to
provide the area with electricity and drinking water. So far B
razil, Italy
and Spain have agreed to co-finance the project.
T
he Financial Times
London Page 34
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----------
1.
DOCUMENT NO.: FT921-10204
.
HEADLINE: FT 07 FEB 92 / Commodities and Agriculture: Keeping a weat
her-eye on a troublesome 'child' / A look at the crop problems posed by the
unpredictable El Nino climate phenomenon .
BYLINE: By BARBARA DURR
.
PUBLICATION: The Financial Times .
PAGE: London Page 22 .
TEXT:
TO CALM anxious grain traders the Chicago Board of Trade will offe
r a
seminar later this month on El Nino, the weather phenomenon that develop
s in
the equatorial Pacific every three to five years and can cause global
c
limate upsets. Grain traders are keen to know if they can expect this
year's
El Nino to disturb the US weather pattern sufficiently to make a dent
in cr
op output.
Although signs of El Nino had been accumulating during 1991, only
last month
did the the US National Weather Service finally conclude publicl
y that the
phenomenon was a fact.
The symptoms had been showing themselves o
verseas since last spring - rising
surface temperatures in the eastern and c
entral Pacific, drought in the
western Pacific rim from Australia through In
donesia, a weaker Indian
monsoon, dryness in north-eastern Brazil, drought i
n South Africa and
wetness last summer in the Great Basin of the US, which r
uns from Arizona
north to Idaho.
While many of these conditions indicate tha
t El Nino is occurring, they do
not reveal its severity. The phenomenon gene
rally peaks in the northern
hemisphere's winter. This helps explain why Peru
vian fishermen dubbed the
phenomenon El Nino, which means Christ child in Sp
anish. It arrived about
Christmas time.
Mr Vernon Kousky, a research meteoro
logist with the US weather service, now
assesses the current El Nino as 'mod
erate to strong'. While individual
weather events cannot always be directly
attributed to El Nino, some signals
are indicative of its strength. Warm wat
er in the Pacific is pushing
moisture into the south-western US, causing, fo
r example, this winter's
floods in Texas, according to Mr Art Douglas, chair
man of the Creighton
University's Atmospheric Sciences Department. Along the
Gulf of Mexico, from
Texas to Florida, some areas have already had 200 per
cent to 1,000 per cent
of their normal rainfall. Temperatures in that region
are also beginning to
dip below normal. At the same time the phenomenon is
upsetting the Jet
Stream, keeping extremely cold air far to the north and mo
derating
temperatures in the Midwest.
The Midwest, America's most important
grain area, is seeing temperatures
four or five degrees Fahrenheit above nor
mal, said Mr Jon Davis, the
in-house meteorologist for Shearson Lehman's com
modities trading arm. The
weather service predicts that more of the same wil
l occur in those regions
until spring and that the usually wet north-west is
likely to be dryer, as
is the Ohio valley.
But what concerns the grain trad
e more is what, if anything, will happen
during the critical planting and gr
owing season for American crops from June
to August.
Unfortunately, weather
forecasting is not a precise science. Mr Kousky says
that El Nino, usually a
12 to 18 month event, has another six to 12 months
to run. But he points ou
t that there is no consistent relationship between
El Nino and the weather p
attern beyond the winter-to-spring months.
'Anything can happen,' he admits.
Crop Cast, a Maryland-based weather forecasting service that is used by man
y
US commodity trading houses, says that while El Nino has already affected
South American soyabeans, South African maize and Australian wheat, it is
ho
ping to be able to predict potentially damaging crop effects in the US by
lo
oking at the coincidence of the El Nino with two other climatological
events
, last year's eruption of Mount Pinatubo in the Phillippines and the
combina
tion of lunar and solar cycles.
These additional factors along with El Nino
probably mean that a more
extreme weather pattern bleeds over into summer, a
ccording to Mr Kevin
Marcus, director of Crop Cast services. He says the lik
elihood of extreme,
hot and dry weather is 100 per cent, but gives only a on
e in three chance
that this will have a significant impact on crops.
The hot
, dry weather would have to occur in July or early August to reduce
the maiz
e and soyabean crops significantly, that is by more than 10 per
cent. But Mr
Marcus is uncertain about how the three phenomena will interact
since there
no established pattern. He is still waiting for more data on the
severity o
f this year's El Nino.
The phenomenon has prompted commodities markets to gy
rate in the past. In
1972-73 the El Nino destroyed the Peruvian fishmeal cat
ch, which then
accounted for some 45 per cent of the world trade in protein
feed. In
1982-83 it caused a drought in Africa, which helped to send cocoa p
rices up
by nearly 70 per cent over a period of about a year.
.
2.
DOCUME
NT NO.: FT923-14358.
HEADLINE: FT 08 JUL 92 / Commodities and Agricult
ure: El Nino drought 'appears to be over' .
BYLINE: By REUTER .
DA
TELINE: SYDNEY .
PUBLICATION: The Financial Times .
PAGE:
London Page 32 .
TEXT:
THE DROUGHT that has ravaged crops and cost
hundreds of millions of dollars
in countries across Asia and the South Pacif
ic appears to be over,
meteorologists say, reports Reuter from Sydney.
Its c
ause, the climatic phenomenon known as El Nino, is dissipating with
some are
as returning to normal weather conditions more quickly than others,
they sai
d.
Australia is among the first of the major agricultural producers to emerg
e
from drought in most areas, while in India a return to normal rainfall is
expected in the late monsoon.
China's northern provinces are still in the gr
ip of drought, however, though
it is unlikely to have much impact on the cou
ntry's international trading
position.
'We're now in the declining phase of
El Nino, it's global and it has had an
effect since early last year all roun
d the planet, particularly in the
tropical regions,' an official at Australi
a's National Climate Centre said.
Ocean waters in the central and eastern eq
uatorial Pacific, which had warmed
under El Nino were continuing to cool qui
te rapidly, the climate centre
reported.
Australia, whose farm sector was ra
vaged by drought and economic recession,
has already felt the effect of the
changing conditions. 'Australia tends to
climb out of it earlier than others
,' the official said.
Drought conditions still persist in some areas of New
South Wales and
southern Queensland but local output of grain and sugar is f
orecast to
recover significantly after last year's drought across eastern Au
stralia.
The total value of wheat, coarse grains and sugar is forecast to ri
se by
nearly 30 per cent to ADollars 3.14bn (Pounds 1.2bn) in the year to th
e end
of June, 1993, compared with the previous drought-hit year.
In India h
owever, the change is taking longer to come through. 'It is
expected to come
back to average in the late monsoon season,' Australia's
climate centre off
icial said. Erratic rains in India last year caused food
grain output to fal
l to about 171m tonnes in the year to June 30, 1992 from
the previous year's
record 176m tonnes.
.
3.
DOCUMENT NO.: FT932-14766.
HEADLINE: FT 1
6 APR 93 / Commodities and Agriculture: Peru's fishmeal industry set for bum
per profits - Production survived last year's El Nino visitation to reach a
fresh record .
BYLINE: By SALLY BOWEN .
PUBLICATION: The Financia
l Times .
PAGE: London Page 26 .
TEXT:
THE PERUVIAN fishme
al industry is gearing up for a bonanza predicted to last
for the next two t
o three years. By late 1992, the sardine and anchovy that
form the staple ra
w material for the industry were back in abundance after
being temporarily a
ffected by the appearance of the dreaded warm current
known as 'El Nino', wh
ich last ravaged fishmeal output in 1983.
Contrary to predictions, however,
Peruvian production survived last year's
milder visitation and a late boost
in fish stocks turned 1992 into yet
another record year. Peru topped the wor
ld exporters' league with 1.37m
tonnes, narrowly outstripping Chile's 1.21m
tonnes.
'Statistically, the years after a Nino are excellent,' says Mr Espin
o of
Imarpe, Peru's maritime institute, which is charged with husbanding the
resource and recommending periodic fishing bans. Mr Espino estimates that
t
he Peruvian catch could be raised by a quarter or a third from the present
6
m tonnes a year without detriment to the species.
'And if the fishmeal produ
cers started going for jack mackerel - at present
only about 80,000 tonnes a
year are landed, perhaps 5 per cent of total
stocks - then the sky's the li
mit,' he says.
The main limitation on such expansion is fleet capacity. Most
Peruvian
fishing boats are small, with no refrigeration and hug the coast.
When El
Nino hits, the fish move into deeper waters farther out to sea where
these
boats cannot follow.
Peruvian producers say they have invested more t
han Dollars 200m in the past
two years in fleet renovation and plant and equ
ipment modernisation ashore.
The industry is moving towards production of hi
gher-quality, low
temperature, steam-dried meal with 'stickwater' plants to
maximise protein
recovery. New boats with refrigerated holds are under const
ruction in local
yards. But there's still plenty of room, and a warm welcome
waiting, for new
investment from abroad.
Representatives from Chile's huge
Angelini group have been in Peru recently
on 'feeling-out' visits. And Venez
uelan capital has already entered in the
form of a new fishmeal joint ventur
e under the name of Palangrera Peruana.
But the big surprise of 1993 could b
e the arrival of the Chinese. Pesca
Peru, the state-owned fishmeal and fisho
il giant that produces around 40 per
cent of all national output, is high on
this year's privatisation list.
Coopers and Lybrand, with financing from th
e Canadian development agency and
the World Bank, is currently completing a
valuation and will recommend on
sale procedures.
Essentially, the choice is
between splitting the company into its 20 plants
and four refineries to sell
off individually; or selling the whole company
as one unit.
The only likely
buyers on the latter basis would be the Chinese - 'and it's
a possibility t
hat has the private producers in a state of panic', says Mr
Eric Topf, head
of the Pesca Peru privatisation committee.
Unofficially, senior Pesca Peru o
fficials say the company should fetch 'at
least Dollars 200m', a ball-park f
igure considered over-optimistic by
private producers.
The state-owned plant
s are, by and large, elderly and outdated - though
several are excellently l
ocated on the now-desirable extreme southern coast
and have their own quays.
Drastic personnel reductions during 1992 put Pesca
Peru back into profit af
ter years in the red, underlining just how
profitable producing fishmeal can
be, even from scrap-yard plants.
China has established itself as far and aw
ay Peru's largest customer, buying
last year almost 60 per cent of all outpu
t. Peruvian fishmeal goes to feed
the Pacific prawn, turbot and eel which Ch
ina is successfully exporting in
quantity to the US and Japan.
The Chinese a
re said to be producing at present some 32m tonnes of animal
foodstuffs a ye
ar, in which they use 2 per cent fishmeal - a very low
percentage compared w
ith most competitors. A high-level Peruvian delegation
is now in China 'to t
ry to convince them of the bounties of boosting that
fishmeal component,' sa
ys Mr Salomon Manzur, Peruvian president of the
Fishmeal Exporters' Associat
ion.
If the Chinese do increase the percentage of fishmeal in their current
animal feedstuff production, Peruvian producers will be assured of sales for
their expanded fishmeal output for several years to come.
----------------
-------------------------------------
FISHMEAL PRODUCTION ('000 TONNES)
---
--------------------------------------------------
1990
1991 1992
-----------------------------------------------------
Peru
vian
Pesca Peru 379 498 513
Private sector 755
782 853
Total 1,134 1,280 1,366
--------------------
---------------------------------
Chilean 1,550 1,210
-----------------------------------------------------
Source: Peruvian Nati
onal Fishing Society (SNP).
-----------------------------------------------
------
.
4.
DOCUMENT NO.: FT922-14235.
HEADLINE: FT 07 APR 92 / Dro
ught pulls the plug on much of Colombia .
BYLINE: By SARITA KENDAL
L .
DATELINE: BOGOTA .
PUBLICATION: The Financial Times .
PAGE:
International Page 6 .
TEXT:
POWER cuts of at least eight hou
rs a day have been imposed all over Colombia
in an effort to cope with a dro
ught that has reduced the water for hydro
electric plants. There is little p
rospect of rain, and reservoirs are drying
into baked mud. If this continues
the country could face a complete
black-out by the end of April.
The winter
rains are late and the El Nino current off the Pacific coast
appears to be
upsetting normal weather patterns. But bad planning, heavy
debts, corruption
, budget deficits, deforestation and poor management are
behind the electric
ity problems.
Colombia's generating capacity is 8,200MW, more than adequate
for normal
demand levels. Despite the country's ample coal and oil reserves,
78 per
cent of power comes from large, expensive hydro-electric schemes whi
ch have
pushed the sector's foreign debt up to more than Dollars 5bn.
To try
to save on costs, electricity companies have been running down the
reservoi
rs rather than use thermal plants at full capacity. Labour and
financial pro
blems have also delayed the maintenance of thermal power
stations, while gue
rrilla attacks have put distribution lines out of action.
The rationing aims
to cut overall consumption by about a third. The
government has asked indus
try to shut down for 10 days over Easter and to
send workers on holiday.
.
5.
DOCUMENT NO.: FT922-12623.
HEADLINE: FT 16 APR 92 / Commodities a
nd Agriculture: Supply fears buoy sugar prices .
BYLINE: By DAVID
BLACKWELL .
PUBLICATION: The Financial Times .
PAGE: London Page 3
8 .
TEXT:
FEARS OF a tighter sugar supply/demand balance in 1992-93
are supporting the
world market, according to reports from two London trade
houses.
Raw sugar prices have recently touched eight-month highs, nudging 1
0 cents a
lb in the New York market, on fears of tight nearby supplies follo
wing
damage to the South African crop because of drought.
The trade houses,
ED & F. Man and Czarnikow, both point out in reports
published today that in
the short term the changing export potential in
several countries will keep
the lid on prices. The increasing likelihood of
a 1m-tonne increase in Thai
land's crop, compared with the previous season,
together with the availabili
ty of exportable surpluses from India and Cuba,
should 'keep significant adv
ances at bay', Man's latest sugar report says.
Man believes that reports of
a catastrophic Cuban crop this season at 5m to
5.5m tonnes are unsupported b
y the evidence and estimates that the crop will
come in at about 6.5m tonnes
. It is forecasting a crop of more than 5m
tonnes in Thailand and 12.6m tonn
es in India.
The overall balance for the 1991-92 season remains marginally i
n surplus,
Man says, but it suggests that the situation is likely to be even
more
tightly balanced in 1992-93.
Czarnikow's sugar review points out that
the extent of the South African
drought has raised questions about the timin
g and coverage of the El Nino
weather phenomenon.
'Already a major drought i
s developing in Thailand which, if relief does not
arrive this month, could
have serious implications for the next crop,' the
Czarnikow review says. 'If
this is part of a regional phenomenon there might
be problems later in the
year with the monsoon in India and this will need
to be monitored carefully.
'
.
6.
DOCUMENT NO.: FT922-5507.
HEADLINE: FT 30 MAY 92 / The Long
View: Going for the jugular .
BYLINE: By BARRY RILEY .
PUBLICATION
: The Financial Times .
PAGE: London Page I .
TEXT:
WHENE
VER I meet Fringe Freddie, I know I am going to start worrying. It's
catchin
g. Either he is getting ready for the biggest boom ever known, or the
bigges
t crash. A quiet life never comes into it. Right now, he is in one of
his ap
ocalyptic phases.
I occasionally run into Freddie at slightly offbeat invest
ment seminars.
These are, I must emphasise, perfectly respectable occasions
- nothing at
all like those international gatherings in places like Monte Ca
rlo or
Acapulco where every weird investment prophet and nutty newsletter ed
itor in
the world is gathered. They rant at geriatric American investors who
can be
persuaded to pay Dollars 5,000 to enjoy two days of skilful manipula
tion of
their only remaining emotions of greed and fear - in between naps, o
f
course. Freddie is in his element in those places. But he can once in a
wh
ile come in from the fringe.
The previous time I bumped into Freddie, he was
heavily into global weather
patterns. El Nino was developing again in the S
outh Pacific. I gathered it
was some kind of surface warming effect which ki
lls all the fish off South
America and then spreads drought and famine acros
s large areas of the globe.
Freddie's eyes lit up at the thought. He was goi
ng heavily long of
agricultural commodities on the Chicago markets. Potatoes
would be like gold
dust.
This week, I dropped into a seemingly harmless sem
inar on long-term cycles
and was buttonholed by Freddie again at coffee time
. El Nino? He seemed to
have lost interest in Pacific sea temperatures. Evid
ently, those futures
contracts had drifted out of the money. Now he was into
NT, which he
patiently explained was Nostradamus Theory. Did I know that a
new team of
Nostradamus analysts had finally cracked the mystery of the old
mystic's
code? Future disasters were being set out on an accurate timetable
so that
those investors in the know could take maximum advantage.
I said I w
as a bit hazy about Nostradamus, although I was aware that the
International
Harry Shultz Letter had confessed to an error in its last
issue. Apparently
, the catastrophic Californian earthquake it had forecast
on an interpretati
on of Nostradamus for May 8 1992 was wrong; it should have
said May 8 1993.
San Diego would still slide into the sea, but a year late.
You had better no
t go to Disneyland about that time, either.
Possibly Freddie twigged that I
was not taking him entirely seriously, but
he pressed on. Did I not realise
that the US economy was twice as
debt-ridden as it had ever been? Was I not
aware that the Japanese financial
system was already technically insolvent,
and that there were exact
parallels between the Wall Street slide and subseq
uent American slump from
1929 onwards and the Toyko market slide beginning i
n 1990? Had I not noticed
that Germany . . .
Look, I said, I knew some of th
e numbers didn't look too good, but the
global economy was still growing and
over the years I had read more than my
fair ration of books by gloom and do
om merchants. As far back as 1984, the
Kondratieff Wave theorists had been f
orecasting an imminent slump. In fact,
the world stayed in a long boom. Then
there was Ravi Batra, who made a
fortune out of The Great Depression of 199
0. However, there was no
depression in 1990, just a recession in 1991, while
Wall Street in 1992 is
hitting all-time highs. Britain's own Lord Rees-Mogg
, taking time out from
cleaning up television, had got in on the act with a
co-authored financial
spinechiller called Blood in the Streets and, when tha
t proved premature,
managed to get out a sequel called The Great Reckoning e
arlier this year. It
had all been good for royalty receipts but not for cred
ibility.
Freddie was distinctly unimpressed. Hadn't I seen what was happenin
g to
property values worldwide? Or the 60 per cent collapse of what had been
the
world's biggest stock market in Tokyo? Or the dreadful economic slump i
n
eastern Europe? What was happening in western stock markets was just the
l
ast gasp of the old order.
What I had missed, he said, becoming more excitab
le by the minute, was the
importance of the combination of the 54-year Kondr
atieff Wave with the
seven- to 11-year Juglar cycle, not to mention the inte
rmediary Kuznets
cycle. After all, the Kondratieff could last as long as 60
years: what did
1932 plus 60 add up to? Put all the cycles together and you
could have a
triple whammy for the early 1990s.
This was all getting beyond
me, although I murmured that I remembered that
Batra had discussed something
called the Jugular Cycle in his book. Either
his spelling was wrong or he w
as talking about blood in the streets, too. I
wished Freddie had stuck to hi
s Peruvian fish famine.
I should never have got back to the weather. Global
warming, apparently, was
the latest theme to arise from NT Why, Nostradamus
himself had warned that a
great tide would arise in a second Great Flood and
the hot wind would blow
as from hell itself. The date? Well, the interprete
rs hadn't quite decided
yet, but it wouldn't be very long.
We should be sell
ing all energy stocks on the grounds that governments would
soon be doubling
gasoline taxes and banning emissions. Commodity markets
would be transforme
d as food crops were devastated. By now the gleam was
really back in his eye
s. The long-term punter should be buying land at least
10 metres above exist
ing sea level, waiting for values to soar as millions
were driven out of bea
chside settlements by the advancing waters. Except in
California, of course,
which was all going to slide into a geological fault
. . .
I made an excuse
and left. The Freddie Cycle was clearly testing its low
point. But, in my e
xperience, it never stays down for long.
.
7.
DOCUMENT NO.: FT922-643.
HE
ADLINE: FT 26 JUN 92 / Commodities and Agriculture: Flooded Bolivian f
armers on hunger strike .
BYLINE: By FRANCIS FREISINGER .
DATELINE
: SANTA CRUZ .
PUBLICATION: The Financial Times .
PAGE: Lo
ndon Page 30 .
TEXT:
THE BOLIVIAN Eastern Farmers Chamber (CAO) has
declared an indefinite hunger
strike in protest at the lack of government a
id in the wake of the
agricultural disaster that has struck the Santa Cruz d
epartment as a result
of months of flooding. Peasant groups have announced o
ther measures in
support of the CAO - including road blocks - and a regional
general strike
may follow.
Santa Cruz in the east of the country, which pro
duces 90 per cent of
Bolivia's agricultural exports, principally soyabeans a
nd sugar, has been
devastated since January by the worst floods in living me
mory. At least a
third and possibly as much as half the crop has been lost a
lready and the
sowing of the next crop has been seriously disrupted, the los
ses will
continue for another harvest. At least Dollars l00m has been lost t
o date, a
vast sum for Bolivia. As a result there will be a marked reduction
in GNP
growth this year according to economists.
Nearly a hundred farmers f
rom the CAO have joined the hunger strike,
including some of the wealthiest
men in the country, and as many as 500 more
are poised to follow. In a remar
kable development, the hardline right-wing
farmers have literally become bed
fellows with their traditional enemy, the
Bolivian Workers' Central (COB), t
he national union confederation which
still adheres, at least in theory, to
a revolutionary Marxist ideology. Some
of COB leaders have joined the hunger
strike and are now sleeping in the
same room as the farmers.
The farmers ar
e calling for much more direct government and international
assistance as we
ll as rescheduling of loans from both private banks and
multinational instit
utions, principally the Inter-American Development Bank.
They are demanding
special help for the smaller farmers, worst hit
financially because of their
lack of access to credit, as a result of which
thousands face bankruptcy. T
he CAO President, Mr Sergio Justiniano said: 'We
will remain on hunger strik
e until a global solution is found'.
The flooding is partly the result of ex
ceptionally heavy rains that have
accompanied the El Nino cyclical Pacific w
eather phenomenon, which has also
brought flooding this year to Peru and Ecu
ador. However, according to
ecologists, the effect has been exacerbated in B
olivia by the extensive
deforestation that has accompanied the agricultural
boom of the past few
years
Despite officially declaring the region a disaste
r zone, the government
claims that it is unable to help. Mr Hugo Lozino, min
ister of peasant
development said: 'We have done what we can. Bolivia is a p
oor country and
can't afford to do more'.
It seems unlikely, however, that t
he government will be able to resist the
powerful alliance confronting it, e
specially as it faces unrest in other key
sectors, including mining.
.
8.
DOCUMENT NO.: FT921-5191.
HEADLINE: FT 05 MAR 92 / Commodities and Ag
riculture: Ecuador shells out on shrimp farming - The consequences of declin
ing fish stocks and over-investment .
BYLINE: By SARITA KENDALL .
PUBLICATION: The Financial Times .
PAGE: London Page 30 .
TEXT:
Ecuador's shrimp farming business had another record year in 1991 as
the gap
with other fishing exports widened.
Groups within the industry, unwi
lling to acknowledge over-fishing, accuse
each other of irrational practices
or blame dwindling catches on climate and
ocean currents.
'We've seen this
happen in other countries - with herring in the North Sea,
and anchovy in Pe
ru,' said Mr Ian Scott, the economist in charge of
Britain's technical assis
tance programme for the fishing sector.
'There's been over-investment. If th
e Ecuadorian fleet fishes for 150 days a
year at 50 per cent efficiency, it
can catch 3m tonnes - but the sustainable
stock of pelagic fish is only 500,
000 to 1m tonnes.'
In the last few years fishermen supplying the fishmeal an
d canning
industries have seen a drastic drop in the harvest of sardines, ma
ckerel,
thread herring and anchovies: the catch fell from 1,970,000 tonnes i
n 1985
to 233,000 tonnes in 1990, leaving many processing plants working at
less
than 20 per cent of capacity.
Mr Scott said that although the warm sout
hward-flowing El Nino current was
responsible for two bad years, the general
decline was due to over-fishing
and licences and quota systems were needed
to help stocks recover.
The tuna industry, centred in Manta, is also overblo
wn, but the catch has
remained stable at 50,000 to 55,000 tonnes a year.
Bot
h Ecuadorian and foreign boats fish for tuna. Local fishermen criticise
the
fact that boats registered in the US, Japan and other countries are
contract
ed by Manta processing companies. However, it is argued that only
some of th
e vessels in the national fleet can freeze tuna to -40C, the
temperature nec
essary for good quality exports.
The under-secretary for fishing, Mr Max Agu
irre, is proud of Ecuador's
record on the dolphin-tuna issue. 'The Ecuadoria
n law is strict. Ecuadorian
and foreign boats have their licences taken away
if they fish on dolphins. I
report with satisfaction that in 43 trips with
observers on board there were
zero dolphin deaths.'
Mr Aguirre admits that r
esearch studies warned of sardine fishing problems,
and says regional contro
ls, including Peru and Chile, should be enforced.
'Licences should regulate
the catch with reference to the resource.'
However, the private sector has b
een too powerful and the government too
timid to allow any quota-based manag
ement of stocks.
The fish sector earned about USDollars 570m in 1991, with s
hrimps
contributing more than 85 per cent. There are more than 125,000 hecta
res of
shrimp ponds along the tidal flats of the Ecuadorian coastline, mainl
y in
the southern provinces. Most shrimp farms are less than 50 hectares, th
ough
the largest - up to as much as 2,000 hectares - tend to be the most
so
phisticated. Some use small aircraft to drop feed over the surface of the
po
nds.
Shrimp farms produce all year round so close to the equator and two to
three
harvests can be taken. With an ideal climate, plentiful larvae and
low
-labour costs, Ecuador is the leading Latin American shrimp exporter.
'Our p
roblem at the moment is the big jump in the cost of inputs. The dollar
price
of shrimps has dropped and so has profitability,' said Mr Renato del
Campo
of the Chamber of Shrimp Producers in Guayaquil. 'But there are
markets - th
e US is still attractive and we are diversifying into Europe,
especially Spa
in.'
Exports have risen from 10,000 tonnes in 1980 to more than 78,000 tonne
s in
1991, and the need for more space and more larvae has led to conflict w
ith
environmental groups, particularly over the clearing of mangroves.
Most
shrimps are bred from wild larvae caught by thousands of seasonal
fishermen,
but more than 100 laboratories have been started up in recent
years, with s
ome exporting larvae to Colombia.
Although the shrimp fishing industry is sm
all, accounting for less than 10
per cent of production, wild shrimp provide
important breeding stocks for
the laboratories.
The sector expanded dangero
usly fast - from about 2,000 to 9,000 boats - in
the 1980s and over-fishing
is becoming a serious problem within a few miles
of the coast. Many of the
boats are dug-out canoes based in small
communities.
'We need to teach peopl
e to take better care of the fish, then they'll also
improve their income. T
here should be ice available, and we need to
encourage marketing co-operativ
es,' said Mr Aguirre.
The British aid project, which is now ending after 12
years, has helped the
National Fisheries Institute to build up data on biolo
gy, product
development, marketing and management.
Ecuador has a stronger ba
sis for planning resource use than many other
countries. 'There isn't any ro
om for growth in the existing industry - it
needs reducing and consolidating
,' said Mr. Scott.
.
9.
DOCUMENT NO.: FT931-13401.
HEADLINE: FT 23
JAN 93 / World Stock Markets: De Beers gives JSE a buoyant start to 1993 - B
ut economic hopes are muted .
BYLINE: By PHILIP GAWITH .
PUBLICATI
ON: The Financial Times .
PAGE: London Page 19 .
TEXT:
Ju
st as the collapse last August in De Beers' share price was an important
fac
tor in driving down the Johannesburg Stock Exchange, so its recent
recovery
has helped get the market off to a buoyant start in 1993.
The overall index
has risen by about 4 per cent in the first three weeks,
having closed 1992 d
own 5.3 per cent on the year. The index closed yesterday
up 22 at 3,404.
Muc
h of this year's rise can be attributed to De Beers, which accounts for
some
10 per cent of total volume and 5 per cent of market capitalisation.
The sh
ares have risen by 16 per cent since the start of the year, closing
yesterda
y at R68.25, after finishing 1992 at R57.50. This improvement is
mainly attr
ibutable to better than expected rough diamond sales by the
Central Selling
Organisation during 1992, and indications that the problem
of excess supply
from Angola and Russia has eased.
The industrial index has also started the
year strongly, up 4 per cent,
after a 4.6 per cent gain in the whole of 1992
, which followed a strong 39
per cent rise the previous year.
Mr Richard Jes
se, an analyst at brokers Martin & Co partly attributes this
good start to t
he, by now, 'tedious litany' of the market's scrip shortage.
Nevertheless, m
ost observers believe that 1993 will be a better year on the
JSE than 1992.
To some extent, this view is supported by improved political
and economic fu
ndamentals. While the speed of political negotiation is
rather slow all thos
e involved are aware that the country cannot afford a
repeat of the damaging
political hiatus which followed the failure of the
Codesa 2 talks in May an
d the Boipatong massacre in June.
Economic expectations, however, are muted:
the weather pattern in recent
weeks has led to renewed fears that the El Ni
no phenomenon, associated with
the severe drought of 1991-92, has reappeared
. Last year, for instance, the
drought shaved nearly 2 percentage points off
GDP growth.
The expectation remains, however, of positive growth in 1993 of
around 1.5
per cent (GDP shrunk by about 2 per cent in 1992), on hopes of a
better
agricultural season and improved commodity exports as world growth i
mproves.
The earnings prospects of industrial companies remains gloomy. Most
companies that have reported recently have predicted a drop in profits and
there is little expectation of improved corporate profits before 1994.
In sp
ite of these rather pale fundamentals, Mr Jesse is predicting a
rerating of
the market. He believes that the Financial and Industrial index,
currently o
n a price/earnings ratio of 14.9 times, down from a peak of some
15.5 in 199
2, could rise to more than 16 this year.
He gives two main reasons for this
forecast, apart from the improved
political prospects. First, the absence of
alternatives: property returns
are expected to fall in 1993, while money ma
rket rates which are in line
with inflation, and likely to fall with interes
t rates, are hardly
attractive.
Capital markets are also a difficult route b
ecause, while the probable
short-term decline in inflation, which currently
stands at about 11 per
cent, is positive, this is counterbalanced by concern
s about the size of the
government's budget deficit and prospects of a relax
ation in fiscal policy
under an interim government.
Second, Mr Jesse argues
that South African fund managers will be increasing
the equity portion of th
eir portfolios: many of them are underweight,
holding less than 60 per cent
in equities when the limit is as much as 75
per cent.
One unfashionable area
which could receive some of these institutional funds
is gold shares which
have been sharply downrated over the past three years
as the gold index decl
ined from a peak of 2,250 to current levels of about
800, with a 30 per cent
fall in 1992 alone.
Mr Mike Wuth, mining analyst at brokers Rice Rinaldi sa
ys that this
correction has largely removed the speculative angle from gold.
Now, he
says, gold has to offer decent returns and compete more directly wi
th
industrial shares.
However few analysts hold out much hope for a higher g
old price in the short
term and a weakening rand is only likely to offer lim
ited benefit.
But one way that profits can be improved is through further co
st cutting
measures and the December gold quarterly results of mining houses
confirm
the impressive progress that has been made in this direction. With
the
dividend yield of the gold index having risen to 6.6 per cent from 3.4 p
er
cent three years ago, gold shares are now offering better value than for
a
number of years.
Mr Wuth forecasts that foreigners are more likely to be b
uyers of good
shares than local institutions. Many of the latter, he argues,
are
historically overweight in gold and so are looking for opportunities to
lighten their holdings.
Overseas institutions, of course, will be wary of t
he vagaries of the
financial rand investment unit, which started 1992 at a d
iscount of 14 per
cent to the commercial rand and ended at a discount of 37
per cent.
But the political outlook and recent steps taken to bolster the cu
rrency,
make any further weakening from current levels unlikely.
.
10.
DO
CUMENT NO.: FT921-16395.
HEADLINE: FT 03 JAN 92 / Commodities and Agri
culture: Uncertainties cloud US farming outlook - Election year politics cou
ld again ease growers' sufferings .
BYLINE: By NANCY DUNNE .
PUBLI
CATION: The Financial Times .
PAGE: London Page 14 Photograph Maiz
e is the biggest contributor to US farm incomes but Soviet sales are in doub
t (Omitted). .
TEXT:
AMERICAN FARMERS are facing a new year as shro
uded in uncertainty as any in
recent times. The collapse of the Soviet Union
puts into jeopardy one of
their most lucrative markets; trade war with Chin
a is looming; and the
condition of the world economy is precarious.
Negotiat
ors in the Uruguay Round of the General Agreement on Tariffs and
Trade are s
till deadlocked on farm trade reform. Even the course of the El
Nino weather
phenomenon is confounding experts, who worry that it could
trigger droughts
in some areas at a time when US grain stocks are
uncomfortably low.
At the
annual outlook conference of the US Department of Agriculture
Department las
t month, Mr James Donald, head of the USDA's World Agriculture
Outlook Board
, put an optimistic face on 1992 for American farmers. Global
crop productio
n would fall but animal output would grow, creating many more
hungry mouths
to feed, he said.
Higher grain prices and an increased volume of wheat, soya
bean and
horticultural product exports would boost the value of farm exports
to
Dollars 39bn, up 4 per cent from 1991, Mr Donald forecast. World commodi
ty
demand would increase because of real economic growth of about 2.5 per ce
nt,
population growth of 1.7 per cent and a 2 per cent rise in meat output.
Meanwhile a 'modest increase' could be expected in input prices. However,
th
e overall result would be cash returns only 'close' to 1991 levels.
Mr Rober
t McElroy, a USDA agricultural economist, predicted a rise in US
wheat price
s next year. But he told the conference a threatened drop in
other grain pri
ces could lead to an overall drop in incomes. That would be a
further blow t
o a sector where bankruptcies are continuing at a brisk pace,
although not a
t the rate of the early 1980s.
Mr Mitchell Morehart, another USDA agricultur
al economist, acknowledged that
the rapid changes in the world had made it '
pretty difficult' to forecast
net farm income. The drop in US interest rates
would benefit some farmers
and a possible fall in fuel prices would also he
lp.
Maize is the largest single component of US farmer price receipts and th
e
republics of the former Soviet Union are still the major wild card in the
pack. The future of this trade rests on the willingness of the west to
provi
de financial assistance.
If the west withheld credits mendous,' said Mr Alan
Terhaar, executive
director of the US Feed Grains Council.
'The cumulative
effect of lack of trade credits that would cause the Soviets
to fall from th
e projected level to, for example, 5m tonnes of imports would
by the end of
1995-96, could cause a build-up of 60m tonnes of US feed
grains stocks. Whea
t stocks would face a similar build-up.'
If President Bush took the lead on
increasing export guarantees to the
former Soviet republics then the subsequ
ent rise in maize prices could
actually turn falling farm incomes around.
Wi
th all the uncertainties, Mr Terhaar expected a 'disappointing' outcome
for
1991-92 trade. Although exports to Mexico had been rising, they were
slightl
y behind expectations of 7.5m tonnes per year by 1995. Furthermore,
he was k
eeping a close watch on proposed changes to Mexico's ejido (communal
farm) l
and tenure system.
'Even two years ago it would have been inconceivable that
Mexico would ever
change its ejido system, which dates back to that country
's revolution,' Mr
Terhaar said. The system had been 'considered an insurmou
ntable impediment'
to higher Mexican production, but a proposal to introduce
privatisation into
the system could have 'far reaching consequences for the
make-up of crop and
livestock production'.
Mr Terhaar was hopeful about inc
reased exports to Egypt, since US debt
forgiveness and an emerging private s
ector had strengthened the market.
Eastern Europe offered some possibility o
f new markets in the short term but
it could not afford to buy much.
Austral
ia, South Africa and Thailand appeared to be moving away from feed
grains ex
ports, but the Asian market posed another concern for the US.
Japan's tariff
quota on imports of maize for industrial processing and
layers of regulatio
ns and secondary tariffs on feed grain might indicate 'we
have simply reache
d a plateau in Japanese imports. . . or we are entering a
period of signific
ant decline'.
In Korea the US was facing China as a major competitor, while
China was
maintaining firm control on import volume into the south, where ec
onomic
growth rates in excess of 20 per cent were causing an explosion in de
mand.
Mr Terhaar was 'bullish' that China would succumb to economic and poli
tical
pressures to open its market to feed grain imports. Currently it was
i
mporting 800,000 tonnes of barley for malt production, and demand was
growin
g by more than 100,000 tonnes a year.
The likeliest bet is that election yea
r politics will prevail and US farmers
will not be allowed to suffer unduly
in 1992. If history repeats itself -
and why not? - then the Republican admi
nistration and Democratic Congress
will join forces to ensure that the Midwe
st and the Sunbelt states, major
electoral battlegrounds, will get sticking
plasters for their pain.
Already there have been calls in Congress for expor
t subsidy re-armament.
President Bush, facing a tough re-election fight and
lagging in the polls,
is unlikely to refuse this favoured constituency unles
s Gatt brings
discipline into the trade.
.
11.
DOCUMENT NO.: FT943-6790.
HEADLINE: FT 26 AUG 94 / Commodities and Agriculture: Fishmeal plants
gobble up Peru's marine wealth - The crisis threatened by overcapacity and i
nefficiency .
BYLINE: By SALLY BOWEN .
PUBLICATION: The Financial
Times .
PAGE: London Page 22 .
TEXT:
Peru's fishmeal indu
stry, already the world's number one exporter in 1993,
is set for even more
spectacular figures this year. The catch in the first
six months was almost
half as large again as last year's and, with new
plants coming on stream alo
ng the coast, quality is on the increase as well
as quantity.
'It's an extra
ordinary year for fishing,' says Mr Dante Matellini, the
retired admiral who
presides over Pescaperu, the world's largest fishmeal
producer. Pescaperu w
as created in the early 1970s when the then left-wing
military government na
tionalised the bulk of the privately-owned plants.
With favourable climatic
conditions and fish stocks fully recovered after
the 1991-92 ravages of the
warm current known as 'El Nino' (The Child), Mr
Matellini has more to keep h
im busy than simply producing and selling
fishmeal. He is also charged with
the privatisation of the state's assets:
some 20 fishmeal factories and four
fishoil refineries.
Pescaperu's sale was originally announced almost two ye
ars ago. Now new
chief, Mr Matellini, has redrawn the strategy to sell the p
lants as
separate, legally-constituted companies rather than as simple asset
s. The
plants are valued at between Dollars 5m and Dollars 10m apiece, but a
ll
require substantial investment and upgrading.
Privatisation has proved de
licate as well as slow. Workers made redundant
under a rationalisation schem
e have demonstrated vociferously in Lima's
streets. Now the fishing lobby, t
he SNP, is also objecting to the sale.
'Pescaperu is a seven-headed dragon,'
says Mr Lucas de Tramontana, the SNP's
vice-president and a major sharehold
er in Pesquera Austral, the second
largest private fishmeal producer. 'We be
lieve not more than half-a-dozen of
its plants should be sold.' An official
proposal to that effect has been put
before the privatisers.
The SNP's objec
tion is that Peru's existing plant capacity vastly exceeds
the fish availabl
e for processing. In a 'normal' year, hundreds of small
Peruvian fishermen l
and about 6.5m tonnes of 'industrial' fish, primarily
anchovy and sardine, c
aught within 30 miles of the shore by traditional,
low-tech methods.
Last ye
ar, more than 8.4m tonnes of fish were extracted and, by the time the
twice-
yearly fishing ban came into force on 1 August, that total had already
been
matched. But, working at capacity, Peru's hungry processing plants can
gobbl
e up around 20,000 tonnes of raw fish an hour.
By early July, Pescaperu had
exported 450,000 tonnes of fishmeal, worth
Dollars 144m - about a third of t
he 1994 national total so far. Each year,
however, its share dwindles as pri
vate producers bring new, high-technology
plants on stream to turn out 'spec
ial' quality fishmeal.
One such is the Dollars 22m installation belonging to
Sindicato Pesquero
(Sipesa), near the port of Matarani on Peru's southern c
oast, where fish
stocks are now proving more reliable. Sipesa is far and awa
y the country's
leading private company, with 1993 exports worth Dollars 75m
. This year's
shipments could be 50 per cent higher.
Pesquera Austral, in th
e number two slot and investing heavily, has recently
brought two new specia
l quality plants on line, both south of Lima. It has
launched a Dollars 30m
Euronote issue to help finance restructuring and
expansion.
In all, the SNP'
s general manager, Mr Richard Diaz, can reckon up some
Dollars 400m in fresh
private sector investments planned and already under
way for fleet and plan
t modernisation.
But, with all the entrepreneurial activity, Peru's anchovy
and sardine
stocks are being stretched to their limits - some suspect they m
ay already
be over-fished. The last time Peruvian fishermen caught quantitie
s similar
to this year's was in record-breaking 1971. That free-for-all deci
mated
stocks and plunged the fishmeal industry into crisis for years.
The UN
's Food and Agriculture Organisation is working with Peru's fisheries
minist
ry and maritime institute (Imarpe) to make a better evaluation of the
resour
ce. Mr Diaz says 'preliminary information from the study indicates
there may
have been errors in calculating the biomass in previous years. Or
else the
'biological' fishing ban has allowed stocks to build up.'
Nevertheless, the
anchovy and sardine caught off the Peruvian coast are
finite. Apart from imp
roving the conversion ratio of raw material to
finished product, fishmeal pr
oducers may soon have no alternative but to
move into deeper waters where vi
rtually untapped stocks of horse and jack
mackerel abound.
Investment in dee
p-sea trawlers, of course, is expensive and, according to
the SNP, Peru's ve
ry private fishing sector (no Peruvian fishing company is
yet publicly trade
d) carries a heavy burden of debt.
One option for the forward-looking compan
y is a joint venture backed by
foreign capital. Peru's Sotomayor group, 40 p
er cent owned by American
Proteins of Atlanta, has embarked on a tuna-fishin
g venture in association
with JIDO, the Japanese investment and development
organisation. The first
of a projected four-ship fleet is already operating
off the Peruvian coast
and selling tuna to Japan for sashimi.
A Dutch compan
y, Van der Zwan, meanwhile, has bought back seven Dutch-built
trawlers origi
nally supplied to now-liquidated Flopesca, the former
state-owned high seas
fishing fleet. In a joint venture with a local company
based in Peru's north
ern port of Paita, a couple of the reconditioned
trawlers are to produce fro
zen fish, mainly hake, for export to Europe.
A further, obvious option for P
eruvian companies that see the writing on the
wall is to launch a public sha
re offering. Both Sipesa and Sotomayor say
they are considering it.
.
12.
DOCUMENT NO.: FT924-2561.
HEADLINE: FT 11 DEC 92 / Survey of Ecuador
(3): Banana trade faces an uncertain future - Agriculture .
BYLINE:
By RAYMOND COLITT .
PUBLICATION: The Financial Times .
PAGE: Lon
don Page 34 .
TEXT:
BANANA production, the cornerstone of Ecuador's
agriculture, is facing
change. Not only are exports threatened by European
restrictions, but
domestic overproduction, the Sigatoka disease and low per
acre productivity
will also demand action by producers.
Last year Ecuador pr
oduced a record 3.5m tonnes of bananas. The increase
over previous years (3m
tonnes in 1990 and 2.5m tonnes in 1989) is largely
due to new plantations s
tarted in 1990 and 1991 - when banana prices rose -
and which have now come
into production. These largely unauthorised
plantations are ballooning the s
upply and depressing prices.
Of great concern to Ecuador is the reform of th
e European Community's banana
import regime with proposals to impose a banan
a import quota of 2m tonnes
next year and tariff on 'dollar bananas' importe
d from exporters from Latin
America of up to 70 per cent. Ecuador last year
exported 2.7m tonnes of
bananas worth nearly Dollars 800m.
Restrictions woul
d affect a large percentage of Ecuador's banana exports.
Approximately 40 pe
r cent of the fruit it produces is sold to the EC.
While the spread of the B
lack Sigatoka disease, which has endangered the
tropical fruit for some time
, has been halted, it is not likely to be
eradicated. Measures introduced by
the French Institute of Fruit and Citrus
Investigations, part of an aid pro
gramme of the French government, have had
much success in combating Sigatoka
, but have not able to eliminate it
completely.
The productivity of Ecuador'
s banana fields is below that of its world
competitors. While the productivi
ty in Honduras is 2,800 boxes per hectare
and 3,000 in Costa Rica, Ecuador m
erely produces 1,400 boxes per hectare.
Yet lower overall costs make Ecuador
competitive internationally.
To give producers an incentive while continuin
g to protect consumers, the
government is to implement a price reform of the
principal agricultural
goods whose prices have so far remained fixed.
Suppl
y and demand will determine the prices of sugar, rice, maize, soya,
milk and
barley within a certain parameter set by the ministry of
agriculture. The b
ottom end of the price bracket will ensure farmers a
minimum revenue. When p
rices hit the top end, distributors are allowed to
search for cheaper import
s on the international market.
The importance of coffee and cacao, which cov
er nearly a third of the area
sown with primary agricultural products, is li
kely to decrease. Given low
prices and an over-supply of coffee on world mar
kets, agriculture minister
Mr Mariano Gonzales Portes has indicated that som
e of the coffee
cultivations will eventually have to be replaced with other
crops.
In spite of a sugar cane production of over 3.5m tonnes annually, Ecu
ador
has had to import sugar this year. Producers hope to cover domestic dem
and
next year but need considerable credits from the Andean Development
Corp
oration to do so.
Few major crops have seen their production increase signif
icantly recently.
One exception is the soya bean; its production has nearly
quadrupled in the
past years and is expected to grow in the future.
One of t
he reasons producers have not been able to significantly increase
the yield
of their crops in past years, says Mr Gonzales, has been the lack
of suffici
ent investment in agricultural research. Only 0.3 per cent of
gross domestic
product has gone into agricultural research in the past
years, he says.
The
government plans to reverse that trend and, with the help of the
Institute
of Agricultural Investigations which became autonomous only in
July, intends
to promote new and higher-yielding agricultural products.
INIAP has recentl
y developed a new type of yuca whose yield is three times
that of the tradit
ional type when processed into flour and 10 times as high
when processed int
o starch.
The institute also engages in other activities, such as giving tec
hnical
advice to indigenous groups in the central province of Chimborazo on
the
cultivation of the traditional crop quinua. This cereal, grown by the In
cas
centuries ago, has a high nutritional value.
Although a promising crop,
the efficient commercialisation of quinua is
difficult, says Mr Gonzales, be
cause of the unfavourable size of land
parcels in the areas in which quinua
is grown. Land holdings in the
mountainous Sierra region are much smaller th
an in the coast and are
typically used for subsistence farming.
Thirty per c
ent of land holdings in the Sierra are classified as small (10
hectares or l
ess), while 52 per cent are medium sized (10 to 100 hectares)
and only 18 pe
r cent are more than 100 hectares. Land holdings in the
coastal provinces of
Manabi, Guayas, and Los Rios are generally larger and
used in commercial mo
noculture such as banana, cacao or coffee.
In the past two-and-a-half decade
s the amount of land used for livestock
production has more than tripled to
nearly 5m hectares, which in part
explains Ecuador's dazzling rate of defore
station. Settlers continue to
slash-and-burn as a way to clear areas of fore
st on which to grow beans and
maize for one season before turning it into pa
sture.
The most rapid expansion of pasture has occured in the coastal areas,
especially in the province of Esmeraldas where huge tracts of land have bee
n
cleared by settlers as well as lumber companies. In the Sierra the increas
e
of pasture is more due to the abandonment of agricultural activities.
A la
rge potential for growth lies in Ecuador's horticulture, according to Mr
Gon
zales, especially tropical fruits but also flowers which have found an
incre
asingly strong market in the US and Europe.
Yet the volatility in the produc
tion of such fruits for the export market is
exemplified by the Babaco fruit
. Production in 1987 reached 3,834 tonnes but
then steadily declined over th
e years and in 1991 equalled only 510 tonnes.
Although outside the hurricane
zone, Ecuador suffers repeatedly from the
shifting precipitation patterns c
aused by the Pacific current El Nino. The
current carries warmer waters to t
he coast and causes droughts in some parts
of the country and floods in othe
rs. This year 22 people were killed and
30,000 hectares of rice, banana, cot
ton and maize crops were lost. The
damage in the coastal areas alone is esti
mated to have been Dollars 70m.
At a time when droughts have caused hydroele
ctric plants to reduce their
output, the government plans to revive a decade
-old project to irrigate
nearly 30,000 hectares of arable land on the Santa
Helena peninsula west of
the port city Guayaquil. The four dams along the ri
ver Daule are also to
provide the area with electricity and drinking water.
So far Brazil, Italy
and Spain have agreed to co-finance the project.
.
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FT944-9398
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9411
16
FT 16 NOV 94 / Law of the Sea promises many disputes
By BRUCE CLARK, Diplomatic Correspondent
<
TEXT>
The United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea, which enters full
force
today, seems likely to be treated by coastal states as a rich source
of
legal and rhetorical arguments to be used against rivals.
This is in spit
e of the fact that the last thing the law's drafters wanted
was to provide d
isputatious countries with extra torpedoes. One of the law's
ostensible purp
oses is to encourage compromises over the exploitation of
maritime resources
, even among countries with unresolved disputes.
Apart from a standoff in th
e Aegean - where Turkey has threatened war if
Greece extends its territorial
waters to 12 miles - one of the most grave
maritime disputes involves China
and Vietnam, locked in a war of words over
oil rights in the South China Se
a.
Both China and Vietnam claim to be acting in accordance with the Law of t
he
Sea but their interpretations of the document are miles apart.
Over the l
ast month, China has accused Vietnam of infringing its interests
in internat
ional waters by inviting US and European companies to explore for
oil in the
Tonkin Gulf.
Vietnam has retorted that it is exercising its legitimate righ
ts in the
economic zone to which it is entitled by the UN convention. It sai
d that
under the terms of that treaty, there were no international waters in
the
Gulf.
This dialogue of the deaf reflects confusion over the difference
between
territorial waters - which may be extended, under the UN Law, up to
12 miles
-and the 'economic zone' which coastal states are entitled to clai
m,
amounting to either 200 miles or the full extent of their continental she
lf,
whichever is larger.
China and Vietnam are also arguing over resources a
round the Spratly
Islands, a group of reefs and atolls whose other would-be
owners are Taiwan,
Brunei, Malaysia and the Philippines.
China has awarded a
n exploration contract to the US company Crestone for an
area south-west of
the Spratlys, while Vietnam has awarded a consortium led
by Mobil a bloc sli
ghtly further to the west. Each state has denounced the
other's contract.
So
vereignty over the Spratlys - and hence control of the surrounding
economic
zone - is crucial to each side's claim to energy rights, and the
salience of
this issue is expected to grow as the UN convention enters
force.
However a
study by a London-based law firm, maintains that the law favours
pragmatic
joint exploitation accords, even among countries with unresolved
disputes.*
Laying out the common-sense arguments for such accords, it notes that oil
de
posits which straddle two states' economic zones cannot be exploited by
one
without damaging the other's interests. When one state drills, oil from
the
rival state's zone is liable to flow across the boundary line as a
result.
A
rticle 83 of the UN convention says that pending final agreement on zones,
c
ountries should 'make every effort to enter into provisional arrangements
of
a practical nature'.
As an example of such a deal, the study cites the 1989
accord between
Australia and Indonesia over waters south of Timor.
However,
such accords are not a panacea. Portugal - still seen by the UN as
legal ad
ministrator of East Timor - has challenged Australia's right to
enter the ac
cord, before the International Court of Justice.
The entry into force of the
UN Law comes a year after its ratification by
the minimum of 60 states. Ano
ther breakthrough came this summer when
provisions on deep-sea mining - outs
ide the zones of any country - were
amended so as to convince the US, the UK
and Germany to sign.
*Paper by Charles Robson of Lovell White Durrant, 65 H
olborn Viaduct, London
EC1A 2DY
Countries:-
CNZ Chin
a, Asia.
VNZ Vietnam, Asia.
XAZ World.
Industries:-
P9721 International Affairs.
Types:-
NEWS Gener
al News.
The Financial Times
London Page 6
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9411
16
FT 16 NOV 94 / Law of the Sea promises many disputes
By BRUCE CLARK, Diplomatic Correspondent
<
TEXT>
The United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea, which enters full
force
today, seems likely to be treated by coastal states as a rich source
of
legal and rhetorical arguments to be used against rivals.
This is in spit
e of the fact that the last thing the law's drafters wanted
was to provide d
isputatious countries with extra torpedoes. One of the law's
ostensible purp
oses is to encourage compromises over the exploitation of
maritime resources
, even among countries with unresolved disputes.
Apart from a standoff in th
e Aegean - where Turkey has threatened war if
Greece extends its territorial
waters to 12 miles - one of the most grave
maritime disputes involves China
and Vietnam, locked in a war of words over
oil rights in the South China Se
a.
Both China and Vietnam claim to be acting in accordance with the Law of t
he
Sea but their interpretations of the document are miles apart.
Over the l
ast month, China has accused Vietnam of infringing its interests
in internat
ional waters by inviting US and European companies to explore for
oil in the
Tonkin Gulf.
Vietnam has retorted that it is exercising its legitimate righ
ts in the
economic zone to which it is entitled by the UN convention. It sai
d that
under the terms of that treaty, there were no international waters in
the
Gulf.
This dialogue of the deaf reflects confusion over the difference
between
territorial waters - which may be extended, under the UN Law, up to
12 miles
-and the 'economic zone' which coastal states are entitled to clai
m,
amounting to either 200 miles or the full extent of their continental she
lf,
whichever is larger.
China and Vietnam are also arguing over resources a
round the Spratly
Islands, a group of reefs and atolls whose other would-be
owners are Taiwan,
Brunei, Malaysia and the Philippines.
China has awarded a
n exploration contract to the US company Crestone for an
area south-west of
the Spratlys, while Vietnam has awarded a consortium led
by Mobil a bloc sli
ghtly further to the west. Each state has denounced the
other's contract.
So
vereignty over the Spratlys - and hence control of the surrounding
economic
zone - is crucial to each side's claim to energy rights, and the
salience of
this issue is expected to grow as the UN convention enters
force.
However a
study by a London-based law firm, maintains that the law favours
pragmatic
joint exploitation accords, even among countries with unresolved
disputes.*
Laying out the common-sense arguments for such accords, it notes that oil
de
posits which straddle two states' economic zones cannot be exploited by
one
without damaging the other's interests. When one state drills, oil from
the
rival state's zone is liable to flow across the boundary line as a
result.
A
rticle 83 of the UN convention says that pending final agreement on zones,
c
ountries should 'make every effort to enter into provisional arrangements
of
a practical nature'.
As an example of such a deal, the study cites the 1989
accord between
Australia and Indonesia over waters south of Timor.
However,
such accords are not a panacea. Portugal - still seen by the UN as
legal ad
ministrator of East Timor - has challenged Australia's right to
enter the ac
cord, before the International Court of Justice.
The entry into force of the
UN Law comes a year after its ratification by
the minimum of 60 states. Ano
ther breakthrough came this summer when
provisions on deep-sea mining - outs
ide the zones of any country - were
amended so as to convince the US, the UK
and Germany to sign.
*Paper by Charles Robson of Lovell White Durrant, 65 H
olborn Viaduct, London
EC1A 2DY
Countries:-
CNZ Chin
a, Asia.
VNZ Vietnam, Asia.
XAZ World.
Industries:-
P9721 International Affairs.
Types:-
NEWS Gener
al News.
The Financial Times
London Page 6
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9411
17
FT 17 NOV 94 / Australia extends offshore zone
By NIKKI TAIT
SYDNEY
<
TEXT>
Australia doubled in size yesterday, as it formally claimed massive ne
w
offshore territory under an international 'law of the sea' convention. The
1982 United Nations Convention of the Law of the Sea, which was finally
rat
ified this year, aims to divide about 35 per cent of the world's oceans
amon
g over 100 countries. In Australia's case it means that the country can
clai
m an exclusive economic zone extending 200 nautical miles from its
baselines
, instead of the traditional 12 miles.
Because of the nation's extensive coa
stline it is now claiming around 5.7m
sq miles of ocean water, of which 4.2m
sq miles derives from the new
extended nautical limits. As a result, Austra
lia can boast one of the
largest 'exclusive economic zones' in the world.
Wh
ile much of the additional territory is undisputed, there is disagreement
wi
th Indonesia over territory around Christmas Island and off the north
coast
of Australia, including the resource-rich Timor Gap.
Countries:
-
AUZ Australia.
Industries:-
P9511 Air, Wat
er, and Solid Waste Management.
Types:-
NEWS General N
ews.
The Financial Times
London Page 7
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9411
17
FT 17 NOV 94 / Australia extends offshore zone
By NIKKI TAIT
SYDNEY
<
TEXT>
Australia doubled in size yesterday, as it formally claimed massive ne
w
offshore territory under an international 'law of the sea' convention. The
1982 United Nations Convention of the Law of the Sea, which was finally
rat
ified this year, aims to divide about 35 per cent of the world's oceans
amon
g over 100 countries. In Australia's case it means that the country can
clai
m an exclusive economic zone extending 200 nautical miles from its
baselines
, instead of the traditional 12 miles.
Because of the nation's extensive coa
stline it is now claiming around 5.7m
sq miles of ocean water, of which 4.2m
sq miles derives from the new
extended nautical limits. As a result, Austra
lia can boast one of the
largest 'exclusive economic zones' in the world.
Wh
ile much of the additional territory is undisputed, there is disagreement
wi
th Indonesia over territory around Christmas Island and off the north
coast
of Australia, including the resource-rich Timor Gap.
Countries:
-
AUZ Australia.
Industries:-
P9511 Air, Wat
er, and Solid Waste Management.
Types:-
NEWS General N
ews.
The Financial Times
London Page 7
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920
204
FT 04 FEB 92 / Egypt and Sudan in oil dispute
By TONY WALKER and SHAHIRA IDRIS
C
AIRO
EGYPT AND Sudan have become embroiled in a border di
spute over oil
exploration in the Red Sea, and the argument seems likely to
complicate
already tense relations between Cairo and Khartoum.
Egypt has adv
ised all international oil companies that Sudan has no
authority to sign exp
loration agreements for acreage north of their
'political' boundary delineat
ed by latitude 22 degrees north under an 1899
treaty.
Egypt was reacting to
an agreement signed last month between Sudan and the
Canadian-registered Int
ernational Petroleum Corporation for seismic work in
waters north of 22 degr
ees in an area Egypt claims as sovereign territory.
Sudan, however, believes
an 'administrative' boundary, agreed in 1902, which
runs north of the polit
ical boundary, entitles it to allow exploration north
of 22 degrees.
The dis
pute could hardly come at a more awkward moment, with relations
between mode
rate rulers in Cairo and the Islamicist-dominated military
regime in Sudan u
nder severe strain. It also coincides with reports of
recent troubles betwee
n Egyptian and Sudanese patrols in the triangle formed
by the 'political' an
d 'administrative' boundaries.
The 'political' boundary came into effect wit
h the Anglo-Egyptian
condominium agreement of 1899. It was followed three ye
ars later by an
amendment that gave Sudan administrative responsibility for
tribes north of
1899 boundary in the east.
Egypt was given responsibility fo
r a small section south of the line about
half-way between the Red Sea coast
and the Nile.
It is unclear whether the 'political' or 'administrative' bou
ndaries have
international boundary status. This issue may in the end requir
e
international jurisdiction.
In the meantime Egypt, which is keen to promot
e offshore exploration in the
Red Sea, is offering a large block which runs
south to its 'political'
boundary with Sudan, and in fact includes acreage t
argeted for exploration
by International Petroleum.
In Geneva, International
Petroleum said it was planning to go ahead with its
seismic survey in its 1
0,000 square kilometre Halaib block. A spokesman said
that until the Egyptia
ns had complained he had not been aware that the area
was in dispute.
Egypt,
through its embassy in Ottawa, informed the Canadian government, and
throug
h it International Petroleum, that it regarded exploration in waters
off the
area under dispute latitude as 'illegal.'
In Cairo, a spokesman for the Can
adian embassy said the issue was under
discussion with both Egypt and Sudan.
He said the Sudanese were insisting
they had a right to enter into explorat
ion a greements for areas in their
'administrative' zone.
The F
inancial Times
London Page 4 Map (Omitted).
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920
204
FT 04 FEB 92 / Egypt and Sudan in oil dispute
By TONY WALKER and SHAHIRA IDRIS
C
AIRO
EGYPT AND Sudan have become embroiled in a border di
spute over oil
exploration in the Red Sea, and the argument seems likely to
complicate
already tense relations between Cairo and Khartoum.
Egypt has adv
ised all international oil companies that Sudan has no
authority to sign exp
loration agreements for acreage north of their
'political' boundary delineat
ed by latitude 22 degrees north under an 1899
treaty.
Egypt was reacting to
an agreement signed last month between Sudan and the
Canadian-registered Int
ernational Petroleum Corporation for seismic work in
waters north of 22 degr
ees in an area Egypt claims as sovereign territory.
Sudan, however, believes
an 'administrative' boundary, agreed in 1902, which
runs north of the polit
ical boundary, entitles it to allow exploration north
of 22 degrees.
The dis
pute could hardly come at a more awkward moment, with relations
between mode
rate rulers in Cairo and the Islamicist-dominated military
regime in Sudan u
nder severe strain. It also coincides with reports of
recent troubles betwee
n Egyptian and Sudanese patrols in the triangle formed
by the 'political' an
d 'administrative' boundaries.
The 'political' boundary came into effect wit
h the Anglo-Egyptian
condominium agreement of 1899. It was followed three ye
ars later by an
amendment that gave Sudan administrative responsibility for
tribes north of
1899 boundary in the east.
Egypt was given responsibility fo
r a small section south of the line about
half-way between the Red Sea coast
and the Nile.
It is unclear whether the 'political' or 'administrative' bou
ndaries have
international boundary status. This issue may in the end requir
e
international jurisdiction.
In the meantime Egypt, which is keen to promot
e offshore exploration in the
Red Sea, is offering a large block which runs
south to its 'political'
boundary with Sudan, and in fact includes acreage t
argeted for exploration
by International Petroleum.
In Geneva, International
Petroleum said it was planning to go ahead with its
seismic survey in its 1
0,000 square kilometre Halaib block. A spokesman said
that until the Egyptia
ns had complained he had not been aware that the area
was in dispute.
Egypt,
through its embassy in Ottawa, informed the Canadian government, and
throug
h it International Petroleum, that it regarded exploration in waters
off the
area under dispute latitude as 'illegal.'
In Cairo, a spokesman for the Can
adian embassy said the issue was under
discussion with both Egypt and Sudan.
He said the Sudanese were insisting
they had a right to enter into explorat
ion a greements for areas in their
'administrative' zone.
The F
inancial Times
London Page 4 Map (Omitted).
============= Transaction # 85 ==============================================
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============= Transaction # 86 ==============================================
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9411
17
FT 17 NOV 94 / US cruiser tracks Greek and Turkish co
ntingents: Marine rights row leads to fear of war between Nato neighbours
HEADLINE>
By KERIN HOPE and JOHN BARHAM
ATHENS, ANKARA
A US Navy cruiser was yesterday monitoring
Greek and Turkish naval
activities in the Aegean, where fears of war have b
een triggered by the
start of a new international law.
The United Nations Co
nvention on the Law of the Sea has been hailed in
Athens as a vindication of
its long-standing argument that it has the right
to extend its territorial
waters from 6 miles to 12.
Turkey has said that any such move by Athens woul
d turn the Aegean into a
'Greek lake' and would be resisted by force. Greece
says it has no plans to
extend its territorial waters, but it will not reno
unce the right to do so.
An opinion poll published this week showed that 79
per cent of Turks would
support war if Greece declared a 12-mile limit.
The
quarrel dates from an offshore oil strike west of the Greek island of
Thasos
more than 20 years ago. The Athens government rejects Turkish
proposals for
joint oil exploration in the Aegean.
The Cape St George, a US cruiser equip
ped with the latest electronic
surveillance devices, was yesterday tracking
Turkish warships and Greek
aircraft across the Aegean.
President Bill Clinto
n has written to the leaders of both countries urging
them to show restraint
and avoid the risk of clashes.
Mr Mumtaz Soysal, the Turkish foreign minist
er, said Ankara has assured Mr
Clinton that it had taken all possible measur
es to avoid a clash. Mr Soysal
met Mr Karolos Papoulis, his Greek counterpar
t, in The Hague this week, but
there was little sign of a change in position
s.
Turkey wants across-the-board negotiations on all the issues which it say
s
are in dispute. Greece says the only issue that needs discussing is that o
f
seabed mineral rights, which it wants settled by international arbitration
.
Relations between Athens and Ankara have also been worsened by the war in
former Yugoslavia, where Turkey supports the Bosnian Moslems while Greece
ha
s traditional links with the Serbs.
Turkey was the only European member of N
ato to support the US withdrawal
from the arms embargo against Bosnia. Recen
tly, Turkey gave a new thrust to
the old antagonisms by accusing Greece of h
arbouring guerrillas from the
separatist Kurdistan Workers party (PKK) fight
ing in eastern Turkey.
The US Navy, in this year's annual intelligence repor
t, described the
Greek-Turkish standoff as one of the 'most worrisome situat
ions developing
in Europe and the most dangerous to Nato as an institution'.
The report says tension in the Aegean has also been stoked by supplies to
b
oth countries of new and secondhand ships from other Nato countries.
Diploma
ts said they were alarmed that a hot-line between the two countries,
set up
after they came close to war in 1987, had ceased to function.
Turkey is cond
ucting its manoeuvres this week in international waters in the
northern Aege
an. About 100 miles to the south, the Greek navy is in charge
of a Nato exer
cise held every year involving ships and aircraft from the US,
France, Italy
, Spain and the UK.
Countries:-
GRZ Greece, EC.
TRZ Turkey, Middle East.
USZ United States of America.
Indu
stries:-
P9721 International Affairs.
Types:-
NEWS General News.
The Financial Times
Internatio
nal Page 22
============= Transaction # 87 ==============================================
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9411
17
FT 17 NOV 94 / US cruiser tracks Greek and Turkish co
ntingents: Marine rights row leads to fear of war between Nato neighbours
HEADLINE>
By KERIN HOPE and JOHN BARHAM
ATHENS, ANKARA
A US Navy cruiser was yesterday monitoring
Greek and Turkish naval
activities in the Aegean, where fears of war have b
een triggered by the
start of a new international law.
The United Nations Co
nvention on the Law of the Sea has been hailed in
Athens as a vindication of
its long-standing argument that it has the right
to extend its territorial
waters from 6 miles to 12.
Turkey has said that any such move by Athens woul
d turn the Aegean into a
'Greek lake' and would be resisted by force. Greece
says it has no plans to
extend its territorial waters, but it will not reno
unce the right to do so.
An opinion poll published this week showed that 79
per cent of Turks would
support war if Greece declared a 12-mile limit.
The
quarrel dates from an offshore oil strike west of the Greek island of
Thasos
more than 20 years ago. The Athens government rejects Turkish
proposals for
joint oil exploration in the Aegean.
The Cape St George, a US cruiser equip
ped with the latest electronic
surveillance devices, was yesterday tracking
Turkish warships and Greek
aircraft across the Aegean.
President Bill Clinto
n has written to the leaders of both countries urging
them to show restraint
and avoid the risk of clashes.
Mr Mumtaz Soysal, the Turkish foreign minist
er, said Ankara has assured Mr
Clinton that it had taken all possible measur
es to avoid a clash. Mr Soysal
met Mr Karolos Papoulis, his Greek counterpar
t, in The Hague this week, but
there was little sign of a change in position
s.
Turkey wants across-the-board negotiations on all the issues which it say
s
are in dispute. Greece says the only issue that needs discussing is that o
f
seabed mineral rights, which it wants settled by international arbitration
.
Relations between Athens and Ankara have also been worsened by the war in
former Yugoslavia, where Turkey supports the Bosnian Moslems while Greece
ha
s traditional links with the Serbs.
Turkey was the only European member of N
ato to support the US withdrawal
from the arms embargo against Bosnia. Recen
tly, Turkey gave a new thrust to
the old antagonisms by accusing Greece of h
arbouring guerrillas from the
separatist Kurdistan Workers party (PKK) fight
ing in eastern Turkey.
The US Navy, in this year's annual intelligence repor
t, described the
Greek-Turkish standoff as one of the 'most worrisome situat
ions developing
in Europe and the most dangerous to Nato as an institution'.
The report says tension in the Aegean has also been stoked by supplies to
b
oth countries of new and secondhand ships from other Nato countries.
Diploma
ts said they were alarmed that a hot-line between the two countries,
set up
after they came close to war in 1987, had ceased to function.
Turkey is cond
ucting its manoeuvres this week in international waters in the
northern Aege
an. About 100 miles to the south, the Greek navy is in charge
of a Nato exer
cise held every year involving ships and aircraft from the US,
France, Italy
, Spain and the UK.
Countries:-
GRZ Greece, EC.
TRZ Turkey, Middle East.
USZ United States of America.
Indu
stries:-
P9721 International Affairs.
Types:-
NEWS General News.
The Financial Times
Internatio
nal Page 22
============= Transaction # 88 ==============================================
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9411
23
FT 23 NOV 94 / Beijing and Hanoi aim to settle differ
ences over Spratlys
By VICTOR MALLET
BANGKOK
China and Vietnam agreed yesterday to wo
rk peacefully to resolve their
disputes over territorial and maritime bounda
ries, and are to set up a group
of experts to discuss their rival claims to
the Spratly atolls and the
waters of the South China Sea.
A joint communique
released at the end of a three-day visit to Vietnam by
China's President Ji
ang Zemin said the two governments agreed to 'refrain
from all acts that mak
e things more complicated or broaden conflicts'.
The dispute over the South
China Sea is especially sensitive, because each
country is seeking to exploi
t oil and gas reserves believed to lie under the
sea bed. Both countries hav
e awarded oil exploration contracts to US oil
companies in disputed waters.
Mr Qian Qichen, Chinese foreign minister, said in the Vietnamese capital
Han
oi the two sides could shelve disputes and start 'joint development' if
prob
lems could not be resolved in talks immediately.
Joint development of possib
le oil and gas fields in disputed maritime areas
is a proven method of overc
oming conflicts between two countries, but might
not succeed in all areas of
the sea because there are four other claimants
to some or all of the island
s: Taiwan, Malaysia, the Philippines and Brunei.
Relations between Hanoi and
Beijing have improved in the past few years. But
Vietnamese officials say C
hina has recently encroached on their territory
near the border, refused to
open a railway link to allow normal trade across
the land frontier, and let
Chinese traders smuggle cheap Chinese goods into
Vietnam.
Mr Jiang's visit,
the first by a Chinese president, may not have brought
much in the way of co
ncrete achievements, but suggests the two governments
want to set aside thei
r differences and concentrate on the similar
challenges each faces: keeping
their one-party communist political systems
intact while liberalising the ec
onomy.
Countries:-
CNZ China, Asia.
VNZ Vietnam
, Asia.
Industries:-
P9721 International Affairs.
Types:-
NEWS General News.
The Financial Times <
/PUB>
London Page 8
============= Transaction # 89 ==============================================
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9411
23
FT 23 NOV 94 / Beijing and Hanoi aim to settle differ
ences over Spratlys
By VICTOR MALLET
BANGKOK
China and Vietnam agreed yesterday to wo
rk peacefully to resolve their
disputes over territorial and maritime bounda
ries, and are to set up a group
of experts to discuss their rival claims to
the Spratly atolls and the
waters of the South China Sea.
A joint communique
released at the end of a three-day visit to Vietnam by
China's President Ji
ang Zemin said the two governments agreed to 'refrain
from all acts that mak
e things more complicated or broaden conflicts'.
The dispute over the South
China Sea is especially sensitive, because each
country is seeking to exploi
t oil and gas reserves believed to lie under the
sea bed. Both countries hav
e awarded oil exploration contracts to US oil
companies in disputed waters.
Mr Qian Qichen, Chinese foreign minister, said in the Vietnamese capital
Han
oi the two sides could shelve disputes and start 'joint development' if
prob
lems could not be resolved in talks immediately.
Joint development of possib
le oil and gas fields in disputed maritime areas
is a proven method of overc
oming conflicts between two countries, but might
not succeed in all areas of
the sea because there are four other claimants
to some or all of the island
s: Taiwan, Malaysia, the Philippines and Brunei.
Relations between Hanoi and
Beijing have improved in the past few years. But
Vietnamese officials say C
hina has recently encroached on their territory
near the border, refused to
open a railway link to allow normal trade across
the land frontier, and let
Chinese traders smuggle cheap Chinese goods into
Vietnam.
Mr Jiang's visit,
the first by a Chinese president, may not have brought
much in the way of co
ncrete achievements, but suggests the two governments
want to set aside thei
r differences and concentrate on the similar
challenges each faces: keeping
their one-party communist political systems
intact while liberalising the ec
onomy.
Countries:-
CNZ China, Asia.
VNZ Vietnam
, Asia.
Industries:-
P9721 International Affairs.
Types:-
NEWS General News.
The Financial Times <
/PUB>
London Page 8
============= Transaction # 90 ==============================================
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941
104
FT 04 NOV 94 / Cypriots join in the Aegean war of wo
rds
By BRUCE CLARK, Diplomatic Correspondent
The gap between Greek-Cypriot and Turkish-Cypriot positions over t
he
island's future is widening ominously, at a time when Athens and Ankara a
re
already squaring off over territorial rights in the Aegean.
Greek-Cypriot
officials have in the last few days accused both the Turkish
Cypriots and A
nkara of renouncing the 1977 and 1979 agreements - calling for
the island to
be reunited as a bi-zonal federation - which have served as
the basis for a
ll subsequent negotiations.
Leaders of the island's Greek Cypriot majority h
ave always argued for as
full-blooded a federation as possible, while the Tu
rkish Cypriots want
relatively loose ties between mainly Greek and mainly Tu
rkish zones.
Until recently, UN-sponsored negotiations have proceeded on the
basis that a
federal Cyprus would be a sovereign state, albeit loosely stru
ctured.
But Mr Mumtaz Soysal, the new Turkish foreign minister who has calle
d for a
tougher stance on Turkish-Greek disputes, caused a sensation in Athe
ns this
week by saying that both parts of Cyprus were and would remain sover
eign
entities.
He said the Cyprus problem was 'half-solved already' and all
that remained
was for the two sides to agree on co-operation in such areas a
s tourism and
the environment.
The Turkish minister's words were denounced b
y the Cyprus government,
although there was quiet satisfaction among hardlin
e Greek politicians, who
have all along doubted the value of reconciliation
talks.
'We are at a worse impasse than before,' said Mr Alecos Michaelides,
foreign
minister in the Greek Cypriot government. 'They (the Turkish Cypriot
s) are
now abandoning the idea of a federation . . . and this makes it diffi
cult
even to start discussions.'
The Greek Cypriots are now expected to inte
nsify pressure on the UN for a
statement that blames Turkish intransigence f
or the lack of progress. They
are also stepping up their campaign for access
ion to the European Union,
something the Turkish side opposes as long as the
re is no settlement.
In a separate Greek-Turkish dispute, Mr Soysal has agai
n warned Athens that
Turkey will go to war if Greece exercises the option of
extending its
territorial waters from six miles to 12 after November 16, wh
en a new
international law on the sea enters force.
Countries:-
CYZ Cyprus, Middle East.
GRZ Greece, EC.
TRZ Turkey, M
iddle East.
Industries:-
P9721 International Affairs.
<
/IN>
Types:-
NEWS General News.
The Financial Tim
es
London Page 2
============= Transaction # 91 ==============================================
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FT944-11862
_AN-EKDDZAARFT
941
104
FT 04 NOV 94 / Cypriots join in the Aegean war of wo
rds
By BRUCE CLARK, Diplomatic Correspondent
The gap between Greek-Cypriot and Turkish-Cypriot positions over t
he
island's future is widening ominously, at a time when Athens and Ankara a
re
already squaring off over territorial rights in the Aegean.
Greek-Cypriot
officials have in the last few days accused both the Turkish
Cypriots and A
nkara of renouncing the 1977 and 1979 agreements - calling for
the island to
be reunited as a bi-zonal federation - which have served as
the basis for a
ll subsequent negotiations.
Leaders of the island's Greek Cypriot majority h
ave always argued for as
full-blooded a federation as possible, while the Tu
rkish Cypriots want
relatively loose ties between mainly Greek and mainly Tu
rkish zones.
Until recently, UN-sponsored negotiations have proceeded on the
basis that a
federal Cyprus would be a sovereign state, albeit loosely stru
ctured.
But Mr Mumtaz Soysal, the new Turkish foreign minister who has calle
d for a
tougher stance on Turkish-Greek disputes, caused a sensation in Athe
ns this
week by saying that both parts of Cyprus were and would remain sover
eign
entities.
He said the Cyprus problem was 'half-solved already' and all
that remained
was for the two sides to agree on co-operation in such areas a
s tourism and
the environment.
The Turkish minister's words were denounced b
y the Cyprus government,
although there was quiet satisfaction among hardlin
e Greek politicians, who
have all along doubted the value of reconciliation
talks.
'We are at a worse impasse than before,' said Mr Alecos Michaelides,
foreign
minister in the Greek Cypriot government. 'They (the Turkish Cypriot
s) are
now abandoning the idea of a federation . . . and this makes it diffi
cult
even to start discussions.'
The Greek Cypriots are now expected to inte
nsify pressure on the UN for a
statement that blames Turkish intransigence f
or the lack of progress. They
are also stepping up their campaign for access
ion to the European Union,
something the Turkish side opposes as long as the
re is no settlement.
In a separate Greek-Turkish dispute, Mr Soysal has agai
n warned Athens that
Turkey will go to war if Greece exercises the option of
extending its
territorial waters from six miles to 12 after November 16, wh
en a new
international law on the sea enters force.
Countries:-
CYZ Cyprus, Middle East.
GRZ Greece, EC.
TRZ Turkey, M
iddle East.
Industries:-
P9721 International Affairs.
<
/IN>
Types:-
NEWS General News.
The Financial Tim
es
London Page 2
============= Transaction # 92 ==============================================
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FT944-2053
_AN-ELQAUAAYFT
9412
17
FT 17 DEC 94 / Outdoors: Europe's fishing fleets prep
are for war - Fish supplies are running out, but the authorities seem powerl
ess to act
By MICHAEL WIGAN
The sea
has always been a place of high feelings. It is becoming more so as
fishing
nations worldwide try to extend, or consolidate, their fishing
zones. Nowhe
re are the issues as complex, fraught and politicised as in the
EU waters, u
nder pressure from excess fish-catching capacity, lower stocks,
and the conf
licting ambitions of member states, particularly Spain as well
as non-member
Norway.
Protectionism has never been more old-fashioned than when Spanish t
una
fishermen defending their traditional, long-line fishery in the Bay of
B
iscay brandished axes at the British arrivistes using deadlier modern
drift-
nets.
Britain sent its own fishery protection service which proceeded to boa
rd and
inspect British, not Spanish, vessels.
The tuna furore took place out
side the EU 200-mile fisheries zone, on the
high seas. Here the internationa
l law of the sea holds sway, theoretically
concerned only with piracy, slave
-trading and the movement of illegal
narcotics.
Flag states may board their
own nation's vessels anywhere. But in practice,
within the EU fisheries zone
, each member state's fishery protection force
operates only in national wat
ers. Spanish inspectors could, in theory,
appear off Scottish coasts to moni
tor Spanish fishermen but in practice they
do not. It is believed by other s
tates' fishermen that Spanish inspectors
rarely police Spanish vessel.
Polic
ing EU waters state by state, with fishery protection forces from
different
maritime cultures, with differing motivations and muscle, is a
disaster. Eac
h nation's fishermen accuses its own fishery officers of being
tougher than
in other member states. British fishermen feel they are singled
out by their
own inspectors for specially rigorous treatment, a claim denied
by protecti
on officers themselves. Even so, the simplicity of dealing with
own-nation b
oats, UK registered, with UK addresses, is much more appealing
than dealing
with foreign boats whose crews may not speak any English.
Even in British te
rritorial waters, where England and Wales can call on nine
Royal Navy vessel
s and three aircraft, and Scotland on seven boats and two
aircraft, fishery
protection is only a partial affair. 'We cannot search
every bit of the sea,
but the fishermen know there is a presence out there,'
a ministry spokesman
said. Britain has 33,000 sq miles of water to police,
but whereas the inspe
ctorate has 170 employees, Spain, with the largest EU
fleet, had, until a re
cent increase, only 17 personnel.
Not only are national inspectorates a poor
example of subsidiarity in
action, but the system is riddled with loopholes
. For political reasons a
proposal from the European Commission to land catc
hes in specified local
ports, where they could be more readily inspected, wa
s turned down by the
council of ministers. Catches by EU vessels are routine
ly transferred at sea
into the holds of non-EU boats - thereby evading inspe
ction and recording.
The most obvious example of catches leaving the Europea
n fish-pond without
proper recording is the klondykers. These factory ships
are usually Polish
or Russian owned. They are often in poor physical conditi
on. They lie off
Lerwick, Peterhead, Fraserburgh and Ullapool, lit up at nig
ht like gently
rocking cities, buying herring and mackerel and paying in cas
h.
The Common Fisheries Policy, formed in 1972 just before Britain joined th
e
EC, and which only produced its first conservation measures in 1983, is
ab
used on a giant scale. The 'black fish' catch is thought to have reached
50
per cent of the legitimate one and it has been estimated by a former head
of
EC fisheries conservation that of the 2.5m fishing trips made annually in
E
U waters, about 250,000 involve infringements. These include catching fish
s
urplus to quota, fish for which the boats have no quota, undersized fish
(pi
n hake 'as small as a Biro' were recently landed in northern Spain), or
fish
from waters with exhausted quotas.
Such excesses need some explanation. The
re is one. It is simply that EU
member states have knowingly shrunk from imp
lementing the recommended
conservation measures because of their political i
mplications. There is
still public sympathy for fishermen, seen as hardy and
independent souls
whose efforts play a critical part in the national diet.
Such sympathy may
be misplaced. Scientists say catches that are now dwindlin
g would have been
on the increase had their recommendations been accepted.
O
ne of the most sensitive issues is the concept of a pan-European fishery
ins
pectorate. Nominally this exists in the form of an inspectorate of the
inspe
ctors. This small force evaluates enforcement; it is advisory; it
handles co
mplaints. But it lacks any vessels and its members must travel as
passengers
on national fishery protection boats. These surveillance
programmes are oft
en announced in advance, meaning the inspectorate is
unlikely to be involved
in any bruising scenes.
Today's fishermen feel overwhelmed by a tightening
net of regulations and
restrictions. They are hemmed round by limits on days
at sea, area
restrictions, quotas, and most recently, intentions to limit f
ishing effort.
'All out rebellion is in the air' as a recent Fishing News le
ader put it.
Against this picture of unrest among the last of the hunter-gat
herers, fish
consumption is rocketing, while improved fishing methods are ha
rvesting the
shrinking resource more efficiently. An effective pan-European
fishery
inspectorate may seem inconceivable given the nationalism and widely
differing fishing status and practices of member states. But before fudging
the issues again, politicians should consider how palatable it would be for
the fishing industry in these most fecund waters to wither away as a result
of its own abuses of the environment.
For the sea's boundaries are an abstr
act concept - an abstraction that is
coming to mean much. It stretches the c
oncept of a non-federalist EU to the
limit. For if EU waters are to replace
national ones, as they are
treaty-bound to do, the logical consequence is fo
r EU inspectors to replace
local ones too.
The telephone number for Dourado
Sports Fishing, given at the end of an
article by Tom Fort on fishing in Bra
zil, published on October 29, should
have read: 081-563 1988, fax: 081-563 2
230.
The Financial Times
London Page XI
<
/DOC>
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_AN-ELQAUAAYFT
9412
17
FT 17 DEC 94 / Outdoors: Europe's fishing fleets prep
are for war - Fish supplies are running out, but the authorities seem powerl
ess to act
By MICHAEL WIGAN
The sea
has always been a place of high feelings. It is becoming more so as
fishing
nations worldwide try to extend, or consolidate, their fishing
zones. Nowhe
re are the issues as complex, fraught and politicised as in the
EU waters, u
nder pressure from excess fish-catching capacity, lower stocks,
and the conf
licting ambitions of member states, particularly Spain as well
as non-member
Norway.
Protectionism has never been more old-fashioned than when Spanish t
una
fishermen defending their traditional, long-line fishery in the Bay of
B
iscay brandished axes at the British arrivistes using deadlier modern
drift-
nets.
Britain sent its own fishery protection service which proceeded to boa
rd and
inspect British, not Spanish, vessels.
The tuna furore took place out
side the EU 200-mile fisheries zone, on the
high seas. Here the internationa
l law of the sea holds sway, theoretically
concerned only with piracy, slave
-trading and the movement of illegal
narcotics.
Flag states may board their
own nation's vessels anywhere. But in practice,
within the EU fisheries zone
, each member state's fishery protection force
operates only in national wat
ers. Spanish inspectors could, in theory,
appear off Scottish coasts to moni
tor Spanish fishermen but in practice they
do not. It is believed by other s
tates' fishermen that Spanish inspectors
rarely police Spanish vessel.
Polic
ing EU waters state by state, with fishery protection forces from
different
maritime cultures, with differing motivations and muscle, is a
disaster. Eac
h nation's fishermen accuses its own fishery officers of being
tougher than
in other member states. British fishermen feel they are singled
out by their
own inspectors for specially rigorous treatment, a claim denied
by protecti
on officers themselves. Even so, the simplicity of dealing with
own-nation b
oats, UK registered, with UK addresses, is much more appealing
than dealing
with foreign boats whose crews may not speak any English.
Even in British te
rritorial waters, where England and Wales can call on nine
Royal Navy vessel
s and three aircraft, and Scotland on seven boats and two
aircraft, fishery
protection is only a partial affair. 'We cannot search
every bit of the sea,
but the fishermen know there is a presence out there,'
a ministry spokesman
said. Britain has 33,000 sq miles of water to police,
but whereas the inspe
ctorate has 170 employees, Spain, with the largest EU
fleet, had, until a re
cent increase, only 17 personnel.
Not only are national inspectorates a poor
example of subsidiarity in
action, but the system is riddled with loopholes
. For political reasons a
proposal from the European Commission to land catc
hes in specified local
ports, where they could be more readily inspected, wa
s turned down by the
council of ministers. Catches by EU vessels are routine
ly transferred at sea
into the holds of non-EU boats - thereby evading inspe
ction and recording.
The most obvious example of catches leaving the Europea
n fish-pond without
proper recording is the klondykers. These factory ships
are usually Polish
or Russian owned. They are often in poor physical conditi
on. They lie off
Lerwick, Peterhead, Fraserburgh and Ullapool, lit up at nig
ht like gently
rocking cities, buying herring and mackerel and paying in cas
h.
The Common Fisheries Policy, formed in 1972 just before Britain joined th
e
EC, and which only produced its first conservation measures in 1983, is
ab
used on a giant scale. The 'black fish' catch is thought to have reached
50
per cent of the legitimate one and it has been estimated by a former head
of
EC fisheries conservation that of the 2.5m fishing trips made annually in
E
U waters, about 250,000 involve infringements. These include catching fish
s
urplus to quota, fish for which the boats have no quota, undersized fish
(pi
n hake 'as small as a Biro' were recently landed in northern Spain), or
fish
from waters with exhausted quotas.
Such excesses need some explanation. The
re is one. It is simply that EU
member states have knowingly shrunk from imp
lementing the recommended
conservation measures because of their political i
mplications. There is
still public sympathy for fishermen, seen as hardy and
independent souls
whose efforts play a critical part in the national diet.
Such sympathy may
be misplaced. Scientists say catches that are now dwindlin
g would have been
on the increase had their recommendations been accepted.
O
ne of the most sensitive issues is the concept of a pan-European fishery
ins
pectorate. Nominally this exists in the form of an inspectorate of the
inspe
ctors. This small force evaluates enforcement; it is advisory; it
handles co
mplaints. But it lacks any vessels and its members must travel as
passengers
on national fishery protection boats. These surveillance
programmes are oft
en announced in advance, meaning the inspectorate is
unlikely to be involved
in any bruising scenes.
Today's fishermen feel overwhelmed by a tightening
net of regulations and
restrictions. They are hemmed round by limits on days
at sea, area
restrictions, quotas, and most recently, intentions to limit f
ishing effort.
'All out rebellion is in the air' as a recent Fishing News le
ader put it.
Against this picture of unrest among the last of the hunter-gat
herers, fish
consumption is rocketing, while improved fishing methods are ha
rvesting the
shrinking resource more efficiently. An effective pan-European
fishery
inspectorate may seem inconceivable given the nationalism and widely
differing fishing status and practices of member states. But before fudging
the issues again, politicians should consider how palatable it would be for
the fishing industry in these most fecund waters to wither away as a result
of its own abuses of the environment.
For the sea's boundaries are an abstr
act concept - an abstraction that is
coming to mean much. It stretches the c
oncept of a non-federalist EU to the
limit. For if EU waters are to replace
national ones, as they are
treaty-bound to do, the logical consequence is fo
r EU inspectors to replace
local ones too.
The telephone number for Dourado
Sports Fishing, given at the end of an
article by Tom Fort on fishing in Bra
zil, published on October 29, should
have read: 081-563 1988, fax: 081-563 2
230.
The Financial Times
London Page XI
<
/DOC>
============= Transaction # 94 ==============================================
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============= Transaction # 95 ==============================================
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Subject: s1-t2
----------
1.
DOCUMENT NO.: FT944-9398.
HEADLINE: FT 16 NOV 94 / Law of the Sea promises many disputes .
BYLI
NE: By BRUCE CLARK, Diplomatic Correspondent .
PUBLICATION: The F
inancial Times .
PAGE: London Page 6 .
TEXT:
The United Na
tions Convention on the Law of the Sea, which enters full force
today, seems
likely to be treated by coastal states as a rich source of
legal and rhetor
ical arguments to be used against rivals.
This is in spite of the fact that
the last thing the law's drafters wanted
was to provide disputatious countri
es with extra torpedoes. One of the law's
ostensible purposes is to encourag
e compromises over the exploitation of
maritime resources, even among countr
ies with unresolved disputes.
Apart from a standoff in the Aegean - where Tu
rkey has threatened war if
Greece extends its territorial waters to 12 miles
- one of the most grave
maritime disputes involves China and Vietnam, locke
d in a war of words over
oil rights in the South China Sea.
Both China and V
ietnam claim to be acting in accordance with the Law of the
Sea but their in
terpretations of the document are miles apart.
Over the last month, China ha
s accused Vietnam of infringing its interests
in international waters by inv
iting US and European companies to explore for
oil in the Tonkin Gulf.
Vietn
am has retorted that it is exercising its legitimate rights in the
economic
zone to which it is entitled by the UN convention. It said that
under the te
rms of that treaty, there were no international waters in the
Gulf.
This dia
logue of the deaf reflects confusion over the difference between
territorial
waters - which may be extended, under the UN Law, up to 12 miles
-and the
'economic zone' which coastal states are entitled to claim,
amounting to eit
her 200 miles or the full extent of their continental shelf,
whichever is la
rger.
China and Vietnam are also arguing over resources around the Spratly
I
slands, a group of reefs and atolls whose other would-be owners are Taiwan,
Brunei, Malaysia and the Philippines.
China has awarded an exploration contr
act to the US company Crestone for an
area south-west of the Spratlys, while
Vietnam has awarded a consortium led
by Mobil a bloc slightly further to th
e west. Each state has denounced the
other's contract.
Sovereignty over the
Spratlys - and hence control of the surrounding
economic zone - is crucial t
o each side's claim to energy rights, and the
salience of this issue is expe
cted to grow as the UN convention enters
force.
However a study by a London-
based law firm, maintains that the law favours
pragmatic joint exploitation
accords, even among countries with unresolved
disputes.*
Laying out the comm
on-sense arguments for such accords, it notes that oil
deposits which stradd
le two states' economic zones cannot be exploited by
one without damaging th
e other's interests. When one state drills, oil from
the rival state's zone
is liable to flow across the boundary line as a
result.
Article 83 of the UN
convention says that pending final agreement on zones,
countries should 'ma
ke every effort to enter into provisional arrangements
of a practical nature
'.
As an example of such a deal, the study cites the 1989 accord between
Aus
tralia and Indonesia over waters south of Timor.
However, such accords are n
ot a panacea. Portugal - still seen by the UN as
legal administrator of East
Timor - has challenged Australia's right to
enter the accord, before the In
ternational Court of Justice.
The entry into force of the UN Law comes a yea
r after its ratification by
the minimum of 60 states. Another breakthrough c
ame this summer when
provisions on deep-sea mining - outside the zones of an
y country - were
amended so as to convince the US, the UK and Germany to sig
n.
*Paper by Charles Robson of Lovell White Durrant, 65 Holborn Viaduct, Lon
don
EC1A 2DY
.
2.
DOCUMENT NO.: FT944-9095.
HEADLINE: FT 17 NOV 94
/ Australia extends offshore zone .
BYLINE: By NIKKI TAIT .
DATELI
NE: SYDNEY .
PUBLICATION: The Financial Times .
PAGE: Lond
on Page 7 .
TEXT:
Australia doubled in size yesterday, as it formal
ly claimed massive new
offshore territory under an international 'law of the
sea' convention. The
1982 United Nations Convention of the Law of the Sea,
which was finally
ratified this year, aims to divide about 35 per cent of th
e world's oceans
among over 100 countries. In Australia's case it means that
the country can
claim an exclusive economic zone extending 200 nautical mil
es from its
baselines, instead of the traditional 12 miles.
Because of the n
ation's extensive coastline it is now claiming around 5.7m
sq miles of ocean
water, of which 4.2m sq miles derives from the new
extended nautical limits
. As a result, Australia can boast one of the
largest 'exclusive economic zo
nes' in the world.
While much of the additional territory is undisputed, the
re is disagreement
with Indonesia over territory around Christmas Island and
off the north
coast of Australia, including the resource-rich Timor Gap.
.
3.
DOCUMENT NO.: FT921-10970.
HEADLINE: FT 04 FEB 92 / Egypt and Su
dan in oil dispute .
BYLINE: By TONY WALKER and SHAHIRA IDRIS .
DA
TELINE: CAIRO .
PUBLICATION: The Financial Times .
PAGE: L
ondon Page 4 Map (Omitted). .
TEXT:
EGYPT AND Sudan have become emb
roiled in a border dispute over oil
exploration in the Red Sea, and the argu
ment seems likely to complicate
already tense relations between Cairo and Kh
artoum.
Egypt has advised all international oil companies that Sudan has no
authority to sign exploration agreements for acreage north of their
'politic
al' boundary delineated by latitude 22 degrees north under an 1899
treaty.
E
gypt was reacting to an agreement signed last month between Sudan and the
Ca
nadian-registered International Petroleum Corporation for seismic work in
wa
ters north of 22 degrees in an area Egypt claims as sovereign territory.
Sud
an, however, believes an 'administrative' boundary, agreed in 1902, which
ru
ns north of the political boundary, entitles it to allow exploration north
o
f 22 degrees.
The dispute could hardly come at a more awkward moment, with r
elations
between moderate rulers in Cairo and the Islamicist-dominated milit
ary
regime in Sudan under severe strain. It also coincides with reports of
r
ecent troubles between Egyptian and Sudanese patrols in the triangle formed
by the 'political' and 'administrative' boundaries.
The 'political' boundary
came into effect with the Anglo-Egyptian
condominium agreement of 1899. It
was followed three years later by an
amendment that gave Sudan administrativ
e responsibility for tribes north of
1899 boundary in the east.
Egypt was gi
ven responsibility for a small section south of the line about
half-way betw
een the Red Sea coast and the Nile.
It is unclear whether the 'political' or
'administrative' boundaries have
international boundary status. This issue
may in the end require
international jurisdiction.
In the meantime Egypt, wh
ich is keen to promote offshore exploration in the
Red Sea, is offering a la
rge block which runs south to its 'political'
boundary with Sudan, and in fa
ct includes acreage targeted for exploration
by International Petroleum.
In
Geneva, International Petroleum said it was planning to go ahead with its
se
ismic survey in its 10,000 square kilometre Halaib block. A spokesman said
t
hat until the Egyptians had complained he had not been aware that the area
w
as in dispute.
Egypt, through its embassy in Ottawa, informed the Canadian g
overnment, and
through it International Petroleum, that it regarded explorat
ion in waters
off the area under dispute latitude as 'illegal.'
In Cairo, a
spokesman for the Canadian embassy said the issue was under
discussion with
both Egypt and Sudan. He said the Sudanese were insisting
they had a right t
o enter into exploration a greements for areas in their
'administrative' zon
e.
.
4.
DOCUMENT NO.: FT944-8867.
HEADLINE: FT 17 NOV 94 / US cruis
er tracks Greek and Turkish contingents: Marine rights row leads to fear of
war between Nato neighbours .
BYLINE: By KERIN HOPE and JOHN BARHA
M .
DATELINE: ATHENS, ANKARA .
PUBLICATION: The Financial Times .
P
AGE: International Page 22 .
TEXT:
A US Navy cruiser was y
esterday monitoring Greek and Turkish naval
activities in the Aegean, where
fears of war have been triggered by the
start of a new international law.
Th
e United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea has been hailed in
Athens
as a vindication of its long-standing argument that it has the right
to exte
nd its territorial waters from 6 miles to 12.
Turkey has said that any such
move by Athens would turn the Aegean into a
'Greek lake' and would be resist
ed by force. Greece says it has no plans to
extend its territorial waters, b
ut it will not renounce the right to do so.
An opinion poll published this w
eek showed that 79 per cent of Turks would
support war if Greece declared a
12-mile limit.
The quarrel dates from an offshore oil strike west of the Gre
ek island of
Thasos more than 20 years ago. The Athens government rejects Tu
rkish
proposals for joint oil exploration in the Aegean.
The Cape St George,
a US cruiser equipped with the latest electronic
surveillance devices, was
yesterday tracking Turkish warships and Greek
aircraft across the Aegean.
Pr
esident Bill Clinton has written to the leaders of both countries urging
the
m to show restraint and avoid the risk of clashes.
Mr Mumtaz Soysal, the Tur
kish foreign minister, said Ankara has assured Mr
Clinton that it had taken
all possible measures to avoid a clash. Mr Soysal
met Mr Karolos Papoulis, h
is Greek counterpart, in The Hague this week, but
there was little sign of a
change in positions.
Turkey wants across-the-board negotiations on all the
issues which it says
are in dispute. Greece says the only issue that needs d
iscussing is that of
seabed mineral rights, which it wants settled by intern
ational arbitration.
Relations between Athens and Ankara have also been wors
ened by the war in
former Yugoslavia, where Turkey supports the Bosnian Mosl
ems while Greece
has traditional links with the Serbs.
Turkey was the only E
uropean member of Nato to support the US withdrawal
from the arms embargo ag
ainst Bosnia. Recently, Turkey gave a new thrust to
the old antagonisms by a
ccusing Greece of harbouring guerrillas from the
separatist Kurdistan Worker
s party (PKK) fighting in eastern Turkey.
The US Navy, in this year's annual
intelligence report, described the
Greek-Turkish standoff as one of the 'mo
st worrisome situations developing
in Europe and the most dangerous to Nato
as an institution'.
The report says tension in the Aegean has also been stok
ed by supplies to
both countries of new and secondhand ships from other Nato
countries.
Diplomats said they were alarmed that a hot-line between the two
countries,
set up after they came close to war in 1987, had ceased to funct
ion.
Turkey is conducting its manoeuvres this week in international waters i
n the
northern Aegean. About 100 miles to the south, the Greek navy is in ch
arge
of a Nato exercise held every year involving ships and aircraft from th
e US,
France, Italy, Spain and the UK.
.
5.
DOCUMENT NO.: FT944-7864.
HEA
DLINE: FT 23 NOV 94 / Beijing and Hanoi aim to settle differences over
Spratlys .
BYLINE: By VICTOR MALLET .
DATELINE: BANGKOK .
PUBLICATION: The Financial Times .
PAGE: London Page 8 .
TEXT:
China and Vietnam agreed yesterday to work peacefully to resolve thei
r
disputes over territorial and maritime boundaries, and are to set up a gro
up
of experts to discuss their rival claims to the Spratly atolls and the
wa
ters of the South China Sea.
A joint communique released at the end of a thr
ee-day visit to Vietnam by
China's President Jiang Zemin said the two govern
ments agreed to 'refrain
from all acts that make things more complicated or
broaden conflicts'.
The dispute over the South China Sea is especially sensi
tive, because each
country is seeking to exploit oil and gas reserves believ
ed to lie under the
sea bed. Both countries have awarded oil exploration con
tracts to US oil
companies in disputed waters.
Mr Qian Qichen, Chinese forei
gn minister, said in the Vietnamese capital
Hanoi the two sides could shelve
disputes and start 'joint development' if
problems could not be resolved in
talks immediately.
Joint development of possible oil and gas fields in disp
uted maritime areas
is a proven method of overcoming conflicts between two c
ountries, but might
not succeed in all areas of the sea because there are fo
ur other claimants
to some or all of the islands: Taiwan, Malaysia, the Phil
ippines and Brunei.
Relations between Hanoi and Beijing have improved in the
past few years. But
Vietnamese officials say China has recently encroached
on their territory
near the border, refused to open a railway link to allow
normal trade across
the land frontier, and let Chinese traders smuggle cheap
Chinese goods into
Vietnam.
Mr Jiang's visit, the first by a Chinese presid
ent, may not have brought
much in the way of concrete achievements, but sugg
ests the two governments
want to set aside their differences and concentrate
on the similar
challenges each faces: keeping their one-party communist pol
itical systems
intact while liberalising the economy.
.
6.
DOCUMENT NO.:
FT944-11862.
HEADLINE: FT 04 NOV 94 / Cypriots join in the Aegean war
of words .
BYLINE: By BRUCE CLARK, Diplomatic Correspondent .
PUBL
ICATION: The Financial Times .
PAGE: London Page 2 .
TEXT:
The gap between Greek-Cypriot and Turkish-Cypriot positions over the
islan
d's future is widening ominously, at a time when Athens and Ankara are
alrea
dy squaring off over territorial rights in the Aegean.
Greek-Cypriot officia
ls have in the last few days accused both the Turkish
Cypriots and Ankara of
renouncing the 1977 and 1979 agreements - calling for
the island to be reun
ited as a bi-zonal federation - which have served as
the basis for all subse
quent negotiations.
Leaders of the island's Greek Cypriot majority have alwa
ys argued for as
full-blooded a federation as possible, while the Turkish Cy
priots want
relatively loose ties between mainly Greek and mainly Turkish zo
nes.
Until recently, UN-sponsored negotiations have proceeded on the basis t
hat a
federal Cyprus would be a sovereign state, albeit loosely structured.
But Mr Mumtaz Soysal, the new Turkish foreign minister who has called for a
tougher stance on Turkish-Greek disputes, caused a sensation in Athens this
week by saying that both parts of Cyprus were and would remain sovereign
ent
ities.
He said the Cyprus problem was 'half-solved already' and all that rem
ained
was for the two sides to agree on co-operation in such areas as touris
m and
the environment.
The Turkish minister's words were denounced by the Cy
prus government,
although there was quiet satisfaction among hardline Greek
politicians, who
have all along doubted the value of reconciliation talks.
'
We are at a worse impasse than before,' said Mr Alecos Michaelides, foreign
minister in the Greek Cypriot government. 'They (the Turkish Cypriots) are
n
ow abandoning the idea of a federation . . . and this makes it difficult
eve
n to start discussions.'
The Greek Cypriots are now expected to intensify pr
essure on the UN for a
statement that blames Turkish intransigence for the l
ack of progress. They
are also stepping up their campaign for accession to t
he European Union,
something the Turkish side opposes as long as there is no
settlement.
In a separate Greek-Turkish dispute, Mr Soysal has again warned
Athens that
Turkey will go to war if Greece exercises the option of extendi
ng its
territorial waters from six miles to 12 after November 16, when a new
international law on the sea enters force.
.
7.
DOCUMENT NO.: FT944-2053
.
HEADLINE: FT 17 DEC 94 / Outdoors: Europe's fishing fleets prepare f
or war - Fish supplies are running out, but the authorities seem powerless t
o act .
BYLINE: By MICHAEL WIGAN .
PUBLICATION: The Financial Tim
es .
PAGE: London Page XI .
TEXT:
The sea has always been
a place of high feelings. It is becoming more so as
fishing nations worldwid
e try to extend, or consolidate, their fishing
zones. Nowhere are the issues
as complex, fraught and politicised as in the
EU waters, under pressure fro
m excess fish-catching capacity, lower stocks,
and the conflicting ambitions
of member states, particularly Spain as well
as non-member Norway.
Protecti
onism has never been more old-fashioned than when Spanish tuna
fishermen def
ending their traditional, long-line fishery in the Bay of
Biscay brandished
axes at the British arrivistes using deadlier modern
drift-nets.
Britain sen
t its own fishery protection service which proceeded to board and
inspect Br
itish, not Spanish, vessels.
The tuna furore took place outside the EU 200-m
ile fisheries zone, on the
high seas. Here the international law of the sea
holds sway, theoretically
concerned only with piracy, slave-trading and the
movement of illegal
narcotics.
Flag states may board their own nation's vess
els anywhere. But in practice,
within the EU fisheries zone, each member sta
te's fishery protection force
operates only in national waters. Spanish insp
ectors could, in theory,
appear off Scottish coasts to monitor Spanish fishe
rmen but in practice they
do not. It is believed by other states' fishermen
that Spanish inspectors
rarely police Spanish vessel.
Policing EU waters sta
te by state, with fishery protection forces from
different maritime cultures
, with differing motivations and muscle, is a
disaster. Each nation's fisher
men accuses its own fishery officers of being
tougher than in other member s
tates. British fishermen feel they are singled
out by their own inspectors f
or specially rigorous treatment, a claim denied
by protection officers thems
elves. Even so, the simplicity of dealing with
own-nation boats, UK register
ed, with UK addresses, is much more appealing
than dealing with foreign boat
s whose crews may not speak any English.
Even in British territorial waters,
where England and Wales can call on nine
Royal Navy vessels and three aircr
aft, and Scotland on seven boats and two
aircraft, fishery protection is onl
y a partial affair. 'We cannot search
every bit of the sea, but the fisherme
n know there is a presence out there,'
a ministry spokesman said. Britain ha
s 33,000 sq miles of water to police,
but whereas the inspectorate has 170 e
mployees, Spain, with the largest EU
fleet, had, until a recent increase, on
ly 17 personnel.
Not only are national inspectorates a poor example of subsi
diarity in
action, but the system is riddled with loopholes. For political r
easons a
proposal from the European Commission to land catches in specified
local
ports, where they could be more readily inspected, was turned down by
the
council of ministers. Catches by EU vessels are routinely transferred at
sea
into the holds of non-EU boats - thereby evading inspection and recordi
ng.
The most obvious example of catches leaving the European fish-pond witho
ut
proper recording is the klondykers. These factory ships are usually Polis
h
or Russian owned. They are often in poor physical condition. They lie off
Lerwick, Peterhead, Fraserburgh and Ullapool, lit up at night like gently
ro
cking cities, buying herring and mackerel and paying in cash.
The Common Fis
heries Policy, formed in 1972 just before Britain joined the
EC, and which o
nly produced its first conservation measures in 1983, is
abused on a giant s
cale. The 'black fish' catch is thought to have reached
50 per cent of the l
egitimate one and it has been estimated by a former head
of EC fisheries con
servation that of the 2.5m fishing trips made annually in
EU waters, about 2
50,000 involve infringements. These include catching fish
surplus to quota,
fish for which the boats have no quota, undersized fish
(pin hake 'as small
as a Biro' were recently landed in northern Spain), or
fish from waters with
exhausted quotas.
Such excesses need some explanation. There is one. It is
simply that EU
member states have knowingly shrunk from implementing the rec
ommended
conservation measures because of their political implications. Ther
e is
still public sympathy for fishermen, seen as hardy and independent soul
s
whose efforts play a critical part in the national diet. Such sympathy may
be misplaced. Scientists say catches that are now dwindling would have been
on the increase had their recommendations been accepted.
One of the most se
nsitive issues is the concept of a pan-European fishery
inspectorate. Nomina
lly this exists in the form of an inspectorate of the
inspectors. This small
force evaluates enforcement; it is advisory; it
handles complaints. But it
lacks any vessels and its members must travel as
passengers on national fish
ery protection boats. These surveillance
programmes are often announced in a
dvance, meaning the inspectorate is
unlikely to be involved in any bruising
scenes.
Today's fishermen feel overwhelmed by a tightening net of regulation
s and
restrictions. They are hemmed round by limits on days at sea, area
res
trictions, quotas, and most recently, intentions to limit fishing effort.
'A
ll out rebellion is in the air' as a recent Fishing News leader put it.
Agai
nst this picture of unrest among the last of the hunter-gatherers, fish
cons
umption is rocketing, while improved fishing methods are harvesting the
shri
nking resource more efficiently. An effective pan-European fishery
inspector
ate may seem inconceivable given the nationalism and widely
differing fishin
g status and practices of member states. But before fudging
the issues again
, politicians should consider how palatable it would be for
the fishing indu
stry in these most fecund waters to wither away as a result
of its own abuse
s of the environment.
For the sea's boundaries are an abstract concept - an
abstraction that is
coming to mean much. It stretches the concept of a non-f
ederalist EU to the
limit. For if EU waters are to replace national ones, as
they are
treaty-bound to do, the logical consequence is for EU inspectors t
o replace
local ones too.
The telephone number for Dourado Sports Fishing, g
iven at the end of an
article by Tom Fort on fishing in Brazil, published on
October 29, should
have read: 081-563 1988, fax: 081-563 2230.
.
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_AN-CBFBEAFAFT
920
206
FT 06 FEB 92 / Arts: Caesar and Cleopatra - Greenwic
h Theatre
By CLAIRE ARMITSTEAD
Geor
ge Bernard Shaw wrote Caesar and Cleopatra for the actor Johnston
Forbes-Rob
ertson in 1898, aiming to illustrate through the character of
Caesar his vie
ws about the common humanity of even the most exalted heroes,
while chronicl
ing a corner of Roman history that languishes in the shadow of
Shakespeare's
Antony and Cleopatra.
His Caesar, finely realised by Alec McCowen, is a wry
, kindly philistine, by
his own admission 'part brute, part woman and part g
od', whose laurels
conceal a balding head, and whose good nature hides a cun
ning - and finally
ruthless - political brain. We see him first apostrophisi
ng beside the
monumental claw of a black marble sphinx, enchanted by the fri
ghtened young
queen who finds him there. Having convinced her that Romans do
not in fact
eat Egyptians, he proceeds to amuse himself by making an empres
s of her.
With feet dangling six inches off the ground, Amanda Root's minxis
h
Cleopatra settles into her throne, tearing into her domineering governess
(a
sinister Sheila Ballantine), squabbling with her brother, while creating
merry mayhem with the protocol of both Roman and Egyptian courts.
Matthew Fr
ancis's production gleefully captures the mischief of these early
scenes. Th
e design (Julian McGowan), of ornate statuary dotted around marble
halls, is
subverted by the frock-coats and laurels of the Romans. Britannus,
Shaw's s
end-up of the British character, is played by Michael Cronin with
bowler hat
and poker face, making the maximum comic mileage out of the
undignified div
e into the waters of the Nile of the entire Roman court,
carrying a protesti
ng Egyptian queen who, minutes earlier, had smuggled
herself over to Alexand
ria in a carpet.
The fun and games of the first three acts are abruptly halt
ed in a second
half which changes gear into an essay on political methods. C
leopatra,
cleverly transformed by Root into a rather charmless sophisticate,
is now
dangerously confident; Caesar, still making a show of being the geni
al Dutch
uncle, is put on his mettle by the murder of the scheming Egyptian
Pothinus,
and the resulting uprising by his followers.
In a superbly enginee
red scene of confrontation between morals and
expediency, the ruthlessness i
s revealed of a colonialist whose 'hands-off'
liberalism is merely a strateg
y for allowing his minions to sort themselves
out.
Having failed to prevent
Cleopatra's henchwoman Ftatateeta from killing
Pothinus, Caesar lets Rufius
- the new governor of Egypt - murder her,
before turning his back on the lot
of them in a devastating display of
political indifference.
Feigning the fo
rgetfulness of an old man, he slights Cleopatra by neglecting
to take proper
leave of her; the unspoken insult is left frozen in the air
between them. J
udicious cutting and exemplary central performances have
excavated a chillin
g political parable from a rambling Shavian chronicle
about a king and a kit
ten.
The Financial Times
London Page 19 Photograp
h Alec McCowen and Amanda Root (Omitted).
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920
206
FT 06 FEB 92 / Arts: Caesar and Cleopatra - Greenwic
h Theatre
By CLAIRE ARMITSTEAD
Geor
ge Bernard Shaw wrote Caesar and Cleopatra for the actor Johnston
Forbes-Rob
ertson in 1898, aiming to illustrate through the character of
Caesar his vie
ws about the common humanity of even the most exalted heroes,
while chronicl
ing a corner of Roman history that languishes in the shadow of
Shakespeare's
Antony and Cleopatra.
His Caesar, finely realised by Alec McCowen, is a wry
, kindly philistine, by
his own admission 'part brute, part woman and part g
od', whose laurels
conceal a balding head, and whose good nature hides a cun
ning - and finally
ruthless - political brain. We see him first apostrophisi
ng beside the
monumental claw of a black marble sphinx, enchanted by the fri
ghtened young
queen who finds him there. Having convinced her that Romans do
not in fact
eat Egyptians, he proceeds to amuse himself by making an empres
s of her.
With feet dangling six inches off the ground, Amanda Root's minxis
h
Cleopatra settles into her throne, tearing into her domineering governess
(a
sinister Sheila Ballantine), squabbling with her brother, while creating
merry mayhem with the protocol of both Roman and Egyptian courts.
Matthew Fr
ancis's production gleefully captures the mischief of these early
scenes. Th
e design (Julian McGowan), of ornate statuary dotted around marble
halls, is
subverted by the frock-coats and laurels of the Romans. Britannus,
Shaw's s
end-up of the British character, is played by Michael Cronin with
bowler hat
and poker face, making the maximum comic mileage out of the
undignified div
e into the waters of the Nile of the entire Roman court,
carrying a protesti
ng Egyptian queen who, minutes earlier, had smuggled
herself over to Alexand
ria in a carpet.
The fun and games of the first three acts are abruptly halt
ed in a second
half which changes gear into an essay on political methods. C
leopatra,
cleverly transformed by Root into a rather charmless sophisticate,
is now
dangerously confident; Caesar, still making a show of being the geni
al Dutch
uncle, is put on his mettle by the murder of the scheming Egyptian
Pothinus,
and the resulting uprising by his followers.
In a superbly enginee
red scene of confrontation between morals and
expediency, the ruthlessness i
s revealed of a colonialist whose 'hands-off'
liberalism is merely a strateg
y for allowing his minions to sort themselves
out.
Having failed to prevent
Cleopatra's henchwoman Ftatateeta from killing
Pothinus, Caesar lets Rufius
- the new governor of Egypt - murder her,
before turning his back on the lot
of them in a devastating display of
political indifference.
Feigning the fo
rgetfulness of an old man, he slights Cleopatra by neglecting
to take proper
leave of her; the unspoken insult is left frozen in the air
between them. J
udicious cutting and exemplary central performances have
excavated a chillin
g political parable from a rambling Shavian chronicle
about a king and a kit
ten.
The Financial Times
London Page 19 Photograp
h Alec McCowen and Amanda Root (Omitted).
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930
728
FT 28 JUL 93 / US tightens immigration curbs
By GEORGE GRAHAM
PRESIDENT Bill Clinton ye
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immigration controls and clamp do
wn on smuggling rings that bring foreigners
into the country illegally.
He a
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agents a
nd boost efforts to stop immigrant-smugglers and intercept smuggling
ships a
t sea.
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nces. In recent months, there have been a series of
attempts to land illegal
immigrants by ship.
The measures have also been prompted by doubts about th
e effectiveness of US
consular officials in screening visa applicants for te
rrorist links.
There is the recent case of Sheikh Omar Abdel Rahman, a milit
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preacher, several of whose followers have been arrested in connec
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e can continue to say yes to legal
immigration,' he said.
Count
ries:-
USZ United States of America.
Industries:-
P9721 International Affairs.
Types:-
NEWS Genera
l News.
The Financial Times
London Page 4
<
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FT 28 JUL 93 / US tightens immigration curbs
By GEORGE GRAHAM
PRESIDENT Bill Clinton ye
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immigration controls and clamp do
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He a
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nd boost efforts to stop immigrant-smugglers and intercept smuggling
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<
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FT 04 JUN 93 / China to act on illegal emigrants
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FT 04 JUN 93 / China to act on illegal emigrants
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FT 19 JUN 93 / Alien crackdown
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President Bill Clinton yesterday named Doris Me
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FT 17 FEB 93 / Immigrants crackdown agreed
By NICHOLAS DENTON
BUDAPEST
INTERIOR ministers from 35 European countries yesterday agreed to c
rack down
on the wave of illegal immigration from east to west which is fuel
ling
anti-foreigner violence in Germany and elsewhere.
The ministers said or
ganised smuggling of illegal immigrants would be made a
criminal offence acr
oss Europe. They also agreed that airlines, as well as
land and sea carriers
, should be liable to fines under new rules on the
movement of illegal alien
s.
The conference of ministers from east and western Europe follows pressure
for co-ordinated efforts to reduce an increasing flow of illegal immigratio
n
that ministers say has fuelled xenophobia and been exploited by organised
crime.
The ministers agreed to set up special police units and mobile survei
llance
forces to a standard model. The governments also agreed to exchange
i
nformation and adopt a common code on border checks.
But ministers from seve
ral countries including Britain, balked at the German
demand for a common co
de on repatriation and on sharing the financial
burdens of combating illegal
immigration.
The outcome of the meeting yesterday displayed the limits of p
an-European
co-operation on paying for immigration. Interests diverge: Germa
ny, Austria,
Switzerland and Sweden have borne the brunt of the influx from
eastern
Europe and are pushing for action, while their neighbours to the wes
t are
more concerned about migrants from other continents.
Germany sought ye
sterday to allay the fears of Poland and the Czech Republic
that they would
become part of a 'refugee zone' if Germany turned back more
asylum seekers.
Last week, Bonn offered Warsaw DM55m (Pounds 23m) to finance
refugee camps.
Attention will now turn to sub-regional initiatives, particularly bilateral
talks with neighbouring Poland and the Czech Republic.
Mr Rudolf Seiters, Ge
rman interior minister, yesterday gave early March as
the date for the next
round of talks with Poland on financial aid in
exchange for providing transi
t for rejected asylum-seekers before
repatriation. He also announced talks s
oon in Prague on a multilateral
approach to expelling illegal immigrants.
Ed
itorial Comment, Page 17
Countries:-
XGZ Europe.
Industries:-
P9721 International Affairs.
Types
:-
GOVT Government News.
The Financial Times
London Page 2
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FT 17 FEB 93 / Immigrants crackdown agreed
By NICHOLAS DENTON
BUDAPEST
INTERIOR ministers from 35 European countries yesterday agreed to c
rack down
on the wave of illegal immigration from east to west which is fuel
ling
anti-foreigner violence in Germany and elsewhere.
The ministers said or
ganised smuggling of illegal immigrants would be made a
criminal offence acr
oss Europe. They also agreed that airlines, as well as
land and sea carriers
, should be liable to fines under new rules on the
movement of illegal alien
s.
The conference of ministers from east and western Europe follows pressure
for co-ordinated efforts to reduce an increasing flow of illegal immigratio
n
that ministers say has fuelled xenophobia and been exploited by organised
crime.
The ministers agreed to set up special police units and mobile survei
llance
forces to a standard model. The governments also agreed to exchange
i
nformation and adopt a common code on border checks.
But ministers from seve
ral countries including Britain, balked at the German
demand for a common co
de on repatriation and on sharing the financial
burdens of combating illegal
immigration.
The outcome of the meeting yesterday displayed the limits of p
an-European
co-operation on paying for immigration. Interests diverge: Germa
ny, Austria,
Switzerland and Sweden have borne the brunt of the influx from
eastern
Europe and are pushing for action, while their neighbours to the wes
t are
more concerned about migrants from other continents.
Germany sought ye
sterday to allay the fears of Poland and the Czech Republic
that they would
become part of a 'refugee zone' if Germany turned back more
asylum seekers.
Last week, Bonn offered Warsaw DM55m (Pounds 23m) to finance
refugee camps.
Attention will now turn to sub-regional initiatives, particularly bilateral
talks with neighbouring Poland and the Czech Republic.
Mr Rudolf Seiters, Ge
rman interior minister, yesterday gave early March as
the date for the next
round of talks with Poland on financial aid in
exchange for providing transi
t for rejected asylum-seekers before
repatriation. He also announced talks s
oon in Prague on a multilateral
approach to expelling illegal immigrants.
Ed
itorial Comment, Page 17
Countries:-
XGZ Europe.
Industries:-
P9721 International Affairs.
Types
:-
GOVT Government News.
The Financial Times
London Page 2
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FT 16 FEB 93 / Germans call for aid in curbing illega
l migrants
By NICHOLAS DENTON
BUDAPEST
INTERIOR ministers from east and west Europe g
athering in Budapest yesterday
for a conference on migration were immediatel
y pressed by Germany to help
curb the influx of illegal immigrants.
Germany
is urging east European countries to take back nationals resident
elsewhere
without permission, and speed migrants' return to their country of
origin. A
lso high on the agenda is a proposal to co-ordinate action on
international
'human smuggling' groups.
The Germans want 'non-front-line' western countrie
s to share the burden of
financial aid towards strengthening eastern Europe'
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The conference coincides with German efforts to tigh
ten the country's
liberal asylum rules.
Germany's proposed constitutional am
endment would allow authorities to turn
back claimants for refugee status if
they arrive from 'safe' neighbouring
east European countries. Poland and th
e Czech Republic are determined not to
become a cordon sanitaire for seekers
of asylum in Germany.
Bonn's efforts have an added urgency because of conti
nuing racist attacks
against foreigners. But EC countries less affected by i
mmigration from
eastern Europe are grudging in their solidarity. UK official
s said yesterday
that, while backing recommendations on exchange of informat
ion, they did not
wish to see new measures, describing as unrealistic ideas
about financial
aid.
Countries:-
XJZ West Europe.
XLZ East Europe.
Industries:-
P9721 International Af
fairs.
Types:-
GOVT Government News.
The Fi
nancial Times
London Page 3
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BUDAPEST
INTERIOR ministers from east and west Europe g
athering in Budapest yesterday
for a conference on migration were immediatel
y pressed by Germany to help
curb the influx of illegal immigrants.
Germany
is urging east European countries to take back nationals resident
elsewhere
without permission, and speed migrants' return to their country of
origin. A
lso high on the agenda is a proposal to co-ordinate action on
international
'human smuggling' groups.
The Germans want 'non-front-line' western countrie
s to share the burden of
financial aid towards strengthening eastern Europe'
s immigration controls.
The conference coincides with German efforts to tigh
ten the country's
liberal asylum rules.
Germany's proposed constitutional am
endment would allow authorities to turn
back claimants for refugee status if
they arrive from 'safe' neighbouring
east European countries. Poland and th
e Czech Republic are determined not to
become a cordon sanitaire for seekers
of asylum in Germany.
Bonn's efforts have an added urgency because of conti
nuing racist attacks
against foreigners. But EC countries less affected by i
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eastern Europe are grudging in their solidarity. UK official
s said yesterday
that, while backing recommendations on exchange of informat
ion, they did not
wish to see new measures, describing as unrealistic ideas
about financial
aid.
Countries:-
XJZ West Europe.
XLZ East Europe.
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P9721 International Af
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nancial Times
London Page 3
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FT 14 SEP 94 / 'Prostitute smugglers' arrested
By ROBERT GRAHAM
ROME
Italian police yesterday said they had broken up a criminal organisat
ion
based in Bari capable of smuggling up to 5,000 illegal immigrants a mont
h
into the country via the coastline of the Puglia region, on the Adriatic
c
oast. This is the largest immigration ring uncovered and highlights the
invo
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y, they were accused of organising prostitution and providing false
document
ation.
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t of
prostitutes. Prostitution has been one of the main activities unaffecte
d by
the two-year-long recession. But with the economy beginning to recover,
the
authorities are also anxious to cut-off a new flow of hopeful job seeke
rs.
The main problem is Albania. During the summer more than 200 Albanians a
week are believed to have entered the country illegally via the Puglian
coa
st.
Countries:-
ITZ Italy, EC.
Industries
:-
P9221 Police Protection.
Types:-
NEWS Gen
eral News.
The Financial Times
London Page 2
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FT 14 SEP 94 / 'Prostitute smugglers' arrested
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ROME
Italian police yesterday said they had broken up a criminal organisat
ion
based in Bari capable of smuggling up to 5,000 illegal immigrants a mont
h
into the country via the coastline of the Puglia region, on the Adriatic
c
oast. This is the largest immigration ring uncovered and highlights the
invo
lvement of organised crime in this increasingly profitable business.
More th
an 20 people were arrested, including Italian nationals, Slavs and
North Afr
icans. In addition to being charged with bringing people illegally
into Ital
y, they were accused of organising prostitution and providing false
document
ation.
The Italian authorities are showing increasing concern over the impor
t of
prostitutes. Prostitution has been one of the main activities unaffecte
d by
the two-year-long recession. But with the economy beginning to recover,
the
authorities are also anxious to cut-off a new flow of hopeful job seeke
rs.
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week are believed to have entered the country illegally via the Puglian
coa
st.
Countries:-
ITZ Italy, EC.
Industries
:-
P9221 Police Protection.
Types:-
NEWS Gen
eral News.
The Financial Times
London Page 2
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Subject: s1-t3
----------
1.
DOCUMENT NO.: FT921-10331
.
HEADLINE: FT 06 FEB 92 / Arts: Caesar and Cleopatra - Greenwich Thea
tre .
BYLINE: By CLAIRE ARMITSTEAD .
PUBLICATION: The Financial T
imes .
PAGE: London Page 19 Photograph Alec McCowen and Amanda Root
(Omitted). .
TEXT:
George Bernard Shaw wrote Caesar and Cleopatra
for the actor Johnston
Forbes-Robertson in 1898, aiming to illustrate throug
h the character of
Caesar his views about the common humanity of even the mo
st exalted heroes,
while chronicling a corner of Roman history that languish
es in the shadow of
Shakespeare's Antony and Cleopatra.
His Caesar, finely r
ealised by Alec McCowen, is a wry, kindly philistine, by
his own admission '
part brute, part woman and part god', whose laurels
conceal a balding head,
and whose good nature hides a cunning - and finally
ruthless - political bra
in. We see him first apostrophising beside the
monumental claw of a black ma
rble sphinx, enchanted by the frightened young
queen who finds him there. Ha
ving convinced her that Romans do not in fact
eat Egyptians, he proceeds to
amuse himself by making an empress of her.
With feet dangling six inches off
the ground, Amanda Root's minxish
Cleopatra settles into her throne, tearin
g into her domineering governess (a
sinister Sheila Ballantine), squabbling
with her brother, while creating
merry mayhem with the protocol of both Roma
n and Egyptian courts.
Matthew Francis's production gleefully captures the m
ischief of these early
scenes. The design (Julian McGowan), of ornate statua
ry dotted around marble
halls, is subverted by the frock-coats and laurels o
f the Romans. Britannus,
Shaw's send-up of the British character, is played
by Michael Cronin with
bowler hat and poker face, making the maximum comic m
ileage out of the
undignified dive into the waters of the Nile of the entire
Roman court,
carrying a protesting Egyptian queen who, minutes earlier, had
smuggled
herself over to Alexandria in a carpet.
The fun and games of the f
irst three acts are abruptly halted in a second
half which changes gear into
an essay on political methods. Cleopatra,
cleverly transformed by Root into
a rather charmless sophisticate, is now
dangerously confident; Caesar, stil
l making a show of being the genial Dutch
uncle, is put on his mettle by the
murder of the scheming Egyptian Pothinus,
and the resulting uprising by his
followers.
In a superbly engineered scene of confrontation between morals a
nd
expediency, the ruthlessness is revealed of a colonialist whose 'hands-of
f'
liberalism is merely a strategy for allowing his minions to sort themselv
es
out.
Having failed to prevent Cleopatra's henchwoman Ftatateeta from kill
ing
Pothinus, Caesar lets Rufius - the new governor of Egypt - murder her,
b
efore turning his back on the lot of them in a devastating display of
politi
cal indifference.
Feigning the forgetfulness of an old man, he slights Cleop
atra by neglecting
to take proper leave of her; the unspoken insult is left
frozen in the air
between them. Judicious cutting and exemplary central perf
ormances have
excavated a chilling political parable from a rambling Shavian
chronicle
about a king and a kitten.
.
2.
DOCUMENT NO.: FT933-11804.
HEA
DLINE: FT 28 JUL 93 / US tightens immigration curbs .
BYLINE:
By GEORGE GRAHAM .
PUBLICATION: The Financial Times .
PAGE: Lond
on Page 4 .
TEXT:
PRESIDENT Bill Clinton yesterday launched a progr
amme to tighten US
immigration controls and clamp down on smuggling rings th
at bring foreigners
into the country illegally.
He asked Congress for Dollar
s 172m to hire up to 600 more border patrol
agents and boost efforts to stop
immigrant-smugglers and intercept smuggling
ships at sea.
'It's certainly p
lain to anybody with eyes to see that the border patrol is
drastically under
staffed, breathtakingly understaffed,' Mr Clinton said.
He also called for a
process of 'expedited exclusion' which would allow
officials to rule summar
ily on asylum requests, instead of allowing
asylum-seekers to stay for month
s while their cases are judged.
Anyone trying to smuggle in aliens would fac
e anti-racketeering charges and
doubled prison sentences. In recent months,
there have been a series of
attempts to land illegal immigrants by ship.
The
measures have also been prompted by doubts about the effectiveness of US
co
nsular officials in screening visa applicants for terrorist links.
There is
the recent case of Sheikh Omar Abdel Rahman, a militant Moslem
preacher, sev
eral of whose followers have been arrested in connection with
the bombing of
the World Trade Centre in New York. Sheikh Omar is in custody
awaiting depo
rtation proceedings, although he entered the US legally on a
visa issued aft
er a CIA review.
Mr Clinton insisted the US was not seeking to close its doo
rs to legal
immigrants and would remain 'the world's greatest melting pot'.
However, 'we
must say no to illegal immigration so we can continue to say ye
s to legal
immigration,' he said.
.
3.
DOCUMENT NO.: FT932-5376.
HEADLINE
: FT 04 JUN 93 / China to act on illegal emigrants .
BYLINE:
By AP .
PUBLICATION: The Financial Times .
PAGE: London Page 4 .
TEXT:
THE US Coast Guard intercepted two boats trying to smuggle 27
0 Chinese into
California yesterday, coinciding with a Chinese government st
atement that it
had stepped up efforts to halt illegal emigration, AP report
s.
'The public security departments have stepped up efforts to track down th
e
criminal groups organising human smuggling and patrols at sea,' a Chinese
Foreign Ministry spokesman said.
Since January authorities on both sides of
the Pacific have intercepted
boats carrying about 2,500 Chinese, each of who
m had paid or promised
smugglers Dollars 20,000-Dollars 30,000 (Pounds 13,00
0-Pounds 19,500) to get
them into the US illegally. Many others are entering
overland from Mexico or
arriving at airports with false documents.
.
4.
DOCUMENT NO.: FT932-2315.
HEADLINE: FT 19 JUN 93 / Alien crackdown .
B
YLINE: By REUTER .
PUBLICATION: The Financial Times .
PAGE:
London Page 2 .
TEXT:
President Bill Clinton yesterday named Do
ris Meissner to be US immigration
chief and unveiled a strategy to fight the
'shameful practice' of smuggling
aliens into the US, Reuter reports. He sai
d organised crime charged huge
amounts to transport immigrants to slave-like
work in the US.
.
5.
DOCUMENT NO.: FT931-8991.
HEADLINE: FT 17 FEB
93 / Immigrants crackdown agreed .
BYLINE: By NICHOLAS DENTON .
D
ATELINE: BUDAPEST .
PUBLICATION: The Financial Times .
PAGE:
London Page 2 .
TEXT:
INTERIOR ministers from 35 European countr
ies yesterday agreed to crack down
on the wave of illegal immigration from e
ast to west which is fuelling
anti-foreigner violence in Germany and elsewhe
re.
The ministers said organised smuggling of illegal immigrants would be ma
de a
criminal offence across Europe. They also agreed that airlines, as well
as
land and sea carriers, should be liable to fines under new rules on the
movement of illegal aliens.
The conference of ministers from east and wester
n Europe follows pressure
for co-ordinated efforts to reduce an increasing f
low of illegal immigration
that ministers say has fuelled xenophobia and bee
n exploited by organised
crime.
The ministers agreed to set up special polic
e units and mobile surveillance
forces to a standard model. The governments
also agreed to exchange
information and adopt a common code on border checks
.
But ministers from several countries including Britain, balked at the Germ
an
demand for a common code on repatriation and on sharing the financial
bur
dens of combating illegal immigration.
The outcome of the meeting yesterday
displayed the limits of pan-European
co-operation on paying for immigration.
Interests diverge: Germany, Austria,
Switzerland and Sweden have borne the
brunt of the influx from eastern
Europe and are pushing for action, while th
eir neighbours to the west are
more concerned about migrants from other cont
inents.
Germany sought yesterday to allay the fears of Poland and the Czech
Republic
that they would become part of a 'refugee zone' if Germany turned b
ack more
asylum seekers. Last week, Bonn offered Warsaw DM55m (Pounds 23m) t
o finance
refugee camps.
Attention will now turn to sub-regional initiatives
, particularly bilateral
talks with neighbouring Poland and the Czech Republ
ic.
Mr Rudolf Seiters, German interior minister, yesterday gave early March
as
the date for the next round of talks with Poland on financial aid in
exch
ange for providing transit for rejected asylum-seekers before
repatriation.
He also announced talks soon in Prague on a multilateral
approach to expelli
ng illegal immigrants.
Editorial Comment, Page 17
.
6.
DOCUMENT NO.: FT93
1-9196.
HEADLINE: FT 16 FEB 93 / Germans call for aid in curbing illeg
al migrants .
BYLINE: By NICHOLAS DENTON .
DATELINE: BUDAP
EST .
PUBLICATION: The Financial Times .
PAGE: London Page 3 .
TEX
T:
INTERIOR ministers from east and west Europe gathering in Budape
st yesterday
for a conference on migration were immediately pressed by Germa
ny to help
curb the influx of illegal immigrants.
Germany is urging east Eur
opean countries to take back nationals resident
elsewhere without permission
, and speed migrants' return to their country of
origin. Also high on the ag
enda is a proposal to co-ordinate action on
international 'human smuggling'
groups.
The Germans want 'non-front-line' western countries to share the bur
den of
financial aid towards strengthening eastern Europe's immigration cont
rols.
The conference coincides with German efforts to tighten the country's
liberal asylum rules.
Germany's proposed constitutional amendment would allo
w authorities to turn
back claimants for refugee status if they arrive from
'safe' neighbouring
east European countries. Poland and the Czech Republic a
re determined not to
become a cordon sanitaire for seekers of asylum in Germ
any.
Bonn's efforts have an added urgency because of continuing racist attac
ks
against foreigners. But EC countries less affected by immigration from
ea
stern Europe are grudging in their solidarity. UK officials said yesterday
t
hat, while backing recommendations on exchange of information, they did not
wish to see new measures, describing as unrealistic ideas about financial
ai
d.
.
7.
DOCUMENT NO.: FT943-3533.
HEADLINE: FT 14 SEP 94 / 'Prostit
ute smugglers' arrested .
BYLINE: By ROBERT GRAHAM .
DATELINE:
ROME .
PUBLICATION: The Financial Times .
PAGE: London Page 2
.
TEXT:
Italian police yesterday said they had broken up a crimina
l organisation
based in Bari capable of smuggling up to 5,000 illegal immigr
ants a month
into the country via the coastline of the Puglia region, on the
Adriatic
coast. This is the largest immigration ring uncovered and highligh
ts the
involvement of organised crime in this increasingly profitable busine
ss.
More than 20 people were arrested, including Italian nationals, Slavs an
d
North Africans. In addition to being charged with bringing people illegall
y
into Italy, they were accused of organising prostitution and providing fal
se
documentation.
The Italian authorities are showing increasing concern ove
r the import of
prostitutes. Prostitution has been one of the main activitie
s unaffected by
the two-year-long recession. But with the economy beginning
to recover, the
authorities are also anxious to cut-off a new flow of hopefu
l job seekers.
The main problem is Albania. During the summer more than 200
Albanians a
week are believed to have entered the country illegally via the
Puglian
coast.
.
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FT934-11803
_AN-DJ2DCADUFT
931
029
FT 29 OCT 93 / Leading Article: Chunnel link
THE PLANNED high-speed rail link between London and the Channel
tunnel could
be a showpiece for the UK government's initiative of attracting
private
capital to public infrastructure projects. It provides an opportuni
ty both
to harness the private sector's skills in project management and to
remove
at least part of a Pounds 2.6bn-Pounds 3bn project from the public se
ctor's
balance sheet.
But to achieve these benefits, the Treasury will need
to abandon its purist
line that all the risk of such projects should be born
e by private
investors. Sticking to this line could delay or even kill off t
he project,
as Union Railways, the British Rail subsidiary set up to develop
the link,
will tell ministers later today.
The essential point is that the
private sector is not well suited to bear
the political and regulatory risks
associated with the early stages of large
infrastructure projects. Before c
onstruction on the Chunnel link can
proceed, planning consents must be won,
public inquiries conducted,
legislation passed and safety standards determin
ed. At each stage, there is
a danger that the project will be delayed and ex
tra costs imposed.
This particular project does not start with a happy histo
ry as far as
private companies are concerned. Several construction groups ha
ve already
spent money making proposals, only to have them rejected largely
for
political reasons. There is also the overhang from the main Channel tunn
el
project, whose financial attraction has been reduced by a tightening of
s
afety regulations and the delay in building road and rail links.
It is doubt
ful whether private funds could be attracted at this stage and,
even if they
could, a high risk premium would be required. Far better,
therefore, for th
e public sector to put up the Pounds 200m needed for the
project's next phas
e, tiding it over until political and regulatory
uncertainty is largely out
of the way. After that, it should be easier to
find a further Pounds 2.5bn-p
lus from private investors. The remaining risks
-concerning construction co
sts, operating expenses and customer demand -
are the type the private secto
r is best at managing.
Given the current budgetary pressures, it is reasonab
le to ask why the
Chunnel link should have priority over other worthwhile pr
ojects that are
now stalled. Part of the answer is that the link is already
badly delayed.
Constructing it is important not only to maximise the economi
c benefits of
the Channel tunnel but also to ease congestion for commuter tr
affic in the
south-east.
But the most compelling reason for priming the pump
is that a success with
Union Railways would give a boost to the government'
s private funding
initiative. It could open the door for private capital to
flow into roads,
railways and prisons. That, more than almost anything else,
would ease the
pressure on government finances.
Countries:-
XX>
GBZ United Kingdom, EC.
Industries:-
P1629 Hea
vy Construction, NEC.
Types:-
CMMT Comment & Analysis.
The Financial Times
London Page 17
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_AN-DJ2DCADUFT
931
029
FT 29 OCT 93 / Leading Article: Chunnel link
THE PLANNED high-speed rail link between London and the Channel
tunnel could
be a showpiece for the UK government's initiative of attracting
private
capital to public infrastructure projects. It provides an opportuni
ty both
to harness the private sector's skills in project management and to
remove
at least part of a Pounds 2.6bn-Pounds 3bn project from the public se
ctor's
balance sheet.
But to achieve these benefits, the Treasury will need
to abandon its purist
line that all the risk of such projects should be born
e by private
investors. Sticking to this line could delay or even kill off t
he project,
as Union Railways, the British Rail subsidiary set up to develop
the link,
will tell ministers later today.
The essential point is that the
private sector is not well suited to bear
the political and regulatory risks
associated with the early stages of large
infrastructure projects. Before c
onstruction on the Chunnel link can
proceed, planning consents must be won,
public inquiries conducted,
legislation passed and safety standards determin
ed. At each stage, there is
a danger that the project will be delayed and ex
tra costs imposed.
This particular project does not start with a happy histo
ry as far as
private companies are concerned. Several construction groups ha
ve already
spent money making proposals, only to have them rejected largely
for
political reasons. There is also the overhang from the main Channel tunn
el
project, whose financial attraction has been reduced by a tightening of
s
afety regulations and the delay in building road and rail links.
It is doubt
ful whether private funds could be attracted at this stage and,
even if they
could, a high risk premium would be required. Far better,
therefore, for th
e public sector to put up the Pounds 200m needed for the
project's next phas
e, tiding it over until political and regulatory
uncertainty is largely out
of the way. After that, it should be easier to
find a further Pounds 2.5bn-p
lus from private investors. The remaining risks
-concerning construction co
sts, operating expenses and customer demand -
are the type the private secto
r is best at managing.
Given the current budgetary pressures, it is reasonab
le to ask why the
Chunnel link should have priority over other worthwhile pr
ojects that are
now stalled. Part of the answer is that the link is already
badly delayed.
Constructing it is important not only to maximise the economi
c benefits of
the Channel tunnel but also to ease congestion for commuter tr
affic in the
south-east.
But the most compelling reason for priming the pump
is that a success with
Union Railways would give a boost to the government'
s private funding
initiative. It could open the door for private capital to
flow into roads,
railways and prisons. That, more than almost anything else,
would ease the
pressure on government finances.
Countries:-
XX>
GBZ United Kingdom, EC.
Industries:-
P1629 Hea
vy Construction, NEC.
Types:-
CMMT Comment & Analysis.
The Financial Times
London Page 17
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_AN-ED0DLADCFT
940
427
FT 27 APR 94 / Letters to the Editor: Fly the Chunne
l instead
From JEAN CASTELLINI
Sir,
I very much enjoyed your 'Business Travel' (April 20), especially the
secti
on on various 'airports of the world'. However, I have to say that Ms
Rawsth
orn's report on Charles de Gaulle airport was typical of a certain
Anglo Sax
on arrogant wit (whereas your other airport descriptions struck me
as being
quite neutral), as well as a collection of all possible cliches you
may gath
er on France - the foie gras, the expensive clothes, the
Concorde-travelling
top models, le 'glamour', quoi]
I must have flown into, and out of, Roissy
a good 100 times over the past 10
years, and have never had to complain abou
t my luggage being 'pillaged', not
even opened. As far as our 'sticky-finger
ed luggage handlers' are concerned,
they, too, probably would be happy to we
ar Chanel gloves to handle Ms
Rawsthorn's personal belongings.
Much to many
people's surprise, France has less 'numerous national holidays'
than many ot
her European countries (I have to admit, however, that the point
on public s
ector strikes was more relevant). And I honestly have to say that
I have nev
er had 'to wait - and wait' for a bus at the RER station, whereas
I have bee
n stuck at Acton Town for half an hour (at least) because of a
signal defect
on a quite regular basis . . .
What Ms Rawsthorn needs, and must be eagerly
awaiting, is the Chunnel. She
will be able to shop until she drops in downt
own Paris, and then not have to
worry about struggling all the way to Charle
s de Gaulle. And then enjoy
frequent unexplained stops in the beautiful Engl
ish countryside on her train
journey back to London. Bon voyage]
Jean Castel
lini,
1, rue Humblot,
75015 Paris, France
Countries:-
FRZ France, EC.
Industries:-
P4581 Airports, Flying F
ields, and Services.
Types:-
NEWS General News.
The Financial Times
London Page 22
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_AN-ED0DLADCFT
940
427
FT 27 APR 94 / Letters to the Editor: Fly the Chunne
l instead
From JEAN CASTELLINI
Sir,
I very much enjoyed your 'Business Travel' (April 20), especially the
secti
on on various 'airports of the world'. However, I have to say that Ms
Rawsth
orn's report on Charles de Gaulle airport was typical of a certain
Anglo Sax
on arrogant wit (whereas your other airport descriptions struck me
as being
quite neutral), as well as a collection of all possible cliches you
may gath
er on France - the foie gras, the expensive clothes, the
Concorde-travelling
top models, le 'glamour', quoi]
I must have flown into, and out of, Roissy
a good 100 times over the past 10
years, and have never had to complain abou
t my luggage being 'pillaged', not
even opened. As far as our 'sticky-finger
ed luggage handlers' are concerned,
they, too, probably would be happy to we
ar Chanel gloves to handle Ms
Rawsthorn's personal belongings.
Much to many
people's surprise, France has less 'numerous national holidays'
than many ot
her European countries (I have to admit, however, that the point
on public s
ector strikes was more relevant). And I honestly have to say that
I have nev
er had 'to wait - and wait' for a bus at the RER station, whereas
I have bee
n stuck at Acton Town for half an hour (at least) because of a
signal defect
on a quite regular basis . . .
What Ms Rawsthorn needs, and must be eagerly
awaiting, is the Chunnel. She
will be able to shop until she drops in downt
own Paris, and then not have to
worry about struggling all the way to Charle
s de Gaulle. And then enjoy
frequent unexplained stops in the beautiful Engl
ish countryside on her train
journey back to London. Bon voyage]
Jean Castel
lini,
1, rue Humblot,
75015 Paris, France
Countries:-
FRZ France, EC.
Industries:-
P4581 Airports, Flying F
ields, and Services.
Types:-
NEWS General News.
The Financial Times
London Page 22
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FT934-2741
_AN-DLLALAFAFT
9312
11
FT 11 DEC 93 / Motoring: What will the Chunnel offer?
- Stuart Marshall casts a sceptical English eye on the benefits of undersea
travel
By STUART MARSHALL
Like mil
lions of people living in the south-east of England - and
particularly in my
own county of Kent - I have never been a Channel Tunnel
enthusiast. This is
not because the high-speed rail link, should it ever be
built, would go any
where near my home. Put my feelings down to being an
old-fashioned reactiona
ry. I liked Britain being a proper island and I have
always seen the Channel
crossing by ferry as pleasure, not penance.
I doubt I was alone in hoping t
hat if I ignored the Chunnel, it just might
go away. But new bridges began a
ppearing across the M20 as it neared
Folkestone, while a forest of gantries
and overhead wires went up behind
high concrete retaining walls. Work trains
could sometimes be glimpsed.
When the first advertisements appeared for the
Chunnel car ferry, which
starts running next May, I thought it was time I h
ad a look. It was a
revelation. What has been built, unseen by M20 users, is
something as big as
an airport terminal. But instead of acres of runways, t
here is a marshalling
yard and rail tracks running into a tunnel.
The operat
ing company, Eurotunnel, says people still have many
misconceptions. Many th
ink they will be able to drive their cars through to
France; and while most
do realise it is rail only, some believe their cars
will go on flat trucks,
as on car-carrier trains, while they ride in
passenger carriages.
Wrong agai
n. You stay with your car in a windowless van. You can walk around
it if you
wish, but the only place to visit is the lavatory in every third
interconne
cted coach.
When, in five months, the tunnel starts competing with the car f
erries, this
is what will happen. Motorists will leave the M20 by the Eurotu
nnel slip
road, pause at a toll booth to pay for their passage, and then hav
e a
choice. Those in a hurry can pass through Customs and drive straight on
to
the train. Others can go to the terminal building for refreshments and
du
ty-frees.
Tickets can be bought from travel agents in advance but there are
no
reservations; all-comers get in line for the next train. At peak times,
t
here will be one every 15 minutes; but if you just miss one at, say, 2am,
yo
u could have to wait an hour or so.
Platform to platform, the under-Channel
train will take 35 minutes.
Eurotunnel says that, during the day, a motorist
should be able to drive out
of the French terminal at Sangatte, near Calais
, and on to the A26 autoroute
within one hour of coming off the M20.
There w
ill be separate ferry trains for cars and commercial vehicles. Main
line pas
senger and freight trains will also use the tunnel but, apart from
sharing t
he tracks, have nothing whatever to do with the car ferry trains.
Fares have
not been fixed but, to compete, they must be about the same as
those on the
ships. Every safety and security precaution known to man has
been taken. Us
ing Eurotunnel should be rather less risky than riding in a
clapped-out Lond
on Underground train.
Will it kill off the Dover-Calais ferries? Of course n
ot, although it will
take a chunk of the available (and constantly growing)
business of
transporting cars and lorries to and from mainland Europe. If th
e tunnel's
freight trains reduce the number of juggernaut lorries now poundi
ng our
motorways to pieces, every motorist will cheer.
I have two reservatio
ns about Eurotunnel (which, beyond any argument, is a
wonder of 20th century
civil engineering of which Britain and France can be
proud). While I do not
exactly relish the thought of an underground - and,
even more so, undersea
- journey of more than 30 miles (50 km), I shall
certainly try it. But the i
dea fills many people with such undiluted horror
that they say there is no w
ay they will ever make the trip.
A more logical objection is that the time s
aving could be an illusion. The
train might take 35 minutes, platform to pla
tform, against the ferry's 75
minutes, dock to dock. But you can eat, stretc
h your legs and shop during
the sea crossing. A family driving from, say, Bi
rmingham to Paris would have
to stop for a meal before or after the tunnel c
rossing - so what has
happened to the time saving?
Many cross-Channel travel
lers, very sensibly, use the ferry as a mobile
motorway service area. So, wi
th an eye on the Chunnel's opening, P & 0 and
Stena Sealink have upgraded th
eir fleets. The ships are now more like cruise
liners than ferries in size a
nd facilities. They are so stable that even a
gale does not disturb their eq
uilibrium - or, more important, that of their
passengers. For an extra Pound
s 5 on each leg, P & O club class is a truly
civilised way of crossing the C
hannel.
When heading west to Normandy and Brittany, I like using the longer
routes
such as Newhaven to Dieppe; Portsmouth or Southampton to Le Havre, Ch
erbourg
or St Malo. Longer crossings are not always reflected in higher fare
s; a
four-hour Newhaven-Dieppe voyage can be cheaper than Dover-Calais.
Alth
ough the ships on these routes are not as large as the short-haul
super-ferr
ies, their facilities are comparable, if on a smaller scale. My
wife and I h
ave passed less comfortable nights in hotels than we did
recently between Po
rtsmouth and St Malo on Brittany Ferries' 23,000-ton
Bretagne. It has every
facility to make the eight-hour crossing pleasant;
even a hairdressing salon
.
In Britain, Suzuki is synonymous with small four-wheel drives, and its Swi
ft
front-wheel drive hatchback gets overlooked. It deserves better. I though
t
the Swift GLX 1.3 automatic five-door, which I used as a runabout recently
,
would suit many buyers whose motoring is mainly in town and who rate ease
of
control above all else. The four-cylinder, multi-valve engine and
three-s
peed automatic gearbox are well matched. Power steering is
finger-light; cen
tral locking and a tilt-adjustable steering wheel are
standard; and the high
-roofed body is agreeably roomy, with good all-round
vision. The ride can be
bouncy on bad roads, and luggage has to be lifted
over a high sill. But, bu
t at Pounds 9,125, the two-pedal Swift is cheaper
than any power-steered riv
al.
Countries:-
GBZ United Kingdom, EC.
FRZ Fra
nce, EC.
Industries:-
P4785 Inspection and Fixed Facili
ties.
P3711 Motor Vehicles and Car Bodies.
Types:-
TECH Products & Product use.
NEWS General News.
The Financi
al Times
London Page XVI
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_AN-DLLALAFAFT
9312
11
FT 11 DEC 93 / Motoring: What will the Chunnel offer?
- Stuart Marshall casts a sceptical English eye on the benefits of undersea
travel
By STUART MARSHALL
Like mil
lions of people living in the south-east of England - and
particularly in my
own county of Kent - I have never been a Channel Tunnel
enthusiast. This is
not because the high-speed rail link, should it ever be
built, would go any
where near my home. Put my feelings down to being an
old-fashioned reactiona
ry. I liked Britain being a proper island and I have
always seen the Channel
crossing by ferry as pleasure, not penance.
I doubt I was alone in hoping t
hat if I ignored the Chunnel, it just might
go away. But new bridges began a
ppearing across the M20 as it neared
Folkestone, while a forest of gantries
and overhead wires went up behind
high concrete retaining walls. Work trains
could sometimes be glimpsed.
When the first advertisements appeared for the
Chunnel car ferry, which
starts running next May, I thought it was time I h
ad a look. It was a
revelation. What has been built, unseen by M20 users, is
something as big as
an airport terminal. But instead of acres of runways, t
here is a marshalling
yard and rail tracks running into a tunnel.
The operat
ing company, Eurotunnel, says people still have many
misconceptions. Many th
ink they will be able to drive their cars through to
France; and while most
do realise it is rail only, some believe their cars
will go on flat trucks,
as on car-carrier trains, while they ride in
passenger carriages.
Wrong agai
n. You stay with your car in a windowless van. You can walk around
it if you
wish, but the only place to visit is the lavatory in every third
interconne
cted coach.
When, in five months, the tunnel starts competing with the car f
erries, this
is what will happen. Motorists will leave the M20 by the Eurotu
nnel slip
road, pause at a toll booth to pay for their passage, and then hav
e a
choice. Those in a hurry can pass through Customs and drive straight on
to
the train. Others can go to the terminal building for refreshments and
du
ty-frees.
Tickets can be bought from travel agents in advance but there are
no
reservations; all-comers get in line for the next train. At peak times,
t
here will be one every 15 minutes; but if you just miss one at, say, 2am,
yo
u could have to wait an hour or so.
Platform to platform, the under-Channel
train will take 35 minutes.
Eurotunnel says that, during the day, a motorist
should be able to drive out
of the French terminal at Sangatte, near Calais
, and on to the A26 autoroute
within one hour of coming off the M20.
There w
ill be separate ferry trains for cars and commercial vehicles. Main
line pas
senger and freight trains will also use the tunnel but, apart from
sharing t
he tracks, have nothing whatever to do with the car ferry trains.
Fares have
not been fixed but, to compete, they must be about the same as
those on the
ships. Every safety and security precaution known to man has
been taken. Us
ing Eurotunnel should be rather less risky than riding in a
clapped-out Lond
on Underground train.
Will it kill off the Dover-Calais ferries? Of course n
ot, although it will
take a chunk of the available (and constantly growing)
business of
transporting cars and lorries to and from mainland Europe. If th
e tunnel's
freight trains reduce the number of juggernaut lorries now poundi
ng our
motorways to pieces, every motorist will cheer.
I have two reservatio
ns about Eurotunnel (which, beyond any argument, is a
wonder of 20th century
civil engineering of which Britain and France can be
proud). While I do not
exactly relish the thought of an underground - and,
even more so, undersea
- journey of more than 30 miles (50 km), I shall
certainly try it. But the i
dea fills many people with such undiluted horror
that they say there is no w
ay they will ever make the trip.
A more logical objection is that the time s
aving could be an illusion. The
train might take 35 minutes, platform to pla
tform, against the ferry's 75
minutes, dock to dock. But you can eat, stretc
h your legs and shop during
the sea crossing. A family driving from, say, Bi
rmingham to Paris would have
to stop for a meal before or after the tunnel c
rossing - so what has
happened to the time saving?
Many cross-Channel travel
lers, very sensibly, use the ferry as a mobile
motorway service area. So, wi
th an eye on the Chunnel's opening, P & 0 and
Stena Sealink have upgraded th
eir fleets. The ships are now more like cruise
liners than ferries in size a
nd facilities. They are so stable that even a
gale does not disturb their eq
uilibrium - or, more important, that of their
passengers. For an extra Pound
s 5 on each leg, P & O club class is a truly
civilised way of crossing the C
hannel.
When heading west to Normandy and Brittany, I like using the longer
routes
such as Newhaven to Dieppe; Portsmouth or Southampton to Le Havre, Ch
erbourg
or St Malo. Longer crossings are not always reflected in higher fare
s; a
four-hour Newhaven-Dieppe voyage can be cheaper than Dover-Calais.
Alth
ough the ships on these routes are not as large as the short-haul
super-ferr
ies, their facilities are comparable, if on a smaller scale. My
wife and I h
ave passed less comfortable nights in hotels than we did
recently between Po
rtsmouth and St Malo on Brittany Ferries' 23,000-ton
Bretagne. It has every
facility to make the eight-hour crossing pleasant;
even a hairdressing salon
.
In Britain, Suzuki is synonymous with small four-wheel drives, and its Swi
ft
front-wheel drive hatchback gets overlooked. It deserves better. I though
t
the Swift GLX 1.3 automatic five-door, which I used as a runabout recently
,
would suit many buyers whose motoring is mainly in town and who rate ease
of
control above all else. The four-cylinder, multi-valve engine and
three-s
peed automatic gearbox are well matched. Power steering is
finger-light; cen
tral locking and a tilt-adjustable steering wheel are
standard; and the high
-roofed body is agreeably roomy, with good all-round
vision. The ride can be
bouncy on bad roads, and luggage has to be lifted
over a high sill. But, bu
t at Pounds 9,125, the two-pedal Swift is cheaper
than any power-steered riv
al.
Countries:-
GBZ United Kingdom, EC.
FRZ Fra
nce, EC.
Industries:-
P4785 Inspection and Fixed Facili
ties.
P3711 Motor Vehicles and Car Bodies.
Types:-
TECH Products & Product use.
NEWS General News.
The Financi
al Times
London Page XVI
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FT944-14451
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941
022
FT 22 OCT 94 / Finance and the Family: Chunnel diary
Sept 1 1986: Consortium partners subscribe Pounds 46m of
equity for project.
Oct 29: Eurotunnel raises further Pounds 206m equity th
rough private
placement with institutions.
Nov 4 1987: Company reaches agree
ment for banks to provide Pounds 5bn. Nov
27: Public listing completed, rais
ing additional Pounds 770m equity.
Dec 1: Tunnelling starts.
Oct 25 1990: Eu
rotunnel signs agreements for further Pounds 1.8bn of bank
credit.
Dec 3 199
0: Company completes Pounds 566m rights issue.
Feb 10 1992: Target opening d
ate of June 1993 is postponed.
Dec 10 1993: Contractors hand over tunnel.
De
c 29: Eurotunnel drops claims against UK and French governments in return
fo
r 10-year extension of its concession.
May 6 1994: Inauguration of tunnel by
the Queen and French President
Francois Mitterrand. Freight shuttle service
s start later in month.
May 26: Eurotunnel launches third rights issue to ra
ise Pounds 858m and
completes raising of Pounds 693m of bank loans.
Oct 3: S
tart of limited passenger shuttle.
Oct 17: Eurotunnel reveals it will achiev
e only a quarter of the expected
1994 passenger revenues. Nov 14: Start of E
urostar service between London,
Paris and Brussels.
Nov 15: Start of turn-up
-and-go passenger shuttle.
Companies:-
Eurotunnel.
CO>
Countries:-
GBZ United Kingdom, EC.
FRZ France, EC.
Industries:-
P4011 Railroads, Line-Haul Operating.
Types:-
CMMT Comment & Analysis.
The Financial
Times
London Page V
============= Transaction # 145 ==============================================
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FT944-14451
_AN-EJWA8AD7FT
941
022
FT 22 OCT 94 / Finance and the Family: Chunnel diary
Sept 1 1986: Consortium partners subscribe Pounds 46m of
equity for project.
Oct 29: Eurotunnel raises further Pounds 206m equity th
rough private
placement with institutions.
Nov 4 1987: Company reaches agree
ment for banks to provide Pounds 5bn. Nov
27: Public listing completed, rais
ing additional Pounds 770m equity.
Dec 1: Tunnelling starts.
Oct 25 1990: Eu
rotunnel signs agreements for further Pounds 1.8bn of bank
credit.
Dec 3 199
0: Company completes Pounds 566m rights issue.
Feb 10 1992: Target opening d
ate of June 1993 is postponed.
Dec 10 1993: Contractors hand over tunnel.
De
c 29: Eurotunnel drops claims against UK and French governments in return
fo
r 10-year extension of its concession.
May 6 1994: Inauguration of tunnel by
the Queen and French President
Francois Mitterrand. Freight shuttle service
s start later in month.
May 26: Eurotunnel launches third rights issue to ra
ise Pounds 858m and
completes raising of Pounds 693m of bank loans.
Oct 3: S
tart of limited passenger shuttle.
Oct 17: Eurotunnel reveals it will achiev
e only a quarter of the expected
1994 passenger revenues. Nov 14: Start of E
urostar service between London,
Paris and Brussels.
Nov 15: Start of turn-up
-and-go passenger shuttle.
Companies:-
Eurotunnel.
CO>
Countries:-
GBZ United Kingdom, EC.
FRZ France, EC.
Industries:-
P4011 Railroads, Line-Haul Operating.
Types:-
CMMT Comment & Analysis.
The Financial
Times
London Page V
============= Transaction # 146 ==============================================
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940
115
FT 15 JAN 94 / Letters to the Editor: Competition no
t working in cross-Channel fares
From Mr K D SHILLET
O
Sir, Charles Batchelor's report ('Tunnel prompts Stena to
simplify ferry
fares', January 5) on the 'simplification' of Stena Line cro
ss-Channel fares
appears to indicate another huge rise in some tariffs, part
icularly for a
car with driver only or even with single passenger. For these
travellers the
increase, particularly during the summer months, will repres
ent a much
greater rise than the 'couple of per cent' vaguely indicated by t
he
operators.
This is typical of the arrogant and rapacious attitude of the
ferry
companies towards travellers since announcement of the construction of
the
Channel tunnel.
One is persuaded that they have deliberately raised the
ir almost identical
fares way beyond inflation almost every year, confident
that the eventual
Chunnel tariffs could not compete with them if necessary c
ash flow to
service mounting debt was to be raised.
They have now set a comf
ortable 'floor' for the tunnel while castly
increasing their own profit pote
ntial. There is a smell of collusion about
this cost-push manoeuvre which in
volves not only the ferry operators but the
tunnel management as well.
Dr St
efan Szymanski of Imperial College has written a paper, already
referred to
in your newspaper, that clearly indicates progressive and
unwarrantable rais
ing of ferry tariffs since the announcement of the
tunnel's construction. It
is to be hoped that the Office of Fair Trading and
the EU competition offic
e are closely monitoring this pocket-picking of the
public.
Cross-Channel fe
rry tariffs have been set far above any comparative journey
in Europe for as
long as I can remember. Why should the advent of an
additional alternative
send up passenger costs even further? That is not
competition or the working
of a 'market'.
K D Shilleto,
2 Mulberry close,
Beaufort Street,
London SW3
Countries:-
GBZ United Kingdom, EC.
Indus
tries:-
P4482 Ferries.
P4785 Inspection and Fixed Facilities.
Types:-
MKTS Market shares.
COSTS Service costs &
Service prices.
The Financial Times
London Page 7
============= Transaction # 147 ==============================================
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940
115
FT 15 JAN 94 / Letters to the Editor: Competition no
t working in cross-Channel fares
From Mr K D SHILLET
O
Sir, Charles Batchelor's report ('Tunnel prompts Stena to
simplify ferry
fares', January 5) on the 'simplification' of Stena Line cro
ss-Channel fares
appears to indicate another huge rise in some tariffs, part
icularly for a
car with driver only or even with single passenger. For these
travellers the
increase, particularly during the summer months, will repres
ent a much
greater rise than the 'couple of per cent' vaguely indicated by t
he
operators.
This is typical of the arrogant and rapacious attitude of the
ferry
companies towards travellers since announcement of the construction of
the
Channel tunnel.
One is persuaded that they have deliberately raised the
ir almost identical
fares way beyond inflation almost every year, confident
that the eventual
Chunnel tariffs could not compete with them if necessary c
ash flow to
service mounting debt was to be raised.
They have now set a comf
ortable 'floor' for the tunnel while castly
increasing their own profit pote
ntial. There is a smell of collusion about
this cost-push manoeuvre which in
volves not only the ferry operators but the
tunnel management as well.
Dr St
efan Szymanski of Imperial College has written a paper, already
referred to
in your newspaper, that clearly indicates progressive and
unwarrantable rais
ing of ferry tariffs since the announcement of the
tunnel's construction. It
is to be hoped that the Office of Fair Trading and
the EU competition offic
e are closely monitoring this pocket-picking of the
public.
Cross-Channel fe
rry tariffs have been set far above any comparative journey
in Europe for as
long as I can remember. Why should the advent of an
additional alternative
send up passenger costs even further? That is not
competition or the working
of a 'market'.
K D Shilleto,
2 Mulberry close,
Beaufort Street,
London SW3
Countries:-
GBZ United Kingdom, EC.
Indus
tries:-
P4482 Ferries.
P4785 Inspection and Fixed Facilities.
Types:-
MKTS Market shares.
COSTS Service costs &
Service prices.
The Financial Times
London Page 7
============= Transaction # 148 ==============================================
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940
416
FT 16 APR 94 / The Week Ahead: Chunnel's misplaced o
ptimism
The numbers Eurotunnel will unveil for 1993 on Th
ursday will be largely
academic but it must have hoped it could announce rev
enues from the first
few months of operations. A full freight and passenger
service will not now
be running before September/October, a delay which is c
osting Eurotunnel
tens of millions of pounds a month. Projected revenues of
Pounds 224m for
this year now look hopelessly over-optimistic. But if the pa
st year has
disappointed in this regard, at least considerable progress has
been made
towards resolving the many disputes which have affected the projec
t.
Morgan Crucible, the speciality materials group, is forecast on Monday to
report full-year. pre-tax profits up from Pounds 61.3m to between Pounds 63
m
and Pounds 65m. The thermal ceramics business will have suffered badly fro
m
the recession in continental Europe but the group figures will be boosted
by
currency movements, recovery in the US, and growth in East Asia. On
Thurs
day, SmithKline Beecham reports results for its first quarter - which
might
also be the best quarter of the year as the US patent on ulcer drug
Tagamet
expires next month. First quarter pre-tax profits should be Pounds
347m, up
13 per cent on last time. This month's income tax increases are
expected to
dominate the results of the raft of small retailers - such as
Etam, Bentalls
, Austin Reed, Tie Rack and Liberty - which are reporting next
week. But it
might still be a bit too early to get any meaningful
indications from the pr
esent trading statements. Most company observers will
be waiting for Sears'
results on April 26.
Etam, the fashion clothing company, will be the most cl
osely examined of
those reporting. It is expected to show a 33 per cent pre-
tax profits
advance to about Pounds 14.5m, excluding property losses.
Companies:-
Eurotunnel.
Morgan Crucible.
SmithKline
Beecham.
Etam.
Bentalls.
Austin Reed.
Tie Rack.
Libert
y.
Countries:-
GBZ United Kingdom, EC.
FRZ France
, EC.
USZ United States of America.
Industries:-
P
4785 Inspection and Fixed Facilities.
P3255 Clay Refractories.
P2834
Pharmaceutical Preparations.
P5621 Women's Clothing Stores.
P5611 M
en's and Boys' Clothing Stores.
P5311 Department Stores.
P5699 Misce
llaneous Apparel and Accessory Stores.
Types:-
CMMT Co
mment & Analysis.
The Financial Times
London Page I
V
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_AN-EDQALADPFT
940
416
FT 16 APR 94 / The Week Ahead: Chunnel's misplaced o
ptimism
The numbers Eurotunnel will unveil for 1993 on Th
ursday will be largely
academic but it must have hoped it could announce rev
enues from the first
few months of operations. A full freight and passenger
service will not now
be running before September/October, a delay which is c
osting Eurotunnel
tens of millions of pounds a month. Projected revenues of
Pounds 224m for
this year now look hopelessly over-optimistic. But if the pa
st year has
disappointed in this regard, at least considerable progress has
been made
towards resolving the many disputes which have affected the projec
t.
Morgan Crucible, the speciality materials group, is forecast on Monday to
report full-year. pre-tax profits up from Pounds 61.3m to between Pounds 63
m
and Pounds 65m. The thermal ceramics business will have suffered badly fro
m
the recession in continental Europe but the group figures will be boosted
by
currency movements, recovery in the US, and growth in East Asia. On
Thurs
day, SmithKline Beecham reports results for its first quarter - which
might
also be the best quarter of the year as the US patent on ulcer drug
Tagamet
expires next month. First quarter pre-tax profits should be Pounds
347m, up
13 per cent on last time. This month's income tax increases are
expected to
dominate the results of the raft of small retailers - such as
Etam, Bentalls
, Austin Reed, Tie Rack and Liberty - which are reporting next
week. But it
might still be a bit too early to get any meaningful
indications from the pr
esent trading statements. Most company observers will
be waiting for Sears'
results on April 26.
Etam, the fashion clothing company, will be the most cl
osely examined of
those reporting. It is expected to show a 33 per cent pre-
tax profits
advance to about Pounds 14.5m, excluding property losses.
Companies:-
Eurotunnel.
Morgan Crucible.
SmithKline
Beecham.
Etam.
Bentalls.
Austin Reed.
Tie Rack.
Libert
y.
Countries:-
GBZ United Kingdom, EC.
FRZ France
, EC.
USZ United States of America.
Industries:-
P
4785 Inspection and Fixed Facilities.
P3255 Clay Refractories.
P2834
Pharmaceutical Preparations.
P5621 Women's Clothing Stores.
P5611 M
en's and Boys' Clothing Stores.
P5311 Department Stores.
P5699 Misce
llaneous Apparel and Accessory Stores.
Types:-
CMMT Co
mment & Analysis.
The Financial Times
London Page I
V
============= Transaction # 150 ==============================================
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_AN-DJLB5ADGFT
931
012
FT 12 OCT 93 / Leading Article: Chunnel lessons
WHEN THE Channel tunnel officially opens next May, the projec
t will be
nearly a year late and its cost of Pounds 8.8bn almost double the
original
estimate. The construction has been dogged by disputes between Euro
tunnel,
the operator, and TML, the contractor. Eurotunnel shareholders will
also
have been asked twice to stump up extra cash. The impression of financi
al
disorder in what was billed as a flagship of free enterprise is such that
some observers are asking whether it would not have been better to leave th
e
project to the public sector.
Such a conclusion would be wrong. First, it
is not clear that Eurotunnel has
been such a bad investment. Much will depen
d on how much traffic it carries,
but the initial shareholders show a modest
if unexciting gain on their
investment at yesterday's closing price of 488p
. Second, it is almost
certain that the public sector would have done worse
in keeping costs under
control. It is hard to believe that Department of Tra
nsport civil servants
would have harried the contractors with the same vigou
r as Sir Alastair
Morton, Eurotunnel's abrasive chief executive.
However, le
ssons can be learnt from the Eurotunnel experience. Doing so is
also necessa
ry, given the UK government's intention of attracting private
finance for a
range of traditionally public sector investments such as
roads, railways, pr
isons and hospitals.
One lesson is that it is worth the government taking a
bit more time and
spending a bit more money defining projects up-front. With
the Channel
tunnel, failure to do so meant the operating franchise was awar
ded to a
group of construction companies. When they floated Eurotunnel off,
it was
already saddled with construction contracts with the original promote
rs - a
structure which has been blamed for many of the subsequent disputes.
It
would have been better to have started with an operator capable of
negoti
ating its own contracts. But to achieve that, the government would
probably
have had to prime the pump.
Another lesson is that it may not be efficient t
o transfer all the risk of
infrastructure projects to the private sector, pa
rticularly where the
government itself is the source of uncertainty. In Euro
tunnel's case, the UK
government's sluggishness in building more rail and ro
ad links to the tunnel
and a tightening of safety regulations have all reduc
ed the project's
financial attraction. If the government indemnified private
contractors for
such political and regulatory risks, it would have an incen
tive to keep them
to the minimum.
Countries:-
GBZ Un
ited Kingdom, EC.
FRZ France, EC.
Industries:-
P16
22 Bridge, Tunnel and Elevated Highway.
P4785 Inspection and Fixed Facil
ities.
Types:-
CMMT Comment & Analysis.
The
Financial Times
London Page 17
============= Transaction # 151 ==============================================
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FT934-15414
_AN-DJLB5ADGFT
931
012
FT 12 OCT 93 / Leading Article: Chunnel lessons
WHEN THE Channel tunnel officially opens next May, the projec
t will be
nearly a year late and its cost of Pounds 8.8bn almost double the
original
estimate. The construction has been dogged by disputes between Euro
tunnel,
the operator, and TML, the contractor. Eurotunnel shareholders will
also
have been asked twice to stump up extra cash. The impression of financi
al
disorder in what was billed as a flagship of free enterprise is such that
some observers are asking whether it would not have been better to leave th
e
project to the public sector.
Such a conclusion would be wrong. First, it
is not clear that Eurotunnel has
been such a bad investment. Much will depen
d on how much traffic it carries,
but the initial shareholders show a modest
if unexciting gain on their
investment at yesterday's closing price of 488p
. Second, it is almost
certain that the public sector would have done worse
in keeping costs under
control. It is hard to believe that Department of Tra
nsport civil servants
would have harried the contractors with the same vigou
r as Sir Alastair
Morton, Eurotunnel's abrasive chief executive.
However, le
ssons can be learnt from the Eurotunnel experience. Doing so is
also necessa
ry, given the UK government's intention of attracting private
finance for a
range of traditionally public sector investments such as
roads, railways, pr
isons and hospitals.
One lesson is that it is worth the government taking a
bit more time and
spending a bit more money defining projects up-front. With
the Channel
tunnel, failure to do so meant the operating franchise was awar
ded to a
group of construction companies. When they floated Eurotunnel off,
it was
already saddled with construction contracts with the original promote
rs - a
structure which has been blamed for many of the subsequent disputes.
It
would have been better to have started with an operator capable of
negoti
ating its own contracts. But to achieve that, the government would
probably
have had to prime the pump.
Another lesson is that it may not be efficient t
o transfer all the risk of
infrastructure projects to the private sector, pa
rticularly where the
government itself is the source of uncertainty. In Euro
tunnel's case, the UK
government's sluggishness in building more rail and ro
ad links to the tunnel
and a tightening of safety regulations have all reduc
ed the project's
financial attraction. If the government indemnified private
contractors for
such political and regulatory risks, it would have an incen
tive to keep them
to the minimum.
Countries:-
GBZ Un
ited Kingdom, EC.
FRZ France, EC.
Industries:-
P16
22 Bridge, Tunnel and Elevated Highway.
P4785 Inspection and Fixed Facil
ities.
Types:-
CMMT Comment & Analysis.
The
Financial Times
London Page 17
============= Transaction # 152 ==============================================
Transaction #: 152 Transaction Code: 19 (Record Selected)
Terminal ID: 57900 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC)
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FT932-5866
_AN-DFBBWAARFT
9306
02
FT 02 JUN 93 / Chunnel contracts go-ahead near
By ANDREW HILL
BRUSSELS
THE European Commission looks likely to approve the basic contracts
to
provide freight, passenger and sleeper rail services through the Channel
tunnel before the August holidays, following a long competition inquiry.
Bu
t Mr Karel Van Miert, EC competition commissioner, wants to establish the
pr
inciple that private operators can compete with state railway companies,
eve
n if there is little pressure at the moment from potential rival
services.
I
f the Commission decides to outlaw or substantially amend the contracts,
tha
t could further delay the opening of the tunnel, due in early 1994. Even
so,
Mr Van Miert, who used to oversee EC transport policy until he took over
th
e competition portfolio in January, is said to be keen to encourage the
cros
s-Channel link.
His spokesman said yesterday that an announcement was expect
ed 'pretty
soon'.
Eurotunnel, which will operate the tunnel, and British and
continental
European railways have sought clearance under EC competition ru
les for a
series of contracts.
Most important is the deal between Eurotunnel
, British Rail and SNCF, the
French state railways, which gives the railways
the right to take up 50 per
cent of the tunnel's capacity for passenger thr
ough-trains during
Eurotunnel's 55-year operating concession.
The other 50 p
er cent will be used by Eurotunnel itself for shuttle services
between the t
wo ends of the tunnel.
The Commission was originally examining the possibili
ty of reducing the
length of the contract, perhaps to as little as 30 years,
to let private
operators compete with BR and SNCF. The Brussels authorities
are now
considering how to leave the contract open to competition without
j
eopardising the financing of the link.
The Commission is also completing its
consultations on the exclusive
contracts for freight and sleeper services.
Yesterday, it published the official notice inviting comments on European
Ni
ght Services (ENS), the sleeper joint venture majority-owned by BR in
partne
rship with French, Dutch, German and Belgian railways. Parties have
been giv
en 30 days to submit views on the agreement, which the Commission
believes c
ould infringe competition rules.
In practice, however, there are few potenti
al competitors who could meet the
high cost of entering the sleeper market.
ENS has already placed an order,
said to be worth Pounds 100m, for 139 sleep
ers to be built by Metro-Cammell,
a subsidiary of GEC Alsthom. The deadline
for comments on freight services
through the tunnel passed at the end of Mar
ch.
Companies:-
British Rail.
Societe Nationale d
es Chemins de Fer Francais.
European Night Services.
Countrie
s:-
QRZ European Economic Community (EC).
Industries:-
P4011 Railroads, Line-Haul Operating.
P4785 Inspection and Fi
xed Facilities.
Types:-
MKTS Contracts.
The
Financial Times
London Page 2
============= Transaction # 153 ==============================================
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FT932-5866
_AN-DFBBWAARFT
9306
02
FT 02 JUN 93 / Chunnel contracts go-ahead near
By ANDREW HILL
BRUSSELS
THE European Commission looks likely to approve the basic contracts
to
provide freight, passenger and sleeper rail services through the Channel
tunnel before the August holidays, following a long competition inquiry.
Bu
t Mr Karel Van Miert, EC competition commissioner, wants to establish the
pr
inciple that private operators can compete with state railway companies,
eve
n if there is little pressure at the moment from potential rival
services.
I
f the Commission decides to outlaw or substantially amend the contracts,
tha
t could further delay the opening of the tunnel, due in early 1994. Even
so,
Mr Van Miert, who used to oversee EC transport policy until he took over
th
e competition portfolio in January, is said to be keen to encourage the
cros
s-Channel link.
His spokesman said yesterday that an announcement was expect
ed 'pretty
soon'.
Eurotunnel, which will operate the tunnel, and British and
continental
European railways have sought clearance under EC competition ru
les for a
series of contracts.
Most important is the deal between Eurotunnel
, British Rail and SNCF, the
French state railways, which gives the railways
the right to take up 50 per
cent of the tunnel's capacity for passenger thr
ough-trains during
Eurotunnel's 55-year operating concession.
The other 50 p
er cent will be used by Eurotunnel itself for shuttle services
between the t
wo ends of the tunnel.
The Commission was originally examining the possibili
ty of reducing the
length of the contract, perhaps to as little as 30 years,
to let private
operators compete with BR and SNCF. The Brussels authorities
are now
considering how to leave the contract open to competition without
j
eopardising the financing of the link.
The Commission is also completing its
consultations on the exclusive
contracts for freight and sleeper services.
Yesterday, it published the official notice inviting comments on European
Ni
ght Services (ENS), the sleeper joint venture majority-owned by BR in
partne
rship with French, Dutch, German and Belgian railways. Parties have
been giv
en 30 days to submit views on the agreement, which the Commission
believes c
ould infringe competition rules.
In practice, however, there are few potenti
al competitors who could meet the
high cost of entering the sleeper market.
ENS has already placed an order,
said to be worth Pounds 100m, for 139 sleep
ers to be built by Metro-Cammell,
a subsidiary of GEC Alsthom. The deadline
for comments on freight services
through the tunnel passed at the end of Mar
ch.
Companies:-
British Rail.
Societe Nationale d
es Chemins de Fer Francais.
European Night Services.
Countrie
s:-
QRZ European Economic Community (EC).
Industries:-
P4011 Railroads, Line-Haul Operating.
P4785 Inspection and Fi
xed Facilities.
Types:-
MKTS Contracts.
The
Financial Times
London Page 2
============= Transaction # 154 ==============================================
Transaction #: 154 Transaction Code: 19 (Record Selected)
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FT942-11114
_AN-EEFEDAHLFT
940
506
FT 06 MAY 94 / Survey of The Channel Tunnel (16): Bi
g potential benefits - Belgium looks for economic spin-offs
By EMMA TUCKER
The official opening of the Channel
Tunnel later this year promises to help
revitalise the north-west regions of
Belgium, even though the country's
biggest ports will suffer a loss of traf
fic.
The chambers of commerce in Veurne and Courtrai, along with the West
Fl
anders Regional Development Authority in Bruges, are gearing up to become
pa
rt of what they refer to as the 'new European Metropolitan Area.'
This takes
in the Nord-Pas de Calais in France, Western Flanders and Hainaut
in Belgiu
m, and Kent in the UK.
The potential for this region is enormous. According
to Mr Anthony Vande
Candelare, an urban planner who made a study of the infl
uence of the Channel
Tunnel on the west of Belgium and the North of France:
'Overnight, the
Belgian coast and the North of France will become the centre
of Europe.'
Mr Jo Libeer, managing director of the Courtrai chamber of comm
erce, is
equally optimistic about the likely impact on the area of the tunne
l.
'With the TGV and the chunnel this region, which was sort of in the corne
r
of Europe, will now be in the middle of a new developing area,' he says.
T
his is no bad thing for Belgium. In its last economic survey of the
country,
the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development said the
Belgian
economy had deteriorated 'progressively' since the 1980s. 'And over
the las
t 10 to 12 months it has taken a distinct turn for the worse.'
Furthermore,
Flanders, the area most likely to benefit from the arrival of
the tunnel, ha
s recently suffered more rapid increases in unemployment than
in Wallonia an
d the Brussels region. The unemployment rate, which in 1990
was 9.5 per cent
in Flanders has risen to 13 per cent.
The Belgian chambers in the regions m
ost directly affected believe there are
two main areas for development: firs
tly, increasing traffic through western
Flanders as holidaymakers and freigh
t carriers head towards the
tunnel-opening in Calais; and secondly tourism.
To benefit fully, however, a
crucial 7km stretch of the E40 European motorwa
y between Veurne and the
French border has yet to be completed.
Once this is
done it will be possible to drive from Russia to England
without leaving a
motorway, says Mr Philippe Claerhout, chairman of the
Veurne chamber of comm
erce and industry. Fortunately, plans to complete the
stretch have been agre
ed and it should be open some time next year.
On the downside, the Westhoek
region is badly placed to benefit from rail
transport.
'Even after the doubl
ing of the tracks and electrification of the railway
line between Ghent and
De Panne, we will still be a remote corner,' says Mr
Claerhout.
Furthermore,
Belgium's biggest ports are expecting traffic loads to fall, as
freight and
passengers are directed towards Calais. Worst affected will be
Ostend and Z
eebrugge, two ports hoping to hold their own by concentrating on
links with
ports in the north of England.
Nonetheless, the improved, if imperfect, tran
sport communications of the
West Flanders region are apparently paying off.
Mr Geert Sanders, who works
for the Regional Development Authority of West F
landers, says there is
already evidence that the region's enhanced communica
tions are attracting
new businesses. For example, Baronie, a Dutch chocolate
company, is opening
a new base in the southern part of West Flanders.
There
is, however, a danger that Belgium will not make the most of the
commercial
opportunities - 'we will try to attract new industry, but our
region is ver
y small and our industrial zones are full,' says Mr Ludo
Verstraete, of the
Veurne chamber of commerce. The Belgian authorities have
dragged their feet
over decisions to dedicate new areas, he says.
The other main focus for deve
lopment is tourism. As Mr Claerhout says: 'We
need to convince people from o
ther countries that it is worth their while to
stop in Westhoek at the time
of their journey through the North of Europe to
England.'
The potential is t
here. West Flanders is home to some of the best-known
World War One battlefi
elds, and promoters of the region insist that its
large, open green spaces w
ill, when properly developed, attract foreign
visitors. But once again, ther
e is a danger that Belgium will miss out. It
has been slower to develop the
tourist potential of the Channel Tunnel than
France.
Around Calais, a commer
cial and leisure centre, hotels and activity parks,
known as 'La Cite de L'E
urope', are springing up while Lille is home to
Euralille, a similar develop
ment. As Mr Verstraete of the Veurne chamber of
commerce says: 'Tourism is v
ery important . . . we really have to develop
our hotels and tourist infrast
ructure.'
But the biggest advantages for Belgium will come from close co-ope
ration
between the national and federal authorities and their French and UK
counterparts. In a Europe without frontiers, this will be the most effective
way of benefiting from the the Channel Tunnel.
Countries:-
BEZ Belgium, EC.
Industries:-
P9611 Administrat
ion of General Economic Programs.
P953 Housing and Urban Development.
<
/IN>
Types:-
CMMT Comment & Analysis.
The Financi
al Times
London Page VI
============= Transaction # 155 ==============================================
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FT942-11114
_AN-EEFEDAHLFT
940
506
FT 06 MAY 94 / Survey of The Channel Tunnel (16): Bi
g potential benefits - Belgium looks for economic spin-offs
By EMMA TUCKER
The official opening of the Channel
Tunnel later this year promises to help
revitalise the north-west regions of
Belgium, even though the country's
biggest ports will suffer a loss of traf
fic.
The chambers of commerce in Veurne and Courtrai, along with the West
Fl
anders Regional Development Authority in Bruges, are gearing up to become
pa
rt of what they refer to as the 'new European Metropolitan Area.'
This takes
in the Nord-Pas de Calais in France, Western Flanders and Hainaut
in Belgiu
m, and Kent in the UK.
The potential for this region is enormous. According
to Mr Anthony Vande
Candelare, an urban planner who made a study of the infl
uence of the Channel
Tunnel on the west of Belgium and the North of France:
'Overnight, the
Belgian coast and the North of France will become the centre
of Europe.'
Mr Jo Libeer, managing director of the Courtrai chamber of comm
erce, is
equally optimistic about the likely impact on the area of the tunne
l.
'With the TGV and the chunnel this region, which was sort of in the corne
r
of Europe, will now be in the middle of a new developing area,' he says.
T
his is no bad thing for Belgium. In its last economic survey of the
country,
the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development said the
Belgian
economy had deteriorated 'progressively' since the 1980s. 'And over
the las
t 10 to 12 months it has taken a distinct turn for the worse.'
Furthermore,
Flanders, the area most likely to benefit from the arrival of
the tunnel, ha
s recently suffered more rapid increases in unemployment than
in Wallonia an
d the Brussels region. The unemployment rate, which in 1990
was 9.5 per cent
in Flanders has risen to 13 per cent.
The Belgian chambers in the regions m
ost directly affected believe there are
two main areas for development: firs
tly, increasing traffic through western
Flanders as holidaymakers and freigh
t carriers head towards the
tunnel-opening in Calais; and secondly tourism.
To benefit fully, however, a
crucial 7km stretch of the E40 European motorwa
y between Veurne and the
French border has yet to be completed.
Once this is
done it will be possible to drive from Russia to England
without leaving a
motorway, says Mr Philippe Claerhout, chairman of the
Veurne chamber of comm
erce and industry. Fortunately, plans to complete the
stretch have been agre
ed and it should be open some time next year.
On the downside, the Westhoek
region is badly placed to benefit from rail
transport.
'Even after the doubl
ing of the tracks and electrification of the railway
line between Ghent and
De Panne, we will still be a remote corner,' says Mr
Claerhout.
Furthermore,
Belgium's biggest ports are expecting traffic loads to fall, as
freight and
passengers are directed towards Calais. Worst affected will be
Ostend and Z
eebrugge, two ports hoping to hold their own by concentrating on
links with
ports in the north of England.
Nonetheless, the improved, if imperfect, tran
sport communications of the
West Flanders region are apparently paying off.
Mr Geert Sanders, who works
for the Regional Development Authority of West F
landers, says there is
already evidence that the region's enhanced communica
tions are attracting
new businesses. For example, Baronie, a Dutch chocolate
company, is opening
a new base in the southern part of West Flanders.
There
is, however, a danger that Belgium will not make the most of the
commercial
opportunities - 'we will try to attract new industry, but our
region is ver
y small and our industrial zones are full,' says Mr Ludo
Verstraete, of the
Veurne chamber of commerce. The Belgian authorities have
dragged their feet
over decisions to dedicate new areas, he says.
The other main focus for deve
lopment is tourism. As Mr Claerhout says: 'We
need to convince people from o
ther countries that it is worth their while to
stop in Westhoek at the time
of their journey through the North of Europe to
England.'
The potential is t
here. West Flanders is home to some of the best-known
World War One battlefi
elds, and promoters of the region insist that its
large, open green spaces w
ill, when properly developed, attract foreign
visitors. But once again, ther
e is a danger that Belgium will miss out. It
has been slower to develop the
tourist potential of the Channel Tunnel than
France.
Around Calais, a commer
cial and leisure centre, hotels and activity parks,
known as 'La Cite de L'E
urope', are springing up while Lille is home to
Euralille, a similar develop
ment. As Mr Verstraete of the Veurne chamber of
commerce says: 'Tourism is v
ery important . . . we really have to develop
our hotels and tourist infrast
ructure.'
But the biggest advantages for Belgium will come from close co-ope
ration
between the national and federal authorities and their French and UK
counterparts. In a Europe without frontiers, this will be the most effective
way of benefiting from the the Channel Tunnel.
Countries:-
BEZ Belgium, EC.
Industries:-
P9611 Administrat
ion of General Economic Programs.
P953 Housing and Urban Development.
<
/IN>
Types:-
CMMT Comment & Analysis.
The Financi
al Times
London Page VI
============= Transaction # 156 ==============================================
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Terminal ID: 57900 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC)
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FT941-16017
_AN-EALDDAEVFT
940
112
FT 12 JAN 94 / Leading Article: Chunnel pricing
Investors have not done too well so far out of Eurotunnel. No
w it looks like
passengers are not going to get a particularly good deal eit
her. That, at
any rate, is the impression given by the prices Eurotunnel pro
poses to
charge for its car passenger service.
The pricing schedule, announc
ed yesterday, ranges from Pounds 220 for a
return journey in winter to Pound
s 310 in the peak summer months. Not only
are the prices higher than expecte
d. They are also slightly higher than
those charged by Stena Sealink and P&O
European Ferries, the two ferry
groups which dominate the cross-Channel mar
ket.
Moreover, there is every sign that neither Eurotunnel nor the ferry
com
panies want to engage in a price war. At every opportunity, they stress
the
point. P&O yesterday even took the step of commending Eurotunnel's fares
as
'positive and realistic'. What we are witnessing are the latest moves in
a c
omplex oligopoly game. Eurotunnel is anxious to avoid a price war because
it
s gigantic debts mean it has to find Pounds 600m in annual interest
payments
alone. Equally, the ferry companies are concerned that an erosion
of margin
s would force them out of the market.
But passengers should not lose heart.
Just because the main players say they
do not want a price war does not mean
that they can necessarily stop one.
Oligopoly games are hard to control.
In
the short run, Eurotunnel has every incentive to use the ferry companies'
p
rices as a benchmark for its own services. This is because for several
month
s the group will not be able to run at full c